Pagan's poofters will probably beat us next week.


Flowers

The equation is simple.

Assuming Brisbane lose 2 of their last 3 then it all comes down to Carlton or StKilda. If StKilda lose 2 of their last 3 games and Carlton win 2 of their last 3 games then it all comes down to percentage. The trick is not to get thrashed by Hawthorn.

StKilda - Freemantle (Sub), Adelaide (TD), Essendon* (TD)

Carlton - North (TD), Brisbane (G), Hawthorn (TD)

Here's hoping that the Saints can lose 2 of these.

Go BLUES!

Well summed up BlueRob....heres also hoping that Essendon* don't "lie down" for the final match of the year against the Aints.

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There is no footy god

Lets just win every game from here on in and we will make it.

I can't believe people are writing off the Hawthorn game already

Anyway lets start with those North Melbourne wankers this week...

Not writing off the possibility ... but just weighing up the odds. Of course we have a chance against the Dawks ... just trying to come up with a more likely scenario.

we probs wont beat the hawks...and will struggle against bris and kangaroos
we wont make it. even if we did we wouldnt get anywhere. 09 is our year.

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"You don’t get much more Navy Blue than Stephen Kernahan" - Marc Murphy

shuff playing Finals is getting someone based on where we have been and where we are heading.

Never question to the power of self belief.

The boys now have it and with JUDD at full speed ahead, the possibles are unimagineable.

DARE TO DREAM!

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“It is a state of mind, a system of belief, a way of seeing the world, a deep faith that, because you are Carlton, you belong to something great.” - Mike Fitzpatrick articulating what Out of the Blue means.

One of the best things about being young (from one not so young that is),
is that confidence is very high, when the mind is in a positive frame, so high in fact that self-doubt is non existant & thus the young can reach levels & then exceed those levels extremely quickly. That is all part of their growth & we get to witness it (ie) they all think they are Superman or woman when their minds are positive & no-one & nothing can stop them.

What better positive for a young bloke playing the game at the highest level for a start, than to be playing with Juddy.

Our Mr Judd is a KEY factor in why we have seen such remarkable improvement in the likes of Gibbs, Grigg, Murphy, Jamison & everyone in fact. Being young I would not be surprised if some of them, at times, thought they had super powers on the football field (Gibbsy), when in the midst of not only one of the greatest players to have played the game IMO, but also one of the most professional, intelligent minded & supportive natured players. These kids are absolutely relishing every moment they are getting to play with Juddy (& some others too), so much so that their rate of improvement has been steep indeed. That's youth!

Will these kids, in the next three games (& beyond), knowing they have Judd, Fev, Stevo (etc) leading them & from another perspective, their backups, be afraid to throw caution to the wind & be creative & show their flair & talent. No way! Will they shy away from any of the 3 teams we play. No way! Why, because backed by Juddy & Co & everything else that goes along with being at Carlton, they will look at these next 3 games with new ferocity & vigour, even better than we have seen & they will not doubt theirs or their team mates abilities to beat ALL of the remaining teams we have left to play.

Bugger all the others. WIN, WIN, WIN (take care of your own backyard)

& WIN by as much as you can, to continue to show the rest of the football world, as their fears escalate, that CARLTON has awoken & we will not rest until we are once again at the TOP of the football world.

NAVY NAVY NAVY OI OI OI!!!

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"You will always miss 100% of the shots you don't take"- Michael Jordan

We match up well against Hawthorn on paper, but we just fail to turn up mentally the past few games we have played them.

We can realistically make it with 1 win, we can technically make top 4 by winning all 3.

I just hope we win our next two as then I believe we are home no matter what happens against Hawthorn. Oh and what a build up that game will have if we do win the next two, the AFL would be classed as visionaries

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Mjonc signing off at 8888

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*(grow - fun - gah)

Yeah but whatabout your whataboutism.

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*(grow - fun - gah)

Yeah but whatabout your whataboutism.

Alternative (as I mentioed earlier)

Assuming Brisbane lose 2 of their last three.


We beat Kangaroos this week, leapfrog them.


The following week we beat brisbane. Kangas lose to Geelong - hopefully getting smashed to screw up their percentage.

We're one game clear then.



Even if in the last week they beat Port and we lose to the Hawks it will still come down to percentage, which could be very close.


The Hawthorn game is largely irrelevant in this case. Win the next two weeks against the Roos and Lions - and I reckon we'll be there in the first week of September.

Dontcha mean the other way around?

I think 2 (not 3 as the song suggests) is the magic number.

One win could, but unlikely.

Two wins, against the right opposition, and we are a decent chance.

Three wins - would all but ensure we'll be there in September...



Two problems with the above image.

1) Collingwood are still in the eight.

2) Richmond don't finish ninth.

I agree. The next two are the vital games. I actually feel if we beat North & Brisbane we will beat Hawthorn as well....as by then the hawks will be playing the dogs in the first week regardless of the result...

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"Truth, for the tyrants, is the most terrible and cruel of all bindings; it is like an incandescent iron falling across their chests. And it is even more agonizing than hot iron, for that only burns the flesh, while truth burns its way into the soul"     — Lauro Aguirre

SparkyBlue ... for Carlton to move ahead of North ... North would have to lose 3 matches and Carlton win 3 (North are 2.5 games ahead).

I am hoping we can replace Stkilda ... that would bring a lot more joy.

One problem with that Sparky: Percentage is not an issue with Norf because they are 2 games and a draw ahead of us at this stage. We have to win 3 more games than Norf in the run home to leapfrog them

One other thing, we can still displace Colonwood from the 8!!

They have:

Port (AAMI)
Syd (TD)
Freo (Subi)

None of those are easy games. Remember, they have lost a lot of games that they have been favourites in this year. I think they will struggle to beat Sydney and Freo (who are playing pretty well at the moment, and it's at Subiaco) and I know it sounds funny, but Port will be smarting from our smashing on the weekend and may come close to an upset over there. Throw in some wet weather and an injury or bad luck and it may just happen.

I think the pies played their final last week.

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"If everyone is moving forward together, then success takes care of itself" - Henry Ford

In regards to leapfroggin' North.




Got so ahead of myself I failed to register the draw in my calculations.

Guess that's what happens when you are busting your chops to find the easiest path to the finals.