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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:22 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2015 5:55 pm
Posts: 4435
bondiblue wrote:
scottopee wrote:
Blue Sombrero wrote:
bondiblue wrote:
When talls Rowe Casboult White become depth players we should have a pretty good spine.
IF we can get Marchbank Stewart and Corr on board whilst McKay develops then our spine is set.
Gives us Weitering and Marchbank as swingmen, as well as increasing our pace and mobility from talls.

When midfield-forwards Thomas Sumner Lamb become depth players we should have a good forwardline.
IF we can get Pickett Hrovat Hoskin-Elliot/Ellis-Yeolman and add a 2016 first round mid whilst Curnow and Silvagni develop around them our forwardline improves as does our midfield depth.

IF pick 5 helps us get the above mentioned and we can receive a pick 14-16 for the 5, I think we have expedited our rebuild, and are on par with the depth of all the teams outside the 8.

From there we can add class from the 2017 and 2018 drafts along with a FA star in the mould of a Fyfe.

We could be ready to fire for finals from 2018 onwards.

A great trading period in the next fortnight can set us up quicker than some think.

The Dogs have shown how quickly things can turn around.
We weren't too far off the pace in about five games, some of them top teams.
We do need an elite outside mid with run. We have Gibbs who is elite but not quick. The Dogs won the prelim AND the GF on the back of Johannisen (sp) run and carry late in the games.


The dogs drafted themselves to success picked the players they wanted not take heap of other teams cast offs hoping some become stars.


I see what you're saying but the Doggies didn't have the opportunities the GWS present, but when they did, they took Boyd. Gordon knew Boyd was gettable before Griffen left.

I agree with the need for outside speed ie JJ Norm Smith. Incredibly Doggies got him on the rookie list in 2010. Picken was recruited in 2008 as a rookie.

We tried to build a list around Juddy and the No 1 drafts...and still had holes everywhere let alone a lack of depth with our KP's.

Doggies have 4 x FS. They have been very lucky with their 3rd rounders and rookies. We can too if that's the way to go. A lot of luck required looking for 2 in the bush.

We lack a spine. We have aging and sub par KPs Rowe, Casboult, White, Kreuzer with back ups in Jones, Gorringe and Jaksch. We need to replace all of them. There's a lot of them.

Talls are hard to get. How long do you think it would take to replace/ upgrade on those 8 mentioned from the draft, along with midfielders.

There's an opportunity for SOS to take advantage of the plethora of talls the GWS can't keep, and perhaps a super zippy Pickett packaged with them.

I believe Cuningham, Murphy, Docherty and Boekhurst provide outside speed and Byrne will add to them when he's fit. All are babies except for Murphy, but he will be like a new recruit next year.

We can load up and go focus on mids over the 2017 and 2018 drafts. I'd like to see the spine sorted and build from there. That's just me..only if they are bonafide KPs.

Marchbank and Corr for example are mobile KPs. I don't think we need gorillas with team defense working.
Stewart is a KP who can kick. There's nothing wrong with these talls if they are bonafide guns. I'll leave that to SOS.

There's no guarantees we can get the talls we want in any future draft unless we take them earlier than they are valued. I can see us having to trade for talls anyway and that will cost us more than the current unique GWS situation presents.

There no right or wrong. None of us are Nostradamus. Just different angles for success. We lack depth.


Thanks for the cross eyed headache !


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:30 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 25092
Location: Bondi Beach
Paddycripps wrote:
bondiblue wrote:
scottopee wrote:
Blue Sombrero wrote:
bondiblue wrote:
When talls Rowe Casboult White become depth players we should have a pretty good spine.
IF we can get Marchbank Stewart and Corr on board whilst McKay develops then our spine is set.
Gives us Weitering and Marchbank as swingmen, as well as increasing our pace and mobility from talls.

When midfield-forwards Thomas Sumner Lamb become depth players we should have a good forwardline.
IF we can get Pickett Hrovat Hoskin-Elliot/Ellis-Yeolman and add a 2016 first round mid whilst Curnow and Silvagni develop around them our forwardline improves as does our midfield depth.

IF pick 5 helps us get the above mentioned and we can receive a pick 14-16 for the 5, I think we have expedited our rebuild, and are on par with the depth of all the teams outside the 8.

From there we can add class from the 2017 and 2018 drafts along with a FA star in the mould of a Fyfe.

We could be ready to fire for finals from 2018 onwards.

