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 Post subject: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:07 pm 
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Ken Hunter

Joined: Thu Apr 21, 2005 12:18 pm
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Location: Australia
Blues2005 wrote:
jimmae wrote:
Blues2005 wrote:
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

He's suggesting Walker and Henderson should be traded.


We wouldn't get much for Walker. Probably better off keeping him.


Hopefully can be persuaded to retire...


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:13 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Who signed him up till 2017 ???

Incompetence.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:23 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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sinbagger wrote:
Blues2005 wrote:
jimmae wrote:
Blues2005 wrote:
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

He's suggesting Walker and Henderson should be traded.


We wouldn't get much for Walker. Probably better off keeping him.


Hopefully can be persuaded to retire...


I still think he can be of some value to us as a forward. It was a while ago now, but his best year for us came when he played at that end of the ground.

Oddly, despite being an ordinary field kick, he is a pretty good kick for goal. I never understood why we ever moved him to half-back.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:38 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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ThePsychologist wrote:
I like it. I think you're a couple of players short as well. Yarran is definitely gone and Menzel, Kruezer & Bell are possibilities.

Imagine we we traded the other 4 listed above for Francis, C.Curnow, Mathieson with Aish for Bell. Trade a late pick for Minson.

Imagine if we traded around the top 40% of our list to replenish it virtually 1:1, without doing anything to address the quality of the remaining 60%.

Sensational, sign me up.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:38 pm 
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Bruce Comben
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jimmae wrote:
Blues2005 wrote:
drc wrote:
Gone/Traded Out: Henderson, Walker, Ellard, Carrazzo, Warnock, Watson, Judd, Armfield.


Walker is contracted until the end of 2017.

Not sure what is happening with Armfield. I suspect he'll re-sign.

He's suggesting Walker and Henderson should be traded.



I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:39 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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drc wrote:
I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.

Walker's value is at an all-time low, and while some are pessimistic about his knee I'll wait and see what happens in the off-season. His retirement would be a blow to our future plans IMO.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:41 pm 
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Bruce Comben
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jimmae wrote:
drc wrote:
I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.

Walker's value is at an all-time low, and while some are pessimistic about his knee I'll wait and see what happens in the off-season. His retirement would be a blow to our future plans IMO.


He turns 30 next season, do you think he'll be around for our next finals bid?


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:47 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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drc wrote:
jimmae wrote:
drc wrote:
I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.

Walker's value is at an all-time low, and while some are pessimistic about his knee I'll wait and see what happens in the off-season. His retirement would be a blow to our future plans IMO.


He turns 30 next season, do you think he'll be around for our next finals bid?

What pick do you hope to get for him?

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:49 pm 
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formerly cj69

Joined: Sun May 03, 2009 9:52 am
Posts: 7893
jimmae wrote:
ThePsychologist wrote:
I like it. I think you're a couple of players short as well. Yarran is definitely gone and Menzel, Kruezer & Bell are possibilities.

Imagine we we traded the other 4 listed above for Francis, C.Curnow, Mathieson with Aish for Bell. Trade a late pick for Minson.

Imagine if we traded around the top 40% of our list to replenish it virtually 1:1, without doing anything to address the quality of the remaining 60%.

Sensational, sign me up.


Your such a negative individual. How about let's do nothing and stay where we are.

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 Post subject: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:50 pm 
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Ken Hunter

Joined: Thu Apr 21, 2005 12:18 pm
Posts: 10084
Location: Australia
jimmae wrote:
drc wrote:
I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.

Walker's value is at an all-time low, and while some are pessimistic about his knee I'll wait and see what happens in the off-season. His retirement would be a blow to our future plans IMO.


I also *hope* that his body recovers sufficiently so he can contribute next year, but realistically it doesn't seem likely...


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:52 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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i heard walker's knee was down to pretty much bone-on-bone. that's cause for retirement if it's true.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:54 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Braithy wrote:
i heard walker's knee was down to pretty much bone-on-bone. that's cause for retirement if it's true.

That's the rumour, yes.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:54 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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If Walker and SOS negotiate a retirement settlement, I'm sure the AFL would tick it off and release our TPP of his salary for the next 2 years.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:55 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 2:32 pm
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Location: Back in reality
ThePsychologist wrote:
jimmae wrote:
ThePsychologist wrote:
I like it. I think you're a couple of players short as well. Yarran is definitely gone and Menzel, Kruezer & Bell are possibilities.

Imagine we we traded the other 4 listed above for Francis, C.Curnow, Mathieson with Aish for Bell. Trade a late pick for Minson.

Imagine if we traded around the top 40% of our list to replenish it virtually 1:1, without doing anything to address the quality of the remaining 60%.

Sensational, sign me up.


