Talking Carlton Index Lochie O'Brien Kerryn Harrington Lochie O'Brien Kerryn Harrington CFC Home CFC Membership CFC Shop CFC Fixture Blueseum
It is currently Mon Jul 14, 2025 10:18 pm

All times are UTC + 10 hours




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4748 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101 ... 238  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 7:56 pm 
Offline
Bruce Doull
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 2:32 pm
Posts: 33043
Location: Back in reality
Goltz that trade was the equivalent of pick 27 for Jaksch and Whiley, looking at the AFL's draft value index they'll be using for F/S bids, so not so bad really.

_________________
29 different attributes,
And only 7 that you like;
20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 8:23 pm 
Offline
Rod Ashman

Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 9:35 am
Posts: 2125
Is Aish likely to be better than the pick we give up for him, hard to know but i'd hate to miss out on a potential Fyffe, Hanneberry, Parker etc.

Aish is from SA and sooking because he has to play for a bottom side outside his own state. So why is he going to want to come to us? He'll have to play for a poor side for 4-5 years before we get better. Does he have the character to do that, or like Hendo will he walk out when things are tough? I'd rather him than Carlisle, but we need character as much as talent. Yarran has way more talent than Aish, how is he going at the moment?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 8:44 pm 
Offline
Harry Vallence

Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 6:45 pm
Posts: 1757
Forget about Aish he is going to the Pies......


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 9:14 pm 
Offline
Mike Fitzpatrick
User avatar

Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 4:22 pm
Posts: 4678
Location: Melbourne
So let me get this straight,.........

We're (most likely) getting a first round pick for Hendo and Yazz each??? Bloody hell. Id take that!!! Even in a (so-called) weak draft, I'm happy with that.
Yazz doesn't look like wanting to play for Carlton and Hendo has been a shadow of himself.

Preferably i would like to keep Hedno and just play him down back where i think he's best - but if he wants to go then so be it!


So we will probably end up with 4 x picks in the top 20??? If we were serious about rebuilding....... now's the perfect time to do so!

_________________
"We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit"
- Aristotle


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 9:45 pm 
Offline
Harry Vallence

Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2006 4:52 pm
Posts: 1857
It's one thing getting 4 or 5 picks in the top 20, you then have to nail these picks as well.

For all those getting so excited about the draft picks, do remember when Terry Wallace started at Richmond in 2004. From memory they ended up with 5 picks in the top 20 as well and proceeded to draft Brett Deledio (Pick 1), Richard Tambling (Pick 2), Danny Meyer (Pick 11), Adam Pattinson (Pick 16) and Dean Polo (Pick 20) - from memory.

Whilst in the same draft Hawthorn picked up Roughead, Franklin and Lewis in the top 10.

So yes it's a start, but like everything else, it's not the silver bullet that is going to fix all our problems. Especially without a recruiting manager.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:03 pm 
Offline
Mike Fitzpatrick
User avatar

Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 4:22 pm
Posts: 4678
Location: Melbourne
Nick wrote:
It's one thing getting 4 or 5 picks in the top 20, you then have to nail these picks as well.

For all those getting so excited about the draft picks, do remember when Terry Wallace started at Richmond in 2004. From memory they ended up with 5 picks in the top 20 as well and proceeded to draft Brett Deledio (Pick 1), Richard Tambling (Pick 2), Danny Meyer (Pick 11), Adam Pattinson (Pick 16) and Dean Polo (Pick 20) - from memory.

Whilst in the same draft Hawthorn picked up Roughead, Franklin and Lewis in the top 10.

So yes it's a start, but like everything else, it's not the silver bullet that is going to fix all our problems. Especially without a recruiting manager.



Oh yeah, totally understand...... and I'm not into picks at all!!! (Just look back to the Kreuzer Cup situation we were in.... look where that got us!!!)

But, we've got 2 players who don't want to be here. Usually we just traded them on for anything we could get in the past (Grigg / Robbo / Jeff etc etc). Now we're getting some value for them!

_________________
"We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit"
- Aristotle


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 10:38 pm 
Offline
Robert Walls
User avatar

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 5:06 pm
Posts: 3366
Do we even have a head recruiter yet?

_________________
"In better news for Blues fans, Jarrad Waite was not named on the club's injury list."


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 8:45 am 
Offline
Serge Silvagni

Joined: Fri Sep 28, 2012 11:12 am
Posts: 915
We will when the season ends. He comes from GWS


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 9:52 am 
Offline
Vale 1953-2020
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 1:23 am
Posts: 11671
jimmae wrote:
Punter22 wrote:
jimmae wrote:
Punter22 wrote:
Not sure how the math with Stewart works out. A player worth a second round pick and is in our best 22 is going to cost approx $200k under league average. can't see that happening. and Jones will be on the list next year, people need to give up on that dream.

