Blue Vain wrote:
I'm happy to be proven wrong 4th but your stats dont tell us anything about my original point.
Waitey is 194cm and 27 years old now however he is yet to establish himself as either a key forward or a consistent goalkicker.
We need someone to step up to that role but I have doubts he has the capacity to do it.
I'm of the opinion that waite has shown himself to be a consistent goal kicker but for team balance he has been played largely back for the past 2 and a bit seasons (say 40 or so games)
If you look at his stats in the few seasons before he went back then he was a regular goal scorer. Between 2005-2007 waite kicked 82 goals from 56 games (average 1.46/game). In terms of shots on goals (G+B), waite had 136 shots on goal in those 56 games (average 2.43). I've left out the 03+04 seasons left out b/c 03 was his 'rookie' season + 04 was limited to 9 games due to injury (iirc stress fractures?)
Another look at the 05-07 season
05 - averaged 1.7 goals, 1.1 behinds (2.8 shots/game)
06 - averaged 1.4 goals, 1.2 behinds (2.6 shots/game - missed rda 3-4 & 9-16)
Not sure if waite was injured in rds 3-4 but I think he was definitely injured in rd 8 (5 touches) and would have lost a fair bit of fitness (knee/7 weeks off). If you looked at pre-injury though, for 06 rds 1-2, 5-7 (5 games) waite kicked 9 goals 10 behinds (average of 1.8 goals+2 behinds ie 3.8 shots/game)
If you look at waites forward output from the start of 05-rd 7 of 06 (last game before injury) which I think gives you the best picture, waite kicked 45 goals+33 behinds in 26 games (average 1.7 goals, 1.3 behinds ie 3 shots/game)
07 is more complicated as waite spent part of the season back - According to wiki played NAB cup and early rounds at CHB during 07 before being moved forward later in the season - not the greatest source though).
07 - averaged 1.3 goals, 0.7 behinds ie 2 shots/game (spent part of the season back so that needs to be taken into account).
07 was also the first season where goals contributed stats appears (goals kicked+goal assist, no behinds) - for that season, despite playing back part of the season, waite was credited with 40 GC - I think that is more than acceptable as a forward. 40 GC + 15 behinds kicked+whatever behinds were kicked by other players on assists would suggest that waite has the capacity to generate 50-60+ shots on goal in a season.
Anyway, given waite's forward output between 05-07 I think he is more than capable of contributing as a key foward. Provided waite's knee holds up, 40+ goals would be readily achieved. I dont expect him to tear games apart as Fev did, but waite will definitely give a good contest/create spillage/apply pressure on opposition (as shown in his games down back) and should contribute regularl goals (as 05-07 shows)