Your such a negative individual. How about let's do nothing and stay where we are.

I highlighted a plan of my own, but it wasn't young talent time in your mind so you rolled your eyes.

Nothing you've suggested is innovative, merely punitive towards the character of certain individuals.

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And only 7 that you like;
20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 2:56 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Rexy wrote:
If Walker and SOS negotiate a retirement settlement, I'm sure the AFL would tick it off and release our TPP of his salary for the next 2 years.

Correct, though it would come in the form of an insurance payout.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 3:02 pm 
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formerly cj69

Joined: Sun May 03, 2009 9:52 am
Posts: 7893
jimmae wrote:
ThePsychologist wrote:
jimmae wrote:
ThePsychologist wrote:
I like it. I think you're a couple of players short as well. Yarran is definitely gone and Menzel, Kruezer & Bell are possibilities.

Imagine we we traded the other 4 listed above for Francis, C.Curnow, Mathieson with Aish for Bell. Trade a late pick for Minson.

Imagine if we traded around the top 40% of our list to replenish it virtually 1:1, without doing anything to address the quality of the remaining 60%.

Sensational, sign me up.


Your such a negative individual. How about let's do nothing and stay where we are.

I highlighted a plan of my own, but it wasn't young talent time in your mind so you rolled your eyes.

Nothing you've suggested is innovative, merely punitive towards the character of certain individuals.


What a load of crap. For the self appointed oracle fo everything you really do miss the point.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 3:08 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Explain, in excruciating detail, how that plan improves the overall quality of the list for 2018.

What are our trade options in 2016? 2017?

As I see it, we have 13 players who would genuinely command a first or second round draft choice right now, and they are:

Menzel, Murphy, Gibbs, Tuohy, Byrne, Casboult, Everitt, Bell, Henderson, Yarran, Docherty, Cripps, Kreuzer

In addition to this I believe we have 9 players who are either of senior quality to support the side during the rebuild that would be undervalued in a trade, or that will come to be of value in a trade in time (i.e. developing youngsters), these are:

Simpson, Walker, Buckley, Boekhorst, Thomas, Jamison, Graham, Jaksch, Sheehan

If we're very lucky, 50% of the following names (though more likely 25%) will have some value at the trade table prior to 2018-2019:

Giles, Holman, Viojo-Rainbow, Smith, Foster, Gowers, Walsh, Fields



Let's say 75% of the 'future stars' make it, that gives us 6 more players of value if we're being realistic. Tack on first and second draft choices for 2016 & 2017, maybe give Rice or Silvagni one chance to be on this list between them and you're looking at another 5 players in the future before trades and free agency.

That's 26 bargaining chips over 3 off-seasons, unless we hit the lottery, and you seem keen to shove up to 6 of them out the door this off-season. Sounds like a small number I know, except that we spend these same chips trying to win games.

So we barely field a quality team. Yeah we might swing some free agency moves and maybe get a little bit out of a 2 for 1 and picks back trade here and there but you are repeatedly and genuinely advocating haemorrhaging a weak list to give it a more positive glow while still maintaining the status quo that gave us a shit list in the first place.

We are under no obligation to trade Yarran and Menzel, and given the suitors and the picks being bandied about, we'd be downright stupid to consider it.

Kreuzer, Bell and Henderson offer more value in terms of pick vs output, but I maintain Kreuzer is worth retaining because he will be there in 2018 and he may even accelerate our progress. He needs a partner in crime though, which is why we need to clear out Wood, Warnock and develop, while maybe picking up a Jamar for 1 season and crossing our fingers with Korchek.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 3:37 pm 
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Bruce Comben
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jimmae wrote:
drc wrote:
jimmae wrote:
drc wrote:
I guess my thought process is if the player realistically wont be around when we make a push in 3-4years we should be pushing him out asap. Short term pain long term gain.

Walker's value is at an all-time low, and while some are pessimistic about his knee I'll wait and see what happens in the off-season. His retirement would be a blow to our future plans IMO.


He turns 30 next season, do you think he'll be around for our next finals bid?

What pick do you hope to get for him?



It's not about a pick really, it's about the spot on the team, if we can trade him and a packet of chips for a 4th rounder in the 2016 draft i'll take it. That or he retires, i personally think longterm it would be better to have youth fill his spot.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 3:38 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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I agree, but he will be phased out of the team naturally, and is worth more to us than pick 55 in this draft.

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20 ways to see the world,
Or 20 ways to start a fight.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2015
PostPosted: Sat Aug 22, 2015 4:55 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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We might get 5 picks in the top 20 in this years draft, but I bet they'll never get the introduction into AFL that James Rose #37 pick in the 2014 National Draft did in his debut game today.

:wink:

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