Given we'll have another $620k freed up after 2016 under that scenario, why couldn't you just backload contracts like that?

Can someone confirm if Judd qualified for our veteran's list? If he did then as much as $250k of his contract may not have counted under the TPP.


I'd go the other way and fill next year to the limit. They won't be competitive and more frees up as the team improves.

If I'm right about Judd I'm not sure if we have other Veterans to fill the gap, so there might not be any more cap space to fill without risking going over the cap.

Ah, big deal! So, if we have to, just go over the cap. What could go wrong?

_________________
Never argue with idiots. They drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience!!!

After Monday and Tuesday, even the calendar says W T F .........
Visit http://fromthemoshpit.com/


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 9:55 am 
Offline
Vale 1953-2020
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 1:23 am
Posts: 11671
Megaman wrote:
I heard that on day one SOS invited him into his office just so he could tell him to GTFO

:lol:

_________________
Never argue with idiots. They drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience!!!

After Monday and Tuesday, even the calendar says W T F .........
Visit http://fromthemoshpit.com/


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 12:42 pm 
Offline
Bruce Doull
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 2:32 pm
Posts: 33043
Location: Back in reality
Ok so I've gone over the numbers again, bumped up White & Rowe to $275k, still excluding any future TPP payments to any of the delisted rookies and put Carlisle on $550k; veteran list calculations are not a concern at all as far TPP goes because Simpson, Murphy and Walker will all count as veterans and the amount is fixed, so all you need is one veteran to claim it all.

Delist: Ellard, Carrazzo, Jones, Tutt, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Wood (r), Johnson (r), Russell (r), Fields (r) (net TPP space: ~$825k)

Trade out: Henderson [pick 10], Rowe [good home], White [3rd->2nd rd pick upgrade or 3rd rd pick] (net TPP: ~$1m)

Promote: Sheehan, Byrne (net TPP: ~-$80k)

Re-sign: Kreuzer [3 years], Giles [2 years], Everitt [2 years], Curnow [2 years], Armfield [1 year] (net TPP: ~-$150k)

Trade in: Stewart [GWS, pick 19-30] (net TPP: ~-$150k)

PSD in: Carlisle [3 years] (net TPP: ~-$550k)

Free Agency in: Grant [2(+1) years] (net TPP: ~-$300k)

Draft in: 1 (Weitering), 10, Rice, SOSOS, 4th round pick (net TPP: ~-$420k)

Rookie Draft in: 1, 19, 37, Korcheck (net TPP space: ~-$150k)

Net TPP change: ~$250k

Now if we need to go up to $650k for Carlisle, it looks like this is achievable while still leaving us some wiggle room in the trade/FA market to secure a reliable senior player in an area of need. I've picked Grant and Stewart because one's a free agent and one's excellent value and they change our dynamics forward of centre, but they're merely suggestions, with the key point being there would be up to $700k to play with under this scenario.

Here's a break down of the contract figures I'm estimating for those leaving the club:

$500k - Judd, Jones (2 years rolled into 1)
$450k - Carrazzo, Henderson, Warnock
$275k - White, Rowe
$150k - Ellard, Tutt, Watson

For the re-signings, I've given them a 25k-50k wage bump. Perhaps Armfield and Curnow might only see another 25k between them, Kreuzer might not see much of an increase and Everitt might get a bigger bump because of his value in the goals and assists he provides, but on the whole an average wage increase between those 5 players of $30k seems right, and is above the TPP inflation rate.

_________________
29 different attributes,
And only 7 that you like;
20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:02 pm 
Offline
Craig Bradley
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 08, 2011 3:20 pm
Posts: 6923
Wood has a year remaining on his contract I believe.

_________________
BLUES 2010: PAV AND JUDD = FLAGS. DOING IT FOR THE LOVE OF DICK PRATT.

HAVE YOU SIGNED UP FOR TALKINGCARLTON SUPERCOACH 2009 YET?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:05 pm 
Offline
Bruce Comben
User avatar

Joined: Fri Aug 21, 2015 4:32 pm
Posts: 22
Long time lurker, finally deciding to weigh in. Below is what i hope happens while trying to stay realistic, building for deep finals in 3-4 years.

Drafted/Traded In: Weitering/Schache (Pick 1/2), Aish (free?), Carlisle (free?), Rice (f/s), Silvagni (f/s).
- From what i have read this draft is going to be shallow [read: outside top 20 is a gamble], so i think having three key targets (KP/MID), the f/s's and then trade for future picks in 2016 draft.

Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.

2016 Best/[Plays now to be the best in 2 years] 22:

FB: Giles Carlisle Tuohy
HB: Buckley Rowe Sheehan/Byrne
C: Aish Murphy Docherty
HF: Everitt Jaksch Yarran
FF: Casboult Weitering/Schache Menzel

RR: Kreuzer Gibbs Cripps

Int: Thomas, Simpson/Bell, Boekhorst, Graham/Holman.

Reserves (from): White, Wood, Jamison, Dick, Smith, DVR, Rice, Silvagni, Curnow,
Reserves Reserves (from): Jones, Tutt, Fields, Whiley, Walsh, Foster, Gowers

my 2c.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:31 pm 
Offline
Bruce Doull
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 2:32 pm
Posts: 33043
Location: Back in reality
The Rhino wrote:
Wood has a year remaining on his contract I believe.

I'm aware of this, but I'm positing that it's an option, which can only be written into AFL contracts if it is not a unilateral clause.

Otherwise we're not just hopeless, we're suicidal with our list management. If that's not the case then chuck on another $60-100k to next year's TPP in my estimates, depending on how a delisted rookie contract is counted against the TPP (I assume there's no discount).

_________________
29 different attributes,
And only 7 that you like;
20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:37 pm 
Offline
Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 3:50 pm
Posts: 2123
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

_________________
Formerly Blues-Back2003.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:39 pm 
Offline
Bruce Doull
User avatar

Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 2:32 pm
Posts: 33043
Location: Back in reality
Blues2005 wrote:
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

He's suggesting Walker and Henderson should be traded.

_________________
29 different attributes,
And only 7 that you like;
20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:49 pm 
Offline
Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 3:50 pm
Posts: 2123
jimmae wrote:
Blues2005 wrote:
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

He's suggesting Walker and Henderson should be traded.


We wouldn't get much for Walker. Probably better off keeping him.

_________________
Formerly Blues-Back2003.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:51 pm 
Offline
Craig Bradley

Joined: Sun Nov 18, 2012 3:29 pm
Posts: 7074
Walker wouldn't pass a medical.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 1:57 pm 
Offline
Craig Bradley
User avatar

Joined: Sat May 21, 2005 5:15 pm
Posts: 7460
Get one of those workers compo doctors from the 80's out of retirement...

_________________
“I would rather have questions that can't be answered than answers that can't be questioned.” ― Richard Feynman


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:06 pm 
Offline
formerly cj69

Joined: Sun May 03, 2009 9:52 am
Posts: 7893
drc wrote:
Long time lurker, finally deciding to weigh in. Below is what i hope happens while trying to stay realistic, building for deep finals in 3-4 years.

Drafted/Traded In: Weitering/Schache (Pick 1/2), Aish (free?), Carlisle (free?), Rice (f/s), Silvagni (f/s).
- From what i have read this draft is going to be shallow [read: outside top 20 is a gamble], so i think having three key targets (KP/MID), the f/s's and then trade for future picks in 2016 draft.

Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.

2016 Best/[Plays now to be the best in 2 years] 22:

FB: Giles Carlisle Tuohy
HB: Buckley Rowe Sheehan/Byrne
C: Aish Murphy Docherty
HF: Everitt Jaksch Yarran
FF: Casboult Weitering/Schache Menzel

RR: Kreuzer Gibbs Cripps

Int: Thomas, Simpson/Bell, Boekhorst, Graham/Holman.

Reserves (from): White, Wood, Jamison, Dick, Smith, DVR, Rice, Silvagni, Curnow,
Reserves Reserves (from): Jones, Tutt, Fields, Whiley, Walsh, Foster, Gowers

my 2c.


I like it. I think you're a couple of players short as well. Yarran is definitely gone and Menzel, Kruezer & Bell are possibilities.

Imagine we we traded the other 4 listed above for Francis, C.Curnow, Mathieson with Aish for Bell. Trade a late pick for Minson.

FB: Giles Jamison Tuohy
HB: Buckley Carlisle Sheehan
C: Aish Cripps Docherty
HF: Gibbs Jaksch Francis
FF: Casboult Schache Thomas

RR: Minson Murphy Graham

Int from: Mathieson C.Curnow Byrne Rice Simpson Boekhorst Holman Whiley Walker Smith.

The players we get rid of won't be missed at all. To me that is exciting.

#TheNewBlues

_________________
#NewBlues beginning 25th August 2015


Last edited by ThePsychologist on Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4748 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101 ... 238  Next

All times are UTC + 10 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ByteDanceSpider, Google [Bot], MPH78 and 39 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group