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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 10:27 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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bondiblue wrote:
dannyboy wrote:
how do we get picks 1 and 2?

and I would have thought 20 odd years of "honourable" losses (tanking) has shown that winning culture beats that any day of the week, especially if we have a good core of kids already at the club???


Im torn between tanking and barracking for us to win.
There’s pros and cons for both.

Worked for Pies.

Was it tanking for Kreuzer that killed our campaign?
We tanked the last 4 weeks. We were a basket case, not because of tanking.


Anyway I’ll explain how having pick 1 gets us pick 2 and 3.

1. Carlton with pick one bid for Cochrane. Port matches
2 Carlton have had their pick 1, pushed to pick 2.plus receive an extra pick at the end of round 1 as a compo pick
3. Carlton pick best available outside Walker, I’d love Luke Jackson like Van Hatton
4, Next team pick Walker and Carlton matches with our Swans 1st round pick and end of round 1 compo pick ( which isn’t all eaten up, merely pushed back 6-7 spots.because we didn’t have to match the higher points required for Walker going at 1 or 2.


End of round 1 compo pick effectively becomes a 2nd round pick to add to the other 2 2nd round picks we have ( from NM & GCS)

If we don’t tank we get Walker by matching with our 2 1sts therefore missing out on pick 2 and end of round 1 compo pick.

We are desperate for a bonafide mobile ruck like Luke Jackson who helped Dees win flag in his first year , and Van Hatton seems to be similar if not better than Luke Jackson.

Midfield Van Hatton Walsh Walker Smith, Lord, Ison, Cowan Ben Campo, to take over from Cripps Hewett Cerra Williams.

We have 16 other under 23 players plus 3 1sts 2 2nds & 2 3rds from our 2027 and our 2028 picks to trade.

It’s an option The Board would be considering as we debate.


What about this reported "Carlton rule", where you lose your top 5 compo if you subsequently match a bid on your own f/s/NGA player in the first 5?

eg.
- Richmond finishes last, Carlton bottom 5
- Richmond bids on Cochrane at 1, Port matches => Carlton gets compo
- Richmond bids on Walker at 2, Carlton matches => Carlton loses compo?

Have I misread the reports, have they been debunked...?


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 11:54 am 
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Wayne Johnston
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GreatEx wrote:
bondiblue wrote:
dannyboy wrote:
how do we get picks 1 and 2?

and I would have thought 20 odd years of "honourable" losses (tanking) has shown that winning culture beats that any day of the week, especially if we have a good core of kids already at the club???


Im torn between tanking and barracking for us to win.
There’s pros and cons for both.

Worked for Pies.

Was it tanking for Kreuzer that killed our campaign?
We tanked the last 4 weeks. We were a basket case, not because of tanking.


Anyway I’ll explain how having pick 1 gets us pick 2 and 3.

1. Carlton with pick one bid for Cochrane. Port matches
2 Carlton have had their pick 1, pushed to pick 2.plus receive an extra pick at the end of round 1 as a compo pick
3. Carlton pick best available outside Walker, I’d love Luke Jackson like Van Hatton
4, Next team pick Walker and Carlton matches with our Swans 1st round pick and end of round 1 compo pick ( which isn’t all eaten up, merely pushed back 6-7 spots.because we didn’t have to match the higher points required for Walker going at 1 or 2.


End of round 1 compo pick effectively becomes a 2nd round pick to add to the other 2 2nd round picks we have ( from NM & GCS)

If we don’t tank we get Walker by matching with our 2 1sts therefore missing out on pick 2 and end of round 1 compo pick.

We are desperate for a bonafide mobile ruck like Luke Jackson who helped Dees win flag in his first year , and Van Hatton seems to be similar if not better than Luke Jackson.

Midfield Van Hatton Walsh Walker Smith, Lord, Ison, Cowan Ben Campo, to take over from Cripps Hewett Cerra Williams.

We have 16 other under 23 players plus 3 1sts 2 2nds & 2 3rds from our 2027 and our 2028 picks to trade.

It’s an option The Board would be considering as we debate.


What about this reported "Carlton rule", where you lose your top 5 compo if you subsequently match a bid on your own f/s/NGA player in the first 5?

eg.
- Richmond finishes last, Carlton bottom 5
- Richmond bids on Cochrane at 1, Port matches => Carlton gets compo
- Richmond bids on Walker at 2, Carlton matches => Carlton loses compo?

Have I misread the reports, have they been debunked...?

My understanding is that if you use your top 5 pick to match a bid you no longer get the bonus pick.
But if you use your top 5 pick on a player (in this case pick#2) then you should still get one.


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 2:14 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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:beer: I hope we finish last so I can stop trying to understand this shit


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 2:17 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Sidefx wrote:
My understanding is that if you use your top 5 pick to match a bid you no longer get the bonus pick.
But if you use your top 5 pick on a player (in this case pick#2) then you should still get one.


My understanding is that the AFL works out which decision is the most disadvantageous to Carlton, and then that's the rule.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 2:29 pm 
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Wayne Johnston
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GreatEx wrote:
:beer: I hope we finish last so I can stop trying to understand this shit

:lol:


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 2:31 pm 
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Wayne Johnston
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buzzaaaah wrote:
Sidefx wrote:
My understanding is that if you use your top 5 pick to match a bid you no longer get the bonus pick.
But if you use your top 5 pick on a player (in this case pick#2) then you should still get one.


My understanding is that the AFL works out which decision is the most disadvantageous to Carlton, and then that's the rule.

Pretty much.
And that is why I hope we figure out someway to use their rule changes against them.
Then we can watch them scramble at years end.

But to be totally honest, they have us by the short and curly's.
If we finish 14th-17th they will continue with the new rules.
But if we finish last they will most likely revise the rule to no bonus 'this' year.
Then we can't complain as we could be called out for tanking and still lose out.


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 3:47 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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SurreyBlue wrote:
Williams isn’t half the issue at the moment. Plays back, forward and midfield and does the job as asked and required.
Not his fault his body has let him down and maybe if we managed him better and rested him when needed, just like Martin and some others, we could get more out of him for a longer period.


:thumbsup:

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 3:52 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Sidefx wrote:
buzzaaaah wrote:
Sidefx wrote:
My understanding is that if you use your top 5 pick to match a bid you no longer get the bonus pick.
But if you use your top 5 pick on a player (in this case pick#2) then you should still get one.


My understanding is that the AFL works out which decision is the most disadvantageous to Carlton, and then that's the rule.

Pretty much.
And that is why I hope we figure out someway to use their rule changes against them.
Then we can watch them scramble at years end.

But to be totally honest, they have us by the short and curly's.
If we finish 14th-17th they will continue with the new rules.
But if we finish last they will most likely revise the rule to no bonus 'this' year.
Then we can't complain as we could be called out for tanking and still lose out.


Take it as a given that after this year, the incentive to pick players linked to F/S and Academy by giving the compensatory pick at the end of the 1st round will be diluted/scrapped. The need to select these players will be gone.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 3:57 pm 
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Wayne Johnston
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Pretty much.


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 4:05 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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dannyboy wrote:
not how I read the rules at all,

I thought the compo picks was given if your pick in the first 5 rounds moves out beyond the first 5.

So team 1 has pick 1 pick matched it uses pick 2 (no compo)

So team 3 as pick 4 pick matched by both Port and Carlton they move out of first 5 picks get compo pick


No.

Bottom 5 teams are the Bottom 5 teams before the Draft...they are compensated because they are bumped a spot in the order. Last year Tigers were bumped 4 spots. They would still qualify if they were bottom 5.

Jon Ralph has alerted the footy public there is the AFLs Carlton rule. If Carlton ends up with the spoon, Carlton and choose not to pick their FS when its their pick, they dont get a compo pick.

Makes me want to tank even more to stick it up the AFL for their continued Carlton bashing. Proving their ill thought, but in their simple minds their "infallible" system encourages Tanking.

What that means is we miss out on the Compo pick if we use 2 1st round picks on 2 players if we end up with spoon, rather than one player if we end up 17th, 16th....then we continue with our existing draft hand of 2 x 2nds and a 3rd for 2026.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 4:25 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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@#$%&! stupid rules

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 4:26 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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17th Premiership wrote:
1) I completely get it re torn between losing and winning!
2) This new system goes too far, now incentivising top 5 teams to bid on players who might not actually even be a top 5 prospect so they get the additional pick. What a farcical disgrace.
3) I think we get that additional pick at the end of first round even if we don't bid... as long as we finish bottom 5, if anyone bids before us, we get an extra pick even if its not for Walker.... I think. Yes
4) I think a winning culture is worth more than the pick value of tanking... to a point. The scenario under this new system might mean we get additional first rounder(s), not just the 'Kruezer Cup' scenario which was simply about who gets 1st vs 2nd pick... We might not need to tank to get the spoon after watching Richmond and Effendope nearly get the chocolates

- Geelong were a perennial basket case of 'handbags'.... until they turned it around in 2007 and haven't looked back since. FS Scarlett Ablett Ablett Bews Hawkins using very late picks helped set them up
- Ninthmond could not make finals and had not had a serious bid for 35 years! And were on the verge of sacking their coach (again).... until 2017 happened...No Pick 3 Dustin Martin No Flags...One freak player of his ilk willed the victory
- Melbourne hadn't been able to win a flag for decades. And looked to have stuffed up their most recent attempt to rebuild, also on the verge of sacking their coach after finishing 17th in 2019 and 9th in 2020. But then 2021 happened and, frankly, they should have gone on with it in 2022 and possibly 2023 as well! AFL paid for Roos to coach and jackson to fix up the club
- At the end of 2021 after Buckley was sacked at Collingwood and they finished 17th, commentators predicted years of pain for the Pies who were considered to have an ordinary-to-rubbish list, propped up by some ageing stars. In 2022 they finished 4th and then won the flag in 2023! Access to FS Daicos and Daicos with very late picks
- Half way through 2024, Brisbane were languishing at 13th and commentators were forecasting the end of Fagan and the end of the Lions window of opportunity... a few months later they won the flag and commentators now had them favourites for the following year (which they won) and predicting an era of dominance! FS picks Ashcroft Ashcroft Fletcher plus Academy for very late draft picks
- And most recently, Melbourne were widely expected to finish in the bottom 4, with a very ordinary list, a new rookie coach and having just offloaded 2 of their best 5 players, and only receiveing a ood deal for one of them, and then pushing out their AA defender. (Not to mention the Board trouble that continues to plague them...)

Things seem rubbish (well, they ARE rubbish) at the moment. But things can also turn around faster than it may appear.


Yes they can turn around pretty quickly, but the history you point out was made by a little biyt of help from the drafting rules, which are not there for us...in fact Dean and walker WILL cost us 2 first rounders each ie 4 first rounders we could have used on other top 18 players plus get our FS with latter rubbish picks.

We have to play against all thsoe father sons and first rounders the abovementioned teams have in their grasp....where's the justice? How do we get our hands aon a bit of extra class to give us a similar keg up?

Van Hatton with Walker will help more tha without that mobile ruckman we will be longing for the next decade.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:07 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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dannyboy wrote:
@#$%&! stupid rules


Beyond a joke. It’s pretty much aligned to stop us. I can’t understand why we are sitting on our hands over this and not challenging legally.


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:34 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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buzzaaaah wrote:
Sidefx wrote:
My understanding is that if you use your top 5 pick to match a bid you no longer get the bonus pick.
But if you use your top 5 pick on a player (in this case pick#2) then you should still get one.


My understanding is that the AFL works out which decision is the most disadvantageous to Carlton, and then that's the rule.


You have a good understanding.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:51 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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Back to reviewing the game


Ollie Hollands played his best game this season against the reigning Premiers.

We know he was our best running machine out there, but this game he eluded tackles, broke tacles, and avoided tackles by arching his back and gave us so much needed run

Bravo Ollie :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

Anyone disagree? Sidex? Anyone?

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:54 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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Thought Haynes looked like an old man.

Just didnt have energy and timing going for him.

He hasn't been great last 2 weeks, and I was a big fan....maybe time has caught up with him or his interupted preseason is catching up with him, and will get better as season progresses...he can do that in the VFL.

His experience is valuable, but I think Lewis Young offers more against taller opponents, and is a more reliable mark.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:56 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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I was having doubts Newman could kick on next year and this was his last, but he ran something like 15 kms and at good speed.

Not bad for a 33 yo.

Plus his use of the body to take marks is an Art .

Keeper, and gives backline stability.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:56 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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I hear Naicos has had 18 changers for the past 2 weeks. Amazing what a little tag and earning the contested ball does.


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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 5:56 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

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I enjoyed seeing Weitering out of the goal square and around and outside the 50m arc influencing the game.

CHB for me.

Lewis Young FB.

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PostPosted: Mon May 11, 2026 6:04 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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I agree Bondi….

Ollie played great…hence the hug from
the coach at the end…

Even though we lost…i didn’t have an issue
with Vossy congratulating his effort…


kindest regards tommi

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