I think that you're right there Blu. Here's my take on what we need to do (apologies for the repeat, some of this I have posted previously)...
Firstly, there are too many attacking players in our defence. This is doing two things, making our back 6 less accountable than it needs to be, and robbing our midfield of strength and options. We need to have a better balance between attacking backs, and dour, defending backs who will simply shut an opposition forward out of the game.
For our backs, I would be looking to take Houlihan out, and replacing him with Bannister in a defensive role. I would be trying Hartlett down back this week, and when our ruck stocks allow, giving Setanta a stint at CHB. I would also like to give Wiggins a shot down there, also in a defensive role. Guys like Anderson and Russell can be rotated through there depending on match ups, but I would also like to see them, and Gibbs, given some time in more attacking roles.
For the midfield, we need to start playing our guns in there more permanently. Clearly we have a ruck issue, and that is going to take some time to redress. But a ROTATION that includes Murphy, Carazzo, Walker, Simpson, Houlihan, Gibbs, Bentick, Betts, Blackwell, Russell and next year Stevens is starting to have a bit of a look about it. The key is playing Walker and Houlihan in there more often than they have been, and even perhaps giving Scotland some stints in there.
A word on Houlihan. No doubt, he has his limitations. No doubt he is not as hard at the ball as others. But he is a possession winner, can find the footy, and this year, his disposal has been significantly better. He turned the game when thrown into the midfield against Essendon*. I would rotate him through the centre, wing and half forward, let him get the footy and create. He is too talented not to have in the team (when we are not overly flushed with talent) and we just have to accept that he is a certain type of player, and that he will give us certain things, but not others.
The other big issue we have, as I have posted previously, is the ease with which the ball is coming out of the forward line. We are too top heavy there, and the bombing in is killing us. Having Fevola, Waite, Whitnall, Fisher and Wiggins just means we are too tall and to slow (Lappin is also slow).
I think we need to rejig. Fevloa at FF. Waite as a mobile CHF. Fisher as the third tall who is very good below his knees, but not quick. Lappin, also slow but very slippery. And then two quick small or mid-sized players who can crumb balls, get to the contest (and that should be their primary purpose, always be at the contest, front and centre, at the fall of the ball)...Murphy, Betts (doesn't get the ball enough at the moment, MUST improve his possession rate), Houlihan, Gibbs (his tackling is SO good, he would be brilliant on a HFF, creating AND applying pressure to keep the ball locked in when we haven't got it) and Simpson can all play this role and be rotated through. Think Johnston and Bosustow applying forward line pressure in the 80s.
The delivery into the forward line is key here. At the moment, it is being bombed in (a sad indictment on the tactical abilities of our coach, IMHO), and if it is not marked, then the opposition sweeps it out at will, and because we have been attacking, we are not manned up, and the opposition invariably sweeps it out and gets it inside their own forward 50. Pagan does not even seem to have set a strategy to have someone at the fall of the ball in these situations. It is laughable.
I love the direct style of footy we play, and it works well until the entry inside 50. Here, we have to be more selective, and perhaps bide our time before selecting the inside 50 target. We should have Fevloa leading, Waite roaming, and Fisher providing the third tall. Three options, choose the one that is most clear. And have smalls at the fall of the ball to get the crumbs, or apply tackles.
This may lead to us scoring less than we have been, but it will mean the opposition scoring less too. Think about it, we only need to cut the opposition's score by 2 goals a quarter, and we're down to conceding 79 points a game instead of the current 127. By restricting the run out of our forward line, opppostion teams could have 3 or 4 less shots at goal per quarter, a massive difference.
So, tighten the backline by putting some more defensively minded players there, and not having it as an all-out attacking backline. Move some of those attacking defenders into the midfield, which will strenghtn the midflield. And restructure the forward line so that the ball is not waltzed out of there everytime we don't take a mark insdie 50.
_________________ Mens sana in corpore sano.
Bring back the laurel wreath logo!!!
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