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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 2:25 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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tbf, I am talking about winning percentage (%) of games. Ratten is higher than Malthouse & Bomber. He's also higher than about 60 coaches over the last 3 decades. Malthouse won a flag, yes. But in 10 seasons, he only got 1. It's plausible, Ratten can equal or better that.

Also ... not enough recognition is given to just what an abysmal state of affairs the club was in when Ratten took over. His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.

5 years for Ratten, given the first 3 were with a sub AFL list isn't much time to turn a list and a losing culture into a flag contending team, imo. Ratten walked into a job setup for failure, and fail he did until last season where he & the list over achieved to be less than one straight kick from a prelim final.

This year has been thwarted by an injury toll which would make, the Scott brothers, Bomber, MM, Alan Jeans and Parkin himself struggle to be at .500 on the year. And yet here's Ratten staring down at 13 wins.

It's quite unbelievable. The team which ran out against the Bulldogs is about the worst on paper I've seen since I started following us in '79.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 2:40 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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Braithy wrote:
tbf, I am talking about winning percentage (%) of games. Ratten is higher than Malthouse & Bomber. He's also higher than about 60 coaches over the last 3 decades. Malthouse won a flag, yes. But in 10 seasons, he only got 1. It's plausible, Ratten can equal or better that.

Also ... not enough recognition is given to just what an abysmal state of affairs the club was in when Ratten took over. His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.

5 years for Ratten, given the first 3 were with a sub AFL list isn't much time to turn a list and a losing culture into a flag contending team, imo. Ratten walked into a job setup for failure, and fail he did until last season where he & the list over achieved to be less than one straight kick from a prelim final.

This year has been thwarted by an injury toll which would make, the Scott brothers, Bomber, MM, Alan Jeans and Parkin himself struggle to be at .500 on the year. And yet here's Ratten staring down at 13 wins.

It's quite unbelievable. The team which ran out against the Bulldogs is about the worst on paper I've seen since I started following us in '79.

You forget the one in which Mick Martyn was a our key defender


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 3:36 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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Braithy wrote:
His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.


What VFL calibre players were getting a run in 2009?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 3:41 pm 
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The Rhino wrote:
Braithy wrote:
His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.


What VFL calibre players were getting a run in 2009?


Bower, Wiggins, Cloke, JR, Joseph and Thornton all played in the 2009 Elimination Final

Hard to think that any of them would get picked tomorrow for an EF.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 3:51 pm 
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Anyone give much weight to this rumor: http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/rumour-file-9.955589/page-63#post-25308634

Basically: Malthouse to be director of coaching, Ratts to stay head coach and Cloke is ours.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 4:06 pm 
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Garry Crane

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yibbida wrote:
Anyone give much weight to this rumor: http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/rumour-file-9.955589/page-63#post-25308634

Basically: Malthouse to be director of coaching, Ratts to stay head coach and Cloke is ours.


They can keep Cloke.....we have a Casboult !!


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 4:13 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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cimm1979 wrote:
The Rhino wrote:
Braithy wrote:
His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.


What VFL calibre players were getting a run in 2009?


Bower, Wiggins, Cloke, JR, Joseph and Thornton all played in the 2009 Elimination Final

Hard to think that any of them would get picked tomorrow for an EF.


Bower before the run of injuries of 2010 was well on his way - Synbad often recounts that story about Ratts saying he'd "definitely" be an All-Australian.

We've struggled for a decent medium sized lead up forward, Wiggins would certainly be in the mix.

Cloke played 10 games in 2009, and the other 3 have all consistently been named on extended benches or as emergencies the past few weeks and are only an injury or two away from being seriously considered.

Hardly Merrington - Eccles - Gallagher stuff, but have to admire your consistency just the same...

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 4:19 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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The Rhino wrote:
Bower before the run of injuries of 2010 was well on his way - Synbad often recounts that story about Ratts saying he'd "definitely" be an All-Australian.

We've struggled for a decent medium sized lead up forward, Wiggins would certainly be in the mix.

Cloke played 10 games in 2009, and the other 3 have all consistently been named on extended benches or as emergencies the past few weeks and are only an injury or two away from being seriously considered.

Hardly Merrington - Eccles - Gallagher stuff, but have to admire your consistency just the same...


Yep, but in that game, they were vital links.

