aboynamedsue wrote:
About this time of year for the last 2 years I've predicted we'd be a MOR team and finish between 6th-12th. I think that upset some posters who felt we were top 4 bound, mainly on the back of a competitive loss in a semi final to WCE in 2011.
I get the impression now that there's a better awareness of where we're at as a footy club. There's a good post in the Talking Players thread by cretylus in which he articulates issues that we've had for a number of years and he uses last year's semi final against Sydney to illustrate the point. Myself and others said 12 months ago that it wouldn't take Malthouse too long to realise a mini rebuild is required. And I reckon it's started.
This isn't a free pass for Malthouse, but it does take time to reprogram players and build lists. I think we're paying for some coaching, recruiting and list management mistakes during 2008-2012. I also think the club has some cultural issues going back further than that.
It's not all doom & gloom. I think we'll stay competitive. I don't agree with bottom 4. I just don't believe top 4 either. I desperately hope I'm underestimating us, but I think I've said that the last 2 years too.
The window for the experienced group of the current team (Judd, Scotland, Simmo, Waite, Carrots) to be part of a flag has been missed and it's our own fault. We SHOULD be top 4 by now. But it ain't gonna happen. Hopefully the likes of Murphy, Gibbs, Kreuzer, Thomas, Hendo & Tex will still be around when we get there. Watch for major renovations over the next couple of years, on and off field. If we do it right, we won't need to bottom out.
But there might be some more pain ahead, unfortunately.
9th.
I agree.
Position is hard to judge. Too many outside factors.
I look at it this way. With our draw, a good run with injuries and winning our fair share of tight games I see us as a 12-14 game winning side.
However, factors including development, fitness, injuries, confidence, luck, the opposition can make us much much better or much much worse. Given that I am still confident of significant improvement from last season.