A great trading period in the next fortnight can set us up quicker than some think.

The Dogs have shown how quickly things can turn around.
We weren't too far off the pace in about five games, some of them top teams.
We do need an elite outside mid with run. We have Gibbs who is elite but not quick. The Dogs won the prelim AND the GF on the back of Johannisen (sp) run and carry late in the games.


The dogs drafted themselves to success picked the players they wanted not take heap of other teams cast offs hoping some become stars.


I see what you're saying but the Doggies didn't have the opportunities the GWS present, but when they did, they took Boyd. Gordon knew Boyd was gettable before Griffen left.

I agree with the need for outside speed ie JJ Norm Smith. Incredibly Doggies got him on the rookie list in 2010. Picken was recruited in 2008 as a rookie.

We tried to build a list around Juddy and the No 1 drafts...and still had holes everywhere let alone a lack of depth with our KP's.

Doggies have 4 x FS. They have been very lucky with their 3rd rounders and rookies. We can too if that's the way to go. A lot of luck required looking for 2 in the bush.

We lack a spine. We have aging and sub par KPs Rowe, Casboult, White, Kreuzer with back ups in Jones, Gorringe and Jaksch. We need to replace all of them. There's a lot of them.

Talls are hard to get. How long do you think it would take to replace/ upgrade on those 8 mentioned from the draft, along with midfielders.

There's an opportunity for SOS to take advantage of the plethora of talls the GWS can't keep, and perhaps a super zippy Pickett packaged with them.

I believe Cuningham, Murphy, Docherty and Boekhurst provide outside speed and Byrne will add to them when he's fit. All are babies except for Murphy, but he will be like a new recruit next year.

We can load up and go focus on mids over the 2017 and 2018 drafts. I'd like to see the spine sorted and build from there. That's just me..only if they are bonafide KPs.

Marchbank and Corr for example are mobile KPs. I don't think we need gorillas with team defense working.
Stewart is a KP who can kick. There's nothing wrong with these talls if they are bonafide guns. I'll leave that to SOS.

There's no guarantees we can get the talls we want in any future draft unless we take them earlier than they are valued. I can see us having to trade for talls anyway and that will cost us more than the current unique GWS situation presents.

There no right or wrong. None of us are Nostradamus. Just different angles for success. We lack depth.


Thanks for the cross eyed headache !


You mean dot the eyes and cross the t's

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:32 pm 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Sep 28, 2009 2:56 pm
Posts: 2477
Age wrote:
FWIW, Poster on CSC just saw Bolton and Mckay at Docklands meeting with jay Shultz. Came with photo for evidence.



No....no....no


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:40 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 25092
Location: Bondi Beach
FB... Byrne Marchbank Corrs
HB... Docherty Weitering Simpson
C.....Cuningham Cripps Murphy
R.....Philips Gibbs Curnow
HF...Silvagni McKay Wright
FF...Pickett Stewart Curnow

IC... Kerridge Buckley Boekhurst Hrovat

EMERG...Rowe Casboult White Armfield Sumner Lamb Pick 16

OTHERS...Thomas Jones Lamb Jaksch Gorringe

Cuningham Murph and Boekhurst effectively new players in 2016 with plenty of line breaking pace.

Next year's draft trade period we focus on MIDS and FA's, same in 2018.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:48 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 25092
Location: Bondi Beach
If we could get Tomlison amongst those talls from GWS for pick 5 I would be over the moon.

Plenty of running mobile talls.

Steele would be great too having watched him on Fox last night.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:02 pm 
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Bert Deacon

Joined: Mon Sep 21, 2015 3:51 pm
Posts: 546
we need mids how OBIVIOUS is it


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:02 pm 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Sep 28, 2009 2:56 pm
Posts: 2477
tomlinson is staying at gws by all reports


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:34 pm 
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Craig Bradley

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 12:38 pm
Posts: 7640
Tomlinson not coming


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 3:22 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 25092
Location: Bondi Beach
jamespul65 wrote:
we need mids how OBIVIOUS is it


James, as Mosquito mentioned above, we need everything. I agree, and if you look at the depth at Carlton just look at the NB's and the cupboard is bare.

I would have thought quality talls are more difficult to get than mids, let alone tking longer to develop.

When we choose seconds we end up with Jones, Casboult, Rowe, White, Gorringe....and we need to replace them too.