Time has shown they are probably not good enough.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 4:24 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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I'd be happy to concede that they're not part of a premiership list, but it's neither here nor there to my original point. Braith stated that Ratts had VFL standard list cloggers up until the end of 2009.

We're also talking about say, Thornton from 3 years ago, rather than currently. Russell who came second in the B&F the year after before injuries hit.

All of which would easily get a game in the bottom 5-6 sides at the moment, which puts them above VFL level. 2002/03 and 06/07 are VFL standard...

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 5:03 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Urgh.

Just thinking about those years makes me shudder.

Harftime is always banging on about their 10 wins in 2004 as some sort of achievement. Given the cattle it may have been, but god it was sh1t.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 6:41 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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It also cost us a shot at the top of the 2004 draft and prolonged our stay at the bottom.

We would have been better off not going nuts on retreads.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 7:41 pm 
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Bert Deacon
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BigKev wrote:
my two cents wrote:
Braithy wrote:
Lets look at the best coaches of the AFL of the last 3 decades. winning flags is the measurable yardstick we'll use.

Leigh Matthews
Bomber
Parkin
Malthouse
Sheedy
Choc Williams

What were their records after 5 years? How many of them took over a team which'd won 2 of the previous 3 spoons?


I like how you conveniently forget Clarkson in the 5 year comparison. How does Ratten's best finish in 5 years compare with Clarkson, MM @ Collingwood circa 2000, and Grant Thomas ? I pick these 3 coaches as their list situation was roughly similar to what Ratten inherited. Clarkson won a premiership in year 4, MM lost a close grand final, even Grant Thomas the butt of many jokes for his lack of coaching skills had St K in a PF or two (IIRC).


Not so sure that assumption would stand up to close scutiny though. We scored 3 * #1 picks in a row before Ratten took over, (permanently). Any of those clubs on your list match that record you think?


Here's the record of finishes -

Carlton : 2005 - 16th; 2006 - 16th; 2007 - 15th.

St Kilda : 2000 - 16th; 2001 - 15th; 2002 - 15th.
Collingwood : 1998 - 14th; 1999 - 16th; 2000 - 15th.
Hawthorn : 2004 - 15th; 2005 - 14th; 2006 - 11th.

Little difference compared to St Kilda & Collingwood's records.

In 2007 we definitely tanked the last 7 games under Ratten otherwise the potential finish could have well been much higher.

Ratten did start from a low base so have others and they have done much more with the lists in hand than Ratten has in 4 years.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:15 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

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Rexy wrote:
Ockham's Razor wrote:
Any particular reason a couple of board members sat in the coach's box yesterday & previous couple of weeks?

You'd surely know by now after 5 years whether he's the coach to take us forward or not ?
Using MM and Bomber as examples, maybe not.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:20 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

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my two cents wrote:
Braithy wrote:
Lets look at the best coaches of the AFL of the last 3 decades. winning flags is the measurable yardstick we'll use.

Leigh Matthews
Bomber
Parkin
Malthouse
Sheedy
Choc Williams

What were their records after 5 years? How many of them took over a team which'd won 2 of the previous 3 spoons?


I like how you conveniently forget Clarkson in the 5 year comparison. How does Ratten's best finish in 5 years compare with Clarkson, MM @ Collingwood circa 2000, and Grant Thomas ? I pick these 3 coaches as their list situation was roughly similar to what Ratten inherited. Clarkson won a premiership in year 4, MM lost a close grand final, even Grant Thomas the butt of many jokes for his lack of coaching skills had St K in a PF or two (IIRC).


Clarko had the advantage of 3 top 10 picks in 2004, that included Buddy, Roughhead, Lewis. That's a godsend. I'd say his job was a bit easier on that basis alone.

Fact is Ratten's winning percentage after 5 years is better than what Bomber's and MM's was up to the year before their flags, which took 8 and 10 years respectively. If you read the Collingwood's Board's in 2009 and the first half in 2010 their supporter's were screaming loudly, just like our's, about getting rid of Malthouse thinking his time was up, he didn't have the right game plan and he wasn't the man for the job. We know how that turned out. Supporter's are the same all over.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:45 pm 
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Harry Vallence

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cimm1979 wrote:
The Rhino wrote:
Braithy wrote:
His first 3 seasons were pushing shit up hill with VFL calibre players only getting a gig because of our draft pick & finances situation from the black years.


