Indie wrote:
I'm still on board the Hughes bandwagon. By going predominantly for athletic talls, he has tried to fill a gaping hole in our structure. They take longer to come on and there's more risk involved than going for a small who's ready to go. But we should have a good selection to play and others to trade as time goes on.
Going for Alwyn Davey types would have been easy and populist. I admire the willingness to take the longer view.
In alwyn davey types i presume you mean the flashy players that catch attention (or do you mean 'footballers'?). Risk/Reward is an interesting concept for a footy club. My issue is that we seem to have gone overboard in terms of questionable draft selections (particularly the early round picks). Given the crisis that the club was in (draft penalties, poor onfield performance) we should have had a greater emphasis on footballer types rather than athletic types - Walker, Russell, Hartlett, Bower, Kennedy, Hampson, Grigg, murphy, gibbs have been our PP, 1st and 2nd round selections the past few years.
Of those only murphy and gibbs could be said to be natural footballers and in both instances were widely regarded as the 'standout', no brainer #1 picks. The other 7 all appear to be atheletic selections who, if they turn out will be great but all have had question marks on either footskills, decision making, accountability etc. For mine, we should have picked up at least 3 more 'footballer first' type players rather than athletes with those early draft selections and then, perhaps looked at more athletic players with later selections (which we did anyway). We were not in a position (on and off field) to take on that level of risk with our early round draft selections.
I dont like using hindsight to select the best player post each draft pick but perhaps if we look at the next 3 'footballers' following each draft selection we might have a semi realistic indication of how things might be different.
walker - sylvia, ray, mclean,
russell - thompson (port), bate (demons), monfries (dons)
hartlett - little (hawks), garner (lions), rosa (eagles)
kennedy - drum (freo), higgins (dogs), jones (demons)
bower - stanley (pies), cook (pies), hughes (tigers)
hampson/grigg - jetta (dons), hislop (dons), urqhart (roos)
Not being one that has gone out to watch the kids, I've 'guessed' the next 3 footballers following each of our draft picks over the past few years (exclusions being afl.com profiles that say athletic, 'questionable' talls and players with injury concerns - obviously not perfect and no doubt some draft watchers would point out various players I've included or excluded as being footballers or athletes. However, if took every second player from that list and replaced the athlete with the middle ranked footballer we would have had picked
bate, higgins, hislop rather than russell, kennedy, grigg (should be hampson but I've left him on our list due to the ruck weakness). Ironically we would still have selected a KP forward and 2 mids.
atm bate > russell (and also > kennedy though has an extra year in 'development')
higgins > kennedy (also > russell for mid to mid comparison)
hislop = grigg (not fair to compare someone who has been injured all year)
Its still way too early to assess all the players drafted by hughes (I think each draftee needs 4 years in the system for a fair appraisal) however, I do feel that the club is moving in the right direction by reviewing his selections (the besis/reasoning behind the athletes). It shouldnt have anything to do with the resources that may/may not have been available at the time.
If after the assessment, the club finds him wanting, or his recruiting philosophy didnt adequately take into account where we were as a club (as opposed to the wrong selections at the draft table) then he should be moved on. Imo, we took on board too much risk, and hughes should be moved on (yes, I'd be comfortable with that decision if 10 years down the track every one of those early picks for athletes turns out to be a gem) - though obviously that could easily change if I had more 'facts' rather than the typical 'outsiders' view of the club.