Keogh wrote:
My brother is someone who i normally dont agree with, but he convinced me when he said that if a coach hasnt got a flag within 5 years, he is unlikely to ever get one if history is anything to go by.
That may be true as a statistic but I think that is more to do with unreasonable impatience by supporters meaning coaches who don't get a flag in that time have a limited career rather than proof that coaches who don't win a flag in five years are not up to it. I am 50/50 on Ratts and believe a loss in the elimination means we need to look elsewhere, but as Leigh Matthews has said, to win a flag you first need a very good collection of players. Ron Barrassi rates Len Smith as the father of modern footy but his team was dreadful. Tony Jewell coached a flag in his first or second year - is he a genius - I think not, so did Tony Joyce. Coaches have to get the most from the playing group. They have to make the team greater than the sum of their parts, and give their team that 1%, 5%, 10% tactical, motivational, self belief etc advantage.
People seem to think everything is about process. Maybe a lot is, but they are human beings so being a sharp people manager is really important. I think Eade is a fantastic coach. At both the Dogs and the Swans his teams overachieved. I think our list is clearly better than the dogs in 08/09/10. Yet they are seen as failing by not winning a flag. Coaches can make players the best they can be, and the team the best it can be, that's their job and how they should be judged. But they can't actually actually make players have more talent, they can just get the very best from that talent.
That is the judgement Ratts is facing. Has he got the very best from everyone on the list over his tenure. Is the team the best it can be. At this stage I'd say no, and if we lose on Sunday it would a resounding 'No'.
But he is a better coach now than when he started, and we will win on Sunday because we are a better side and have been for several years. We need to not have as our motto No Ambition. Too often we set the bar low and then say we only just missed if things don't work out. We should smash the Dons on the way to a prelim. A side with belief and solid systems would even with injuries.
If we are a ruckman down - don't whinge, invent a tactic from left field that throws the oppo and maybe makes a weakness a strength, remind Warnock what we gave up for him, how much dough he is on. He is on star wages, he needs to star. If he wants to be a #1 ruckman, then do it. Take Hille et al apart. How abouit rather than a brave loss with lots of excuses we have a brave win.
Ratts contract will take care of itself. He has several weeks to make it a nice long contract, or not. Proof is in the pudding, so bake a good one Ratts that is ripe