What VFL calibre players were getting a run in 2009?


Bower, Wiggins, Cloke, JR, Joseph and Thornton all played in the 2009 Elimination Final

Hard to think that any of them would get picked tomorrow for an EF.


It's funny, in a sad way, when WCE asked for Bower in the Judd deal (in 2007) we said no...

If they were VFL calibre players back in 2009, why are they still on our list in 2012 (depriving opportunities for youngsters)?


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:51 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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JohnM wrote:
Braithy wrote:
JohnM wrote:
Actually, that list is a bit damning on Ratten.

Within 5 years, Matthews had a premiership. Sheedy had two premierships. Parkin won a flag in his second season. Malthouse had a Prelim in his second year at Footscray. Williams had Port Adelaide finish 1st in the H&A season 3 times (and won the flag in his sixth season).

:lol:
It's actually a great list to show how ordinary Ratts has been really.


I think this is where your argument is flawed. You see this list of the best coaches, and use the data --based on no premierships -- to boost your sack ratten campaign.


OK, so we have a situation where throughout AFL/VFL history, the only coach who has had a mediocre first hundred games and then gone on to turn it around to premiership success is seemingly Bomber Thompson (none of your other examples were right, there may be others but none of us can think of them). The pattern that keeps repeating is that the most successful coaches are those who show definite signs of their coaching prowess early on in their careers.

So there's a lot of history to suggest that Ratten won't succeed. One anomaly in Bomber Thompson is what people keep clinging to (If I had a buck for every time I've heard "Geelong wanted to sack Thompson and look what happened there...").

Ultimately, you're saying that Ratten has had such incredibly extenuating circumstances, that he'll defy history and do it where so many others have failed.

I don't buy that myself. I understand that he took on a club at the bottom, but it wasn't anywhere near as bad as when Pagan got it. Ratten got the club just as it was primed to rise... he'd tanked his way to our 3rd No.1 pick and got Judd...

You make it sound like Ratten got the poisoned chalice. It wasn't that bad.

5 years in, and the guy is still 'learning'. We had injuries this year, sure. But he also made the call to play 3 ruckmen in an era where every other club realised that was crazy. By his own admission, guys like Casboult wouldn't have got near the senior team if we hadn't had injuries. People like Robert Walls are defending him, saying he's better now than he was in March.

Seriously, Ratten's development bell curve is shaped more like a pancake than a bell. At this rate, it'll be a decade before you'd be confident enough to say he'd finally got his shit together as a senior coach.

Ultimately, you think he'll defy history and come good. I don't. I doubt we'll ever agree, which is fair enough.


Not a Ratten fan then John? I think you're rewriting history a bit though mate. I don't think that we ever actually played three rucks. We played three blokes whose best position was in the ruck - true. What we did though was try to make one or two of them key position forwards. Didn't really work, but what choice did he have? I seem to remember at the time neither Casboult or Waite were anywhere near being available. In fairness Hammer showed a little bit of promise, but personally I think his future is not as a pure KPP. Thorton? Tried him and he did a few good things, but not outstanding. Bower? Looked lost in the forward line to me. Henderson of course was holding the backline together. Walks missed games. Who else ... Watson? Doesn't look ready for that role ... not yet anyway. Mitchell ... injured. Sam Rowe ... injured. Have I missed anyone?

So what would you have done? Eddie's brilliant overhead, but he needs at least one tall around him. Who would you have put up there?


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:56 pm 
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Horrie Clover
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yibbida wrote:
Anyone give much weight to this rumor: http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/rumour-file-9.955589/page-63#post-25308634

Basically: Malthouse to be director of coaching, Ratts to stay head coach and Cloke is ours.



I'd take that.

Bit like my comments earlier in the thread. Honor Ratts contract for 2013 with MM as Director of Coaching then make a decision again post 2013.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 8:58 pm 
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formerly King Kenny
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BigKev wrote:
JohnM wrote:
Braithy wrote:
[quote="JohnM"]Actually, that list is a bit damning on Ratten.

Within 5 years, Matthews had a premiership. Sheedy had two premierships. Parkin won a flag in his second season. Malthouse had a Prelim in his second year at Footscray. Williams had Port Adelaide finish 1st in the H&A season 3 times (and won the flag in his sixth season).

:lol:
It's actually a great list to show how ordinary Ratts has been really.


