JohnM wrote:
Oh, no wrist-slashing or card-cutting at all for me over our performances this year. The club has induced more apathy than anything right now.
It's been my experience that the people least likely to create a successful outcome are optimists and pessimists. Realists, on the other hand, are usually quite good at identifying problems and doing what needs to be done. They're also good at making themselves better, and at risk minimisation.
Pessimists tend to lack motivation. Optimists tend to just assume things will work out.
I think when Sticks said our plan was to win 2 flags in 5 years, he was being very optimistic. I think anyone who still thinks the only problem with this club is a whole bunch of unlucky injuries is being very optimistic.
Any realistic assessment of our club would lead you to acknowledge that we have too many departments and functions that max-out at the mediocre range.
Pessimists will say the glass is half empty.
Optimists will say the glass is half full.
Realists will say the glass is at 50% capacity, and we won't be a serious contender until we get more water in the bloody thing.
I'm a realist.
I wasnt expecting a flag this season though prior to the season was certainly expecting top 4 - I dont think that is unreasonable given the way we finished the previous season in perth. My question to you though, is post the perth loss, how many people here were out there raving at the mediocre nature of the clubs various departments/performances? The answer of course, is not many at all.
So what changed this season?
Well clearly injuries have have had a significant impact on performances - To date, we've had just 4 senior players that have managed all 15 games this season - betts, gibbs, garlett (who is out of form) and robinson (currently playing with a broken hand). I'm curious as to whether or not you realised that?
A few weeks ago, it was reported up until that point in time, we'd had double the number of injuries than in the previous 2 seasons. I put it to you that the actual figure is significantly worse than the headline figure suggests
In terms of games missed due to injury by senior players (note - excludes games they got injured in, or were played whilst not 100% fit ie yarran)
We've had 5 players that have missed >1/2 the season thus far (15 games played)
laidler - 13 games
waite - 11 games
warnock - 11 games (excludes last week where he was dropped)
murphy - 8 games
carazzo - 9 games
Another 5 players have missed > 1/4 of the season thus far
duigan - 6 games
yarran - 6 games
walker - 6 games
henderson - 6 games
jamison - 4 games
On top of the above, an extra 10 players have been injured at various times earlier in the season as well.
- Judd (shoulder early in season, undisclosed pre-break)
- scotland (calf)
- collins (knee)
- armfield (knee)
- curnow (ankle)
- ellard (knee)
- touhy (back)
- Simpson (jaw)
- hampson (knee)
- thornton (glut)* - missed 4 weeks but excluded from above as seems his papers are stamped
Thats 20 senior players with injury interrupted seasons - half of which, have been significantly impacted. There have also been reports that kreuzer hasnt been 100% and should be rested. There have also been various suggestions that lucas has been struggling with injury as well (ratten media conference, posters here). - if thats true, then that makes 22 of our core senior players that have had injury impacted seasons.
What many probably dont realise is that that the 'twice' the number of injuries analysis in previous seasons was only a headline figure ie injuries to key personnel rather than senior players. It certainly didnt take into account was the rate of injuries to backup players that might otherwise have come into the senior team and either filled a role or contributed when the front liners went down.
Consider the following
- rowe - unavailable ALL year
- mitchell - has only been back in the ants for about a month or so
- casboult, davies, white - unavailable for most of the year with injuries. Last weekend was game 1 back from 8+ week layoffs
- bell and ROK didnt play in ants until mid may due to injures
- buckley missed about 2 mths of the season with a finger injury
- bray missed 2+ mths due to a shoulder injury
Thats 9 reserve players that have missed 2+ months of football - other reserve players have had niggles here and there as well
Our list is what? 48 players? - to date...
- approx 40% of our list has missed > 1/4 of the season with injuries (19/48)
- approx 30% of our list has missed > 1/2 of the season to date with injuries (14/48)
Feel free to do the numbers and check the math
So, my question to you is what impact you think such an injury list will have had on team selection, team structure and the teams performance thus far this season? What impact do you think the [REDACTED] up VFL system where we've had numerous byes would have had on player development and players returning from injury?
Given the above information, how can you realistically judge the team's performance on a week to week basis? or, as some here have requested the sacking of the coach and wholesale changes to the club? FMD
There is no question that some performances this season have been below par (effortwise) - however until the season is completed and a thorough review takes place (of ALL departments), any calling for sackings or wholesale changes is premature to say the least!