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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:14 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:21 pm
Posts: 8201
Rexy wrote:
Think we need to discuss... :grin:

What's our run home from here ?


St.Kilda then the Bye. We have a rough run after that. After the bye we play GWS away, Pies, Crows at home, Eagles at home, then Sydney away and Hawthorn in Tassie. Win a couple of home games at least, and the Pies, Crows and West Coast are very winnable, and the season really takes off with a softish last 4 games with Brisbane and St.Kilda again as well as Melbourne and Essendon*.

Development is first but it's nice to have one eye at least on the finals even if they will be a bonus.


Last edited by jim on Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:17 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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HTP wrote:
Well, Hardwick reckons Richmond will make the finals, so we'll have to make way for them unfortunately.

:lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:24 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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I'd be happy to keep pinching a few games on the run home. I guess we'll end up with 10 wins. 11 wins and we've had a great finish. Anything more and we're better than I'm giving us credit for.

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:26 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Round 12 Sunday, June 12
STK v CARL ES 1:10PM W

Round 13 BYE

Round 14 Saturday, June 25
GWS v CARL SPO L

Round 15 Saturday, July 02
CARL v COLL MCG 7:25PM W

Round 16 Sunday, July 10
CARL v ADEL MCG 1:10PM L

Round 17 Sunday, July 17
CARL v WCE MCG 1:10PM L

Round 18 Saturday, July 23
SYD v CARL SCG 1:45PM L

Round 19 Saturday, July 30
HAW v CARL AU 2:10PM L

Round 20 Sunday, August 07
CARL v STK MCG 1:10PM W

Round 21 Saturday, August 13
BL v CARL G 1:45PM W

Round 22 Sunday, August 21
CARL v MELB MCG 1:10PM W

Round 23 Saturday, August 27
ESS v CARL MCG 12:00AM W


12 wins


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:35 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2005 9:21 pm
Posts: 8201
Rexy wrote:
Round 12 Sunday, June 12
STK v CARL ES 1:10PM W

Round 13 BYE

Round 14 Saturday, June 25
GWS v CARL SPO L

Round 15 Saturday, July 02
CARL v COLL MCG 7:25PM W

Round 16 Sunday, July 10
CARL v ADEL MCG 1:10PM L

Round 17 Sunday, July 17
CARL v WCE MCG 1:10PM L

Round 18 Saturday, July 23
SYD v CARL SCG 1:45PM L

Round 19 Saturday, July 30
HAW v CARL AU 2:10PM L

Round 20 Sunday, August 07
CARL v STK MCG 1:10PM W

Round 21 Saturday, August 13
BL v CARL G 1:45PM W

Round 22 Sunday, August 21
CARL v MELB MCG 1:10PM W

Round 23 Saturday, August 27
ESS v CARL MCG 12:00AM W


12 wins
Reckon we're a real chance against West Coast and Adelaide in Melbourne.


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:49 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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Location: How blue do you do
A SAINTS WIN
A GIANTS LOSS
H PIES LOSS
H CROWS WIN
H EAGLES LOSS
A SWANS LOSS
A HAWKS LOSS
H SAINTS WIN
A LIONS WIN
H DEMONS WIN
A DRUGS WIN

12W's 10 L's

Not sure if 12 wins is enough for finals. We aren't going to lose them all, and we aren't going to win them all. I think this is fair enough.. perhaps swap the pies and crows.


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:51 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Not sure we can ink in a W for next week. Pencil at this stage.


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:54 pm 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 9:20 am
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Location: Adelaide
McKay, Cuningham, C. Curnow and Silvagni will potentially start getting some games in the second half of the season; I wouldn't be surprised to see the wins drop off as a few of the young guys are given an extended run.

The season won't be measured on wins and losses, it's all about growth and development.

8-10 wins at the season's conclusion is my prediction.


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 6:56 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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GWS wrote:
Probably not going to happen but how nice is it to have a thread devoted to it? :grin:


This.


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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 7:36 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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HTP wrote:
Well, Hardwick reckons Richmond will make the finals, so we'll have to make way for them unfortunately.

Eade does too
Noonamah Blue wrote:
:clap:
HTP wrote:
Well, Hardwick reckons Richmond will make the finals, so we'll have to make way for them unfortunately.

:clap: :clap:



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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:18 pm 
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Vale 1953-2020
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chelodina wrote:
HTP wrote:
Well, Hardwick reckons Richmond will make the finals, so we'll have to make way for them unfortunately.

Eade does too
Noonamah Blue wrote:
:clap:
HTP wrote:
Well, Hardwick reckons Richmond will make the finals, so we'll have to make way for them unfortunately.

:clap: :clap:



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Really? Eade thinks Richmond will make the finals?
Rexy wrote:
if we maintain current form, then logically we should make the finals, yes ?

why would we drop off now ?

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:30 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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I agree with those saying about 12 wins, which makes our percentage a real problem

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:38 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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One win today added 5%.

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 9:45 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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GWS wrote:
One win today added 5%.

Our biggest win of the year. Need a few more, and a very respectable effort in that Adel-Eagles-Swans-Hawks stretch to be in the hunt.

The three closest percentages near or above us right now are 109, 105 and 105, then it's all 130+ save for Adelaide. Can't have any more 10-goal losses unless we can thread in some 10-goal wins.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2016 11:32 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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You will need 13 maybe 14 to get into the 8
Unless Freo Bris Ess GC start causing a few upsets

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 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2016 1:37 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Wed Aug 12, 2009 2:30 pm
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Sydney Blue wrote:
You will need 13 maybe 14 to get into the 8
Unless Freo Bris Ess GC start causing a few upsets


Agree. After tomorrow Adelaide in 8th at the half way mark will be 7-4 with a % of 120 and some easy games to follow.

On a side note, you'd think by now journo's would give up asking Bolts whether "we are re-assessing our goals, due to winning games", or whether "we've talked about making finals". Looking for a headline, but getting nothing....

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2016 5:29 am 
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Bruce Doull
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jimmae wrote:
GWS wrote:
One win today added 5%.

Our biggest win of the year. Need a few more, and a very respectable effort in that Adel-Eagles-Swans-Hawks stretch to be in the hunt.

The three closest percentages near or above us right now are 109, 105 and 105, then it's all 130+ save for Adelaide. Can't have any more 10-goal losses unless we can thread in some 10-goal wins.


If we don't beat Crows we don't play finals. Simple as that. To lock it in we need to also beat Hawks and/or Weagles

I got on us at $15 so here's hoping

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2016 8:44 am 
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Ken Hunter
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I'd actually give us a fair chance against the Hawks because their strength is their attack, their weakness is their defence, and we are the opposite. Could be a matter of who has the shorter injury list and the greater determination on the day.

That said, I'd be thrilled with 12 wins even though it won't be enough for finals. I don't think we can take a 4-0 end to the season for granted, either. 10 wins would be a satisfactory outcome from here, though it may seem disappointing given our recent run.


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 Post subject: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2016 9:44 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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I wouldnt be penciling in the Saints just yet.
Good to see we arent getting too carried away folks. :lol: :lol:

I reckon post break we might take a big scalp or two.. but overall
Im uncomfortable with taking it more than a week at a time.
So proud of our turnaround as a team and for the whole club.

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 Post subject: Re: Finals ?
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2016 9:54 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Looks like posters (by their W/L predictions) have acknowled that we won't beat anyone currently in the 8 for the rest of the season. Which kind of tells you we arent good enough anyway.

I'm not fussed either way but I think we could beat the WCE at the G. They are serious front runners. If it was at Etihad I'd say it would have been very likely we'd win.

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