Virgin Blue wrote:
Someone made a comment in the Whitnall Retirement thread, that made me think about how quickly fortunes can change in football, and how Carlton ideally should try to have a strong list every year.
So how do we do that?
What measures need to be put in place to make sure we are constantly improving the list, to make sure we avoid 'down years' where the list ages and then suddenly needs to be re-built?
Is this possible?
As much as he annoys the hell out of me, and baring in mind he recently stuffed up their list, I think Sheedy historically has succeeded in constantly re-generating the Essendon* list by constantly introducing fresh young blood.
So many teams these days get to a stage where they think they are a couple of mature players away from going the distance. But more times than not this turns out to be fools gold. Is part of the trick then to not throw away early picks for mature talent when you're Premiership window is open but closing?
I look at Carlton now and I think in 3 years time we'll be a very strong side, one potentially capable of winning a Premiership. That will be 2010, and Fevola will be on the cusp of retirement with Stevens and Scotland almost certainly gone.
And then I think - we need to make sure we are constantly replacing the good players we lose through retirement.
I think part of the key is to NEVER trade away ones first round picks. David Parkin once said the "draft is the lifeblood of clubs". As random as he is these days with the stuff that comes out of his mouth, there's no doubt he's on the money with this one.
Obviously having a gun recruitment manager is vital. But is there more to it than this and having a rule on one's fist round picks? I just think the smart clubs in the future will be those that constantly re-generate their lists with talent, without having to bottom out for a few years (Port?).
Perhaps some clubs have already started doing this? I thought Collingwood for one were very sneaky to bottom out and get Thomas and Pendlebury. Is this the way then, for clubs to bottom out when they don't really need to, to get an injection of top end talent every few years? To keep the list re-freshed with young talent?
By the way Mods, I decided to post this in the Carlton section, as opposed to in the Recruitment section, because what I want to see is ways we can keep Carlton strong over time. But please feel free to move this to another section if you have a different take on things.
I think that if you stress about bottoming out you do your list a disservice. No one wants to finish on the bottom and it's not about that. It is about making sure your list for sustained success is not compromised by the fear of short term failure.
There should only be two kinds of clubs who would think about flagrantly ignoring the potential of the draft in certain instances; one is the club who is in a great position to, perhaps, take out the following years premiership, the other is a club who is struggling to regain all credibility and/or for its very existence. I don't know the ins-and-outs of the latter situation but, at least in theory, I don't agree with the 'known is better than the unknown' mindset that some people use to support the trading of draft picks.
Trading for short term improvement not only means that you ignore superior potential, it also compromises your recruiting chances for the following season. If your success only takes you so-far then it looks to be a high price to pay. There is also a chance for all the damage to roll-over even further.
No side can stay 'up' forever and if the balancing act is around 9 on the ladder for years on end then what is the point?
I'm not saying you deliberately bottom out but artificially hastening it is just self-defeating.