There's n right or wrong, our list is miles behind the rest forging for finals.

No doubt we need mids.

In the Judd years we had the midfield group sorted and the Amigos running around, but no bonafide KPFs....and still don't.

Lets just wait and see what transpires. Not saying youre wrong. We need to build depth in numbers.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 3:23 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 25092
Location: Bondi Beach
frank dardew wrote:
Tomlinson not coming


Maybe.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 3:56 pm 
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Laurie Kerr

Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 4:22 pm
Posts: 109
ColourMan wrote:
AK43 wrote:
Quote:

We did not participate in the draft last year after pick 23 (I'm not including Jack)... I think every other club except Adelaide did, with almost every club also debuting a draftee after we pulled up stumps.

Either SOS decided there wasn't any talent worth selecting or wasn't able to identify the talent and decided not to try...

I could be wrong, but there might have been only player drafted in the 20s by GWS that played in their Preliminary final side... and Brodie was around then.


That's true but 23 was our 4th pick, most clubs would have had either one or no picks by then so they had to pick at least twice more. And why do you not count Jack? Run that draft again and a bid would come a lot earlier. We still turned over 16 players from memory, in a rebuild that can't be judged for at least another couple of years.


All you did was support my argument because you totally missed the point.


I might have missed your point also but I think your point is that SOS didn't think that there was any other talent in the draft so he didn't try. Despite this, every other club besides Adelaide, made selections after SOS. You think he either didn't want to identify further talent, or wasn't capable of it. Others have said SOS doesn't value picks over 40 and that this is an issue, etc etc. Hopefully SOS see's my post and jumps on and replies, to clarify his views on picks 40+. Until then, I'll defend him because I think he has done well up to this point.

I went back over the 2015 draft and looked at 7 random teams and what they did, to see if it proved your point (due to time restrictions). I also looked at all the teams who participated in the draft after we finished. I cannot disregard #53 being used on Jack Silvagni. It was used and was our fifth selection in the 2015 draft.

So we were active in the 2015 trade period but we're only looking at the draft in isolation. I've also disregarded Essendon* due to their need to fill positions on their list to cover the drug cheats who were banned. They would not normally have been this active otherwise. I looked at Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne, GWS, Gold Coast, Bulldogs, Hawks as my random teams. I then looked at Freo, Sydney, West Coast, Pies, Geelong, North, and Richmond as the teams who made selections after us.

We made 5 selections in the draft which had us the most active team, equal with Brisbane, and North at 5 (of my sample size). The majority of other teams used 4 but Sydney, Hawks, Richmond and West Coast only used 3 selections. SOS was active in the draft compared to the other teams.

Our final selection was pick #53. Of all the sample teams I randomly chose, our pick #53, except for the swans using pick #56, was the latest pick used. With the sample teams final selections below:

- Brisbane fifth selection @ pick #47
- Sydney third selection @ pick #56
- Melbourne fourth selection @ 46
- GWS fourth selection @ #41
- Gold Coast fourth selection @ #52
- Dogs fourth selection @ #48
- Hawks third selection @ #44

Doesn't seem like SOS, making selection #53 our final selection, dipped out too early after all.

Of the teams who made selections after us:

West Coast's last pick (of 3) was #57 (which is close enough) but they didn't enter the draft until pick #28. We had already made four selections before they had made their first one. This pattern continues due to these teams trading earlier picks, which forced them to take later picks.

Freo's first pick was #27 (due to Harley Bennel trade)
Sydney's first pick was #3 (Callum Mills *academy) but after that they didn't get another choice until pick #51.
Collingwood started at pick #28 (due to Treloar trade)
Geelong started at pick #59 (due to Dangerfield, Henderson etc)
North started at #21 (due to Jed Anderson trade)
Richmond started at pick #15

Hope you made it through the stats.

I'm trying to demonstrate that we had got into the draft first at #1. But we had completed four selections before most of these clubs had even made a single trade. They got pushed back in the draft, forcing them to make late trades for drafted players. They simply didn't have earlier picks to use because they had traded them away during the trade period. It doesn't indicate their preference or ability to find talent later in the draft than SOS.

SOS should be commended for creating a scenario where he was able to secure 4 picks under 23 (19 before Academy selections), rather than being criticised for not making late picks. Further to this, he used five selections in the draft, bringing in some young talent that looks extremely promising for our future.