I think this is where your argument is flawed. You see this list of the best coaches, and use the data --based on no premierships -- to boost your sack ratten campaign.


OK, so we have a situation where throughout AFL/VFL history, the only coach who has had a mediocre first hundred games and then gone on to turn it around to premiership success is seemingly Bomber Thompson (none of your other examples were right, there may be others but none of us can think of them). The pattern that keeps repeating is that the most successful coaches are those who show definite signs of their coaching prowess early on in their careers.

So there's a lot of history to suggest that Ratten won't succeed. One anomaly in Bomber Thompson is what people keep clinging to (If I had a buck for every time I've heard "Geelong wanted to sack Thompson and look what happened there...").

Ultimately, you're saying that Ratten has had such incredibly extenuating circumstances, that he'll defy history and do it where so many others have failed.

I don't buy that myself. I understand that he took on a club at the bottom, but it wasn't anywhere near as bad as when Pagan got it. Ratten got the club just as it was primed to rise... he'd tanked his way to our 3rd No.1 pick and got Judd...

You make it sound like Ratten got the poisoned chalice. It wasn't that bad.

5 years in, and the guy is still 'learning'. We had injuries this year, sure. But he also made the call to play 3 ruckmen in an era where every other club realised that was crazy. By his own admission, guys like Casboult wouldn't have got near the senior team if we hadn't had injuries. People like Robert Walls are defending him, saying he's better now than he was in March.

Seriously, Ratten's development bell curve is shaped more like a pancake than a bell. At this rate, it'll be a decade before you'd be confident enough to say he'd finally got his shit together as a senior coach.

Ultimately, you think he'll defy history and come good. I don't. I doubt we'll ever agree, which is fair enough.


Not a Ratten fan then John? I think you're rewriting history a bit though mate. I don't think that we ever actually played three rucks. We played three blokes whose best position was in the ruck - true. What we did though was try to make one or two of them key position forwards. Didn't really work, but what choice did he have? I seem to remember at the time neither Casboult or Waite were anywhere near being available. In fairness Hammer showed a little bit of promise, but personally I think his future is not as a pure KPP. Thorton? Tried him and he did a few good things, but not outstanding. Bower? Looked lost in the forward line to me. Henderson of course was holding the backline together. Walks missed games. Who else ... Watson? Doesn't look ready for that role ... not yet anyway. Mitchell ... injured. Sam Rowe ... injured. Have I missed anyone?

So what would you have done? Eddie's brilliant overhead, but he needs at least one tall around him. Who would you have put up there?[/quote]

Played a 50 goal kicker inside 50 for starters. That's one the biggest mistakes we made this year pushing Walker onto a wing when we were in need of goal kickers.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:06 pm 
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John Nicholls

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Werent we in need of midfielders too Kenny. There was a reason Walker was up the ground. It didnt really work i agree but there was good reason to try it.

It took Ratts a while to sift through ideas to cover for all the players that were missing. He wouldnt be the first coach to be in that position.

Things have come good though in the last 6 weeks and we have played good footy since the Port game. The hawks game was a bad one too but we fought back.

Big Kev, I think JohnM has made up his mind. You made great points though and should at the least get him thinking a bit.
If someone believed that Ratts was going for the 3 ruckman tactic and ignores the fact that he was actually using one as a KPP because that is all we had left then that someone would believe Ratts cant coach and you wouldnt blame them.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:44 pm 
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Vale 1953-2020
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BigKev wrote:
.......Not a Ratten fan then John? I think you're rewriting history a bit though mate. I don't think that we ever actually played three rucks. We played three blokes whose best position was in the ruck - true. What we did though was try to make one or two of them key position forwards. Didn't really work, but what choice did he have? I seem to remember at the time neither Casboult or Waite were anywhere near being available. In fairness Hammer showed a little bit of promise, but personally I think his future is not as a pure KPP. Thorton? Tried him and he did a few good things, but not outstanding. Bower? Looked lost in the forward line to me. Henderson of course was holding the backline together. Walks missed games. Who else ... Watson? Doesn't look ready for that role ... not yet anyway. Mitchell ... injured. Sam Rowe ... injured. Have I missed anyone?

So what would you have done? Eddie's brilliant overhead, but he needs at least one tall around him. Who would you have put up there?

What about Thornton? You missed him.

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