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missnaut
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 5:55 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Yeah it's still up in the air and I'm not even taking into account Adelaide and Essendong.
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Paddycripps
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 5:55 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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missnaut wrote:
I think this is how it goes:

1 win will do it, if teams 6-11 also win 1-2 games, and if Geelong and Sydney win 2 we need better % depending on who else wins what games (currently behind Geelong but ahead of Sydney).

2 wins will mean teams 6-11 need to win all 3 and we need better % than Geelong AND Sydney.

Teams currently 5-11 are playing each other several times (Carl/GWS, Geel/StK, Geel/WBD) so unless we get more draws there will be teams in that range definitely losing games.

Other notable games
Geel play Coll this round.
GWS play Port away.

I think the Swans are a danger actually.
They play Suns at home, Adel away (who may be out of contention by then) and Melbourne at home (could be meaningless for Melbourne).

Clear as mud...


Yep that's how I see it. Swans. Can they make up 6 percentage points? Probably not. But we'd not want to lose many percentage points either.
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Paddycripps
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 5:56 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


I can get that but no I think Syd are the danger along with Cats

We should beat GC. If we can't then we don't deserve to play finals.
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jake_h03
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 6:03 pm 
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John Nicholls
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CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


Nah, suns are 2.5 games behind us. They would need to win all 3 and us lose all 3 to overtake us. If we lose all 3 other teams will overtake us anyway. We want suns to beat swans but I doubt they will


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bondiblue
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 7:58 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


That helps us too.

Then we continue our winning form in the last weekend of Home and away vs GWS at home, and have a rest and reset for the real onslaught from Carlton.

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missnaut
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 8:14 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Paddycripps wrote:
CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


I can get that but no I think Syd are the danger along with Cats

We should beat GC. If we can't then we don't deserve to play finals.


I think Cats have the harder run with all 3 against current top 8.

Swans only get 1 top 8 team and that's at home in the final round. They'll most likely get 2 non contenders assuming Brisbane beat Adelaide. They also have 2 home games out of 3.
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Paddycripps
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 9:18 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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missnaut wrote:
Paddycripps wrote:
CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


I can get that but no I think Syd are the danger along with Cats

We should beat GC. If we can't then we don't deserve to play finals.


I think Cats have the harder run with all 3 against current top 8.

Swans only get 1 top 8 team and that's at home in the final round. They'll most likely get 2 non contenders assuming Brisbane beat Adelaide. They also have 2 home games out of 3.


Gut feel then?
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missnaut
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:06 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Well this is all on paper. It only takes one upset to throw everything out!
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CK95
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:18 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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jake_h03 wrote:
CK95 wrote:
I'm so confused now :lol:

I was thinking it'd be best if Syd beat GC, meaning the suns would be out of contention by the time they play us.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


Nah, suns are 2.5 games behind us. They would need to win all 3 and us lose all 3 to overtake us. If we lose all 3 other teams will overtake us anyway. We want suns to beat swans but I doubt they will


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Yeah OK. My angle was our actual game against GC would be easier for us if the suns have checked out knowing they can't make finals at all

But you're right, need the Swans to lose more.



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bluehammer
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:36 pm 
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We win and nothing else matters.

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CK95
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:38 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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We lose and enter Sandman.

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grrofunger
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:39 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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CK95 wrote:
We lose and enter Sandman.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk


Sad but true

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Yeah but whatabout your whataboutism.
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bluehammer
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:45 pm 
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CK95 wrote:
We lose and enter Sandman.

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk
Lygon Street will be a Pasta of Muppets

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Congratulations CK95
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CK95
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:05 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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:lol:

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bluehammer
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:08 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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CK95 wrote:
:lol:

Sent from my Nokia G21 using Tapatalk
(was reasonably happy with that one)

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Ghost of PrincesPark
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:11 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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I can't believe this thread.

Every single day the LOSER mentality of "looking behind" / who might take our spot? rears its pathetic gutless head yet again.

FFS
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Ghost of PrincesPark
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:15 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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P.S. It's Over.

Get used to it.

I know, it was a horrible nightmare that seemed it would never end.

2002-2022

but now RIP to that.

It's done, no more 'negative' pussy-whipped loser mentality.

The Almighty Blues are BACK.

Get with the program or go home.
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CK95
PostPosted: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:20 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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bluehammer wrote:
(was reasonably happy with that One)



EFA



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jake_h03
PostPosted: Tue Aug 08, 2023 12:12 am 
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Interestingly, none of the chasing pack are playing each other this week. They’re all either playing top sides or bottom 6 sides, which means

Results that could go in our favour (In order of likelihood according to the bookies)

Adelaide lose to Brisbane
GWS lose to port
Geelong lose to Collingwood
St Kilda lose to Richmond
Dogs lose to Hawthorn
Sydney lose to Gold Coast
Essendon* lose to North

Edge of your seat stuff this season. The only game that’s irrelevant is the derby.


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Mickstar
PostPosted: Tue Aug 08, 2023 12:50 am 
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Craig Bradley
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missnaut wrote:
Well this is all on paper. It only takes one upset to throw everything out!


Yeah , and if we get an upset we all know what that paper will be good for .

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