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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2022 9:58 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2015 5:55 pm
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How many wins do we need to make finals?


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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2022 10:34 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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Just need to avoid losses and wins will take care of themselves

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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2022 11:08 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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I was hoping it was going to be a thread about boobs.

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 12:08 am 
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Rod Ashman
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Finals = Boobs


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 9:49 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
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Other than Melbourne humming it has been a rather even season.

Usually 12 wins will get to 7th or 8th position at the end of the year, but last year 7th & 8th teams won only 11.

One week at a time Paddy...starting this week to get us to 6 wins after 8 rounds.

8 Adel - Home - W = 6 wins
9 GWS - Away - L **
10. Syd - Home -W = 7 wins
11. Coll - MCG - W = 8 wins

BYE: Mid season Draft/ Return of Marchbank and Cuningham through VFL

12. Ess - MCG - W = 9 wins
13. Rich - MCG - L **
14. Freo - Home - W = 10 wins
15. STK - Home - W = 11 wins
16. WCE - Away - W = 12 wins
17. Geel - MCG - W = 13 wins
18. GWS - Home - W - 14 wins
19. Adel - Away - W - 15 wins
20. Bris - Away - L
21.Melb - MCG - L
22. Coll - MCG - W = 16 wins

16 wins is Top 4, beat Rich again and its Top 2, guaranteed if we beat GWS away.

Give us the CUP !!!

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Last edited by bondiblue on Fri May 06, 2022 9:57 am, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 9:50 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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Location: Bondi Beach
jezzarules wrote:
Just need to avoid losses and wins will take care of themselves


:clap:

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 9:54 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Give us TWO cups…!


kindest regards tommi

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 10:06 am 
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John Nicholls

Joined: Thu Apr 21, 2005 12:18 pm
Posts: 9183
Location: Australia
tommi wrote:
Give us TWO cups…!


kindest regards tommi


We are on track for a VFL/ AFL double.


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 11:39 am 
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Bert Deacon

Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 4:44 am
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tommi wrote:
Give us TWO cups…!


kindest regards tommi

So it is about boobs?


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 11:42 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Two cups….

one Grand Final…!


kindest regards tommi






and whilst we’re at it…boobs…!

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 11:50 am 
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Geoff Southby
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bondiblue wrote:
Other than Melbourne humming it has been a rather even season.

Usually 12 wins will get to 7th or 8th position at the end of the year, but last year 7th & 8th teams won only 11.

One week at a time Paddy...starting this week to get us to 6 wins after 8 rounds.

8 Adel - Home - W = 6 wins
9 GWS - Away - L **
10. Syd - Home -W = 7 wins
11. Coll - MCG - W = 8 wins

BYE: Mid season Draft/ Return of Marchbank and Cuningham through VFL

12. Ess - MCG - W = 9 wins
13. Rich - MCG - L **
14. Freo - Home - W = 10 wins
15. STK - Home - W = 11 wins
16. WCE - Away - W = 12 wins
17. Geel - MCG - W = 13 wins
18. GWS - Home - W - 14 wins
19. Adel - Away - W - 15 wins
20. Bris - Away - L
21.Melb - MCG - L
22. Coll - MCG - W = 16 wins

16 wins is Top 4, beat Rich again and its Top 2, guaranteed if we beat GWS away.

Give us the CUP !!!

First, teams often make the 8 with 10 wins but I wouldn't want to be relying on percentage the way ours is.

In regards to upcoming wins I think we have 3 likely wins and two likely losses.
Then 10 games could go either way so I'll take 5 wins from those. Gives us 13 total.
5th or 6th.

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 1:31 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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I also have us on 13 wins.

Wish we had the Eagles this week.

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 2:59 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

Joined: Thu Feb 02, 2006 11:03 am
Posts: 23781
Location: Bondi Beach
jezzarules wrote:
bondiblue wrote:
Other than Melbourne humming it has been a rather even season.

Usually 12 wins will get to 7th or 8th position at the end of the year, but last year 7th & 8th teams won only 11.

One week at a time Paddy...starting this week to get us to 6 wins after 8 rounds.

8 Adel - Home - W = 6 wins
9 GWS - Away - L **
10. Syd - Home -W = 7 wins
11. Coll - MCG - W = 8 wins

BYE: Mid season Draft/ Return of Marchbank and Cuningham through VFL

12. Ess - MCG - W = 9 wins
13. Rich - MCG - L **
14. Freo - Home - W = 10 wins
15. STK - Home - W = 11 wins
16. WCE - Away - W = 12 wins
17. Geel - MCG - W = 13 wins
18. GWS - Home - W - 14 wins
19. Adel - Away - W - 15 wins
20. Bris - Away - L
21.Melb - MCG - L
22. Coll - MCG - W = 16 wins

16 wins is Top 4, beat Rich again and its Top 2, guaranteed if we beat GWS away.

Give us the CUP !!!

First, teams often make the 8 with 10 wins but I wouldn't want to be relying on percentage the way ours is.

In regards to upcoming wins I think we have 3 likely wins and two likely losses.
Then 10 games could go either way so I'll take 5 wins from those. Gives us 13 total.
5th or 6th.


I think your forecast is more realistic jezza

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:14 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Location: Melbourne
At this stage I reckon you want to win 13 games to be in. Not sure 11-12 will cut it this year.


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:22 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 9:58 pm
Posts: 4299
I've got us winning 14

8 Adel - Home - W = 6 wins
9 GWS - Away - L
10. Syd - Home -L
11. Coll - MCG - W = 7 wins

BYE: Mid season Draft/ Return of Marchbank and Cuningham through VFL

12. Ess - MCG - W = 8 wins
13. Rich - MCG - L
14. Freo - Home - W = 9 wins
15. STK - Home - L
16. WCE - Away - W = 10 wins
17. Geel - MCG - W = 11 wins
18. GWS - Home - W - 12 wins
19. Adel - Away - W - 13 wins
20. Bris - Away - L
21.Melb - MCG - L
22. Coll - MCG - W = 14 wins

Could easily see us winning some I've marked as losses - GWS in a couple of weeks, Swans, aints and tiggers.
Could also easily see us losing a couple I've marked as wins - Freo, Cats in particular.
In short anywhere from 12 to 16 wins is what we're likely looking at.
12 wins and with our percentage would likely mean 7th or 8th. 13/14 wins would likely mean 5th or 6th and playing at the G in week 1 of the finals. 16 and we're looking at somewhere in the top 4.


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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 6:05 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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Posts: 2142
Location: Melbourne
Realistically we should win the next four games. :thumbsup:
Go Blues!

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 6:57 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
Posts: 17792
After the past 20 years, just making finals will be a major achievement. Whether it takes 11 or 12 wins, as long as we get there, i'll be rapt.
But at this stage, just winning this week will do me.

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 7:04 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Location: threeohfivethree
tommi wrote:
Two cups….

one Grand Final…!


kindest regards tommi






and whilst we’re at it…boobs…!


Tit!

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PostPosted: Sat May 07, 2022 3:36 pm 
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Craig Bradley

Joined: Tue Jun 28, 2005 4:04 pm
Posts: 6977
Location: Bendigo
tommi wrote:
Two cups….

one Grand Final…!


kindest regards tommi

Eat it all up!

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PostPosted: Sat May 07, 2022 6:39 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Location: riding shotgun on Agros Karma Train
Win tomorrow should see us go 4th

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