Lastly, you mentioned that Adelaide was the only team opting out of the draft earlier than us, but my list shows at least 6 out of my small sample. (Brisbane, Melbourne, GWS, Gold Coast, Western Bulldogs, Hawks).

Can't wait to see what he does this year. And before anyone jumps up and down complaining about how he'll go straight back to GWS, like last year, just STOP. Due to overwhelmingly insane concessions, granted to them by the AFL, they have an insane list of players that they simply cannot afford to keep. Players will continue to ooze out of the club as they continue to reduce their list, and address their impending salary cap issues. Silvagni has intimate knowledge of the list, having constructed most of it. If that is not an edge that should be exploited, I don't understand what would be. If he was not looking elsewhere, that could be perceived as an issue, but he traded with other teams during the trade period.

I'm obviously a fan so far and appreciate the changes that we're making to our list. Hope it continues as aggressively as it started, and that we see even more excitement next year.

Go Blues

(If there is a little discrepancy with the draft order, I was flicking between the indicative order, and the AFL Draft. I might have misquoted a little around any changes that occurred due to Academy selections, but the body of work is still sound, and it doesn't change the outcome).

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Last edited by Talrahir on Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:08 pm 
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Craig Bradley

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 12:38 pm
Posts: 7640
Good post Tal - thanks for that - lets hope SOS kills it this year


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:46 pm 
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Laurie Kerr

Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 4:22 pm
Posts: 109
Mosquito Fleet wrote:
CarltonClem wrote:
And who said Dalrymple didn't report to McCartney?

And even if he didn't, that's a matter for the Doggies. As List Manager, McCartney would have to liaise with the recruiting manager, that's just obvious.

Without knowing details, I'd suspect Dalrymple looks at u18 and u16 draft prospects almost exclusively.

If SOS thinks he can make the calls himself, no real issue there.


oh yes there is a real issue mate

talent identification and recruiting is a full time job

you visit the kids family
yoiu visit the kids school
you visit the kids old footy club
you follow up on the kids character references
you speak to any doctor
you go interstate and watch the kids play - back of beyond
all the above is just for one player
you don't just solely rely upon the gws list
you don't look at standard afl videos as our past recruiters have alleged to have done
its a full time job that sos cannot do - he is the list manager

don't worry, the board have made the decision that we don't need a recruiter


I don't have a staff list handy, but in his latest presser at the draft combine, Silvagni made reference to the work the 'Recruiting Team' had done in gathering information on all the draft prospects. He might be the decision maker, but I don't believe he is acting solo.

Is anyone here able to clarify the make-up of our scouting team? I don't see a conflict of interest in having SOS fill the role of List Manager and Recruiting Manager. The jobs would certainly overlap in places anyway. I would certainly expect he would have a group of scouts, though, that he can send forth like minions, to gather information on proposed targets (to fill our needs) and to find those diamonds in the rough.

While the football department spending is now capped, this has to be an area that we prioritise.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:51 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:21 pm
Posts: 8201
AK43 wrote:
Quote:

We did not participate in the draft last year after pick 23 (I'm not including Jack)... I think every other club except Adelaide did, with almost every club also debuting a draftee after we pulled up stumps.

Either SOS decided there wasn't any talent worth selecting or wasn't able to identify the talent and decided not to try...

I could be wrong, but there might have been only player drafted in the 20s by GWS that played in their Preliminary final side... and Brodie was around then.


That's true but 23 was our 4th pick, most clubs would have had either one or no picks by then so they had to pick at least twice more. And why do you not count Jack? Run that draft again and a bid would come a lot earlier. We still turned over 16 players from memory, in a rebuild that can't be judged for at least another couple of years.


Jack was father/son.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:55 pm 
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Laurie Kerr

Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 4:22 pm
Posts: 109
bondiblue wrote:
FB... Byrne Marchbank Corrs
HB... Docherty Weitering Simpson
C.....Cuningham Cripps Murphy
R.....Philips Gibbs Curnow
HF...Silvagni McKay Wright
FF...Pickett Stewart Curnow

IC... Kerridge Buckley Boekhurst Hrovat

EMERG...Rowe Casboult White Armfield Sumner Lamb Pick 16

OTHERS...Thomas Jones Lamb Jaksch Gorringe

Cuningham Murph and Boekhurst effectively new players in 2016 with plenty of line breaking pace.

Next year's draft trade period we focus on MIDS and FA's, same in 2018.


You don't see Ploughman as part of the future? Won't Byrne be out for most of the year? You see Kruezer being traded, or will the Blues finally drop the 2 ruck selection formula?

Loving the trade period already!

Go Blues

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:58 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:21 pm
Posts: 8201
GreatEx wrote:
Never seen Marchbank play, but if a player can be taken at #6, play 7 games in 2 years and suffer 2 serious injuries including a shoulder recon, and then be worth a #5 pick, then those must have been 7 bloody brilliant games. Surely any deal that involves giving up the #5 would not be a straight swap, but involve some improvement to our later picks?

Jay Schulz would be a free agent signing, right? If he can get back to last year's form or earlier, then not a bad guy to have around for a couple of years while our young forwards develop.



Apparently looked at in a coaching role and playing VFL. Given he has some ability and kicks very straight, seeing he's being looked at in a coaching role, we may as well put him on the senior list as well as a delisted free agent. You never know when he might come in handy. He'd be better than the 40th player on our list.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:04 pm 
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Laurie Kerr

Joined: Sun Aug 16, 2015 4:22 pm
Posts: 109
jim wrote:
GreatEx wrote:
Never seen Marchbank play, but if a player can be taken at #6, play 7 games in 2 years and suffer 2 serious injuries including a shoulder recon, and then be worth a #5 pick, then those must have been 7 bloody brilliant games. Surely any deal that involves giving up the #5 would not be a straight swap, but involve some improvement to our later picks?

Jay Schulz would be a free agent signing, right? If he can get back to last year's form or earlier, then not a bad guy to have around for a couple of years while our young forwards develop.



Apparently looked at in a coaching role and playing VFL. Given he has some ability and kicks very straight, seeing he's being looked at in a coaching role, we may as well put him on the senior list as well as a delisted free agent. You never know when he might come in handy. He'd be better than the 40th player on our list.


They are probably thinking that he would be able to pass on some tips to Casboult, while saving on a specialist coach.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 9:44 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 4:00 pm
Posts: 24634
Location: Kaloyasena
Kouta wrote:
ColourMan wrote:
AGRO wrote:
Blue Vain wrote:
Mosquito Fleet wrote:

Mistake No.1



I understood that SOS was going to have his mate Paul Brodie appointed as Head Recruiter as soon as his suspension (for illegal AFL betting) was completed, which was immediately after this years draft.

Although I stand to be corrected.


We did not participate in the draft last year after pick 23 (I'm not including Jack)... I think every other club except Adelaide did, with almost every club also debuting a draftee after we pulled up stumps.

Either SOS decided there wasn't any talent worth selecting or wasn't able to identify the talent and decided not to try...

I could be wrong, but there might have been only player drafted in the 20s by GWS that played in their Preliminary final side... and Brodie was around then.

No logic in your views on SOS taking four picks before the second round. A lot of the "GWS four" were worth second round picks or later.

Not too mention a talent laden GWS squad who have to reduce their cap and list. They can write their own ticket with the academy and trading.

Derp.




The GWS four were contracted players that GWS didn't want, that we did GWS a huge favour by taking off their hands - worth second rounders pfft.

Collingwood are going to make out like bandits when they get Hoskin-Elliott for a third rounder - and we're being conditioned to accept saying sayonara to our pick 5 for Marchbank.

We've learnt nothing from last year except for drinking the "in SOS we trust" Kool-Aid.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 11:38 pm 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Sun Dec 23, 2007 11:51 am
Posts: 1291
jim wrote:
AK43 wrote:
Quote:

We did not participate in the draft last year after pick 23 (I'm not including Jack)... I think every other club except Adelaide did, with almost every club also debuting a draftee after we pulled up stumps.

Either SOS decided there wasn't any talent worth selecting or wasn't able to identify the talent and decided not to try...

I could be wrong, but there might have been only player drafted in the 20s by GWS that played in their Preliminary final side... and Brodie was around then.


That's true but 23 was our 4th pick, most clubs would have had either one or no picks by then so they had to pick at least twice more. And why do you not count Jack? Run that draft again and a bid would come a lot earlier. We still turned over 16 players from memory, in a rebuild that can't be judged for at least another couple of years.


Jack was father/son.


Exactly!!!


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2016
PostPosted: Sat Oct 08, 2016 5:17 am 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
Posts: 18022
Father/Son picks should be viewed as standard selections under the current criteria. If the player is good enough, he could cost you your first round pick.

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