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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 10:40 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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It is fairly obvious that the Carlton Football Club will soon be on the lookout for the next CFC premiership coach (if they haven't already).

A lot of discussion has taken place about what attributes might be needed for a future coach. I decided to have a look at the history of it all and see if a couple of factors may make a difference.

I got a list of every VFL/AFL coach from 1980 onwards. Took out all the caretaker coaches so we were only left with those that clubs specifically chose to bring them greatness.

Next I had a look at whether each of these coaches were at one stage captain of a VFL/AFL club or if they every were a member of a VFL/AFL premiership team. Then I split them all up according to these criteria, and the results are below.

Firstly, lets look at all the coaches from 1980 who neither captained a VFL/AFL or played in a VFL/AFL premiership. The table is below. As you can see it is an eclectic bunch, the number down the bottom gives the premiership strikerrate which is basically out of all the coaches in this category, how many actually managed to win a premiership as coach. As you can see the strikerate is 15% with some legendary names in Jeans and Hafey, some would say the right person at the right time in Joyce and the career coach in Pagan. I know there are some interstate people here who played many games for SA and WA leagues but only VFL/AFL matches are counted. A lot of 'experiments' in this list, most of which failed.

Image

The next category is those who never captained a VFL/AFL club but did play in a premiership team. The strikerate here is only 11%. Tony Jewel and Mick Malthouse are the only people in this category to manage a premiership. This list is very interesting because it contains quite a few 'nice' guys whose reputations were not fierce on the field.

Image


The next list is those coaches who captained a VFL/AFL club but never played in a premiership side. A rather small list but a strike rate of 38%. Again, an interesting bunch.

Image

The final category is those coaches who both captained an VFL/AFL team and also played in VFL/AFL premiership as a player. A much larger list indicating these types are more prized and with good reason, because the strikerate is at 40% for premiership coaches in this category. However, there is another factor that should be taken into account.

Image

Often club legends who are past captains and permiership players for a club are given the job of coach of the club where they made those achievements. More often than not this had not worked out. If we take those players out of the table we get the table below. There you have it coaches who are captains and premiership players who have coached firstly at a different club have a 60% strikerate of premiership success!!!

Ot of the four who did not get there two of them got to a grand final as coach and one (Mark Thompson) looks very likely tio join the other six and make the strikerate 70%!!!

Image

Of course these factors are not the be all and end all of coaches, but I would suggest that the data shown is pretty convincing that these factors are important. They also suggest that out of captain and premiership player being a captain is more important.

What do you think are factors that are imprtant for premiership coaches?


P.S. This is going to be turned into a FootyGeek article, if you could check whether the details in the table are correct that would be great. :wink:

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 10:46 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Intriguing *scratches goaty in pondering manner*

I'm guessing this points to Voss then? James Hird perhaps?


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 10:50 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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Interesting, I'm sure Michael Voss wouldn't mind a copy of that to take to his interviews. :P

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 10:50 pm 
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Harry Vallence

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Get Voss..........i think :? :? :?


You must have some spare time, well done :)

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:03 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:14 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Andain wrote:
The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


From 2000, 3 of the 4 premiership coaches have both been captains and premiership players.

75% strike rate, even better than pre-2000!!

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:27 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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Jarusa wrote:
Andain wrote:
The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


From 2000, 3 of the 4 premiership coaches have both been captains and premiership players.

75% strike rate, even better than pre-2000!!

But its too small a sample to qualify as something with any meaning :wink:

It's an interesting piece of work and I admire the effort it took to put it together but I hope no one takes it seriously.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:30 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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Brett Ratten??

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:45 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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bluegirldanielle wrote:
Brett Ratten??


Did they have to be captain of a premiership team, or does winning a B&F in a premiership year make up for that? :P

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:47 pm 
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Horrie Clover
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bluegirldanielle wrote:
Brett Ratten??


If he goes to another club, perhaps...

A good read, nice piece of work.

Get Voss?


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:04 am 
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Rod Ashman
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camelboy wrote:
bluegirldanielle wrote:
Brett Ratten??


Did they have to be captain of a premiership team, or does winning a B&F in a premiership year make up for that? :P


Ah yes, you got me on a technicality there! 8)

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:06 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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Hell i'd be happy with just A coach....................................

Seriously, Any coach will do!

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:07 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Well that's one box ticked.

Now about the other 342...

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:12 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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B&F are a very distorted thing (many times rigged by the clubs), not included. 8)

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:14 am 
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Rod Ashman
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Jarusa wrote:
B&F are a very distorted thing (many times rigged by the clubs), not included. 8)


Yeah, looks who last year's ....


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 12:18 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Andain wrote:
Jarusa wrote:
Andain wrote:
The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


From 2000, 3 of the 4 premiership coaches have both been captains and premiership players.

75% strike rate, even better than pre-2000!!

But its too small a sample to qualify as something with any meaning :wink:

It's an interesting piece of work and I admire the effort it took to put it together but I hope no one takes it seriously.


Of course, but this is not a scientific paper. :wink:

Would you have hired Damien Drum? :P

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 6:35 am 
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Ken Hands
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Jarusa wrote:
Andain wrote:
The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


From 2000, 3 of the 4 premiership coaches have both been captains and premiership players.

75% strike rate, even better than pre-2000!!


Are you sure that 3 of the 4 have been captains and premiership players?

Leigh Matthews - yes
Kevin Sheedy - yes
John Worsfold - yes

but then there are two no's.

Paul Roos - no
Mark Williams - no...well at least not in the vfl/afl. I am sure he played in port adelaide premierships in the sanfl though.

so that makes 3 out of 5.


Great article, though, I like where you are heading with it.
:wink:


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 6:50 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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1979 Norm Smith medal wrote:
Jarusa wrote:
Andain wrote:
The game has changed so rapidly and the professional requirements of a senior coach has changed to such a degree that any pre-2000 data offers pointless statistics that bares little to no relevance on modern coaching success.


From 2000, 3 of the 4 premiership coaches have both been captains and premiership players.

75% strike rate, even better than pre-2000!!


Are you sure that 3 of the 4 have been captains and premiership players?

Leigh Matthews - yes
Kevin Sheedy - yes
John Worsfold - yes

but then there are two no's.

Paul Roos - no
Mark Williams - no...well at least not in the vfl/afl. I am sure he played in port adelaide premierships in the sanfl though.

so that makes 3 out of 5.


Great article, though, I like where you are heading with it.
:wink:


:oops: Sorry, late night mistake!

60% Strike rate.


Edit: Actually just looking at the tables again, probably should remove Ross Lyon from the first table. A bit unfair to count him as a coach who never won a premiership! :lol:

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 8:48 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Is that because it's his first year, or because he's coaching St Kilda?

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 20, 2007 9:06 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Great work Jars.

I think I knew the conclusion before I saw the first table. You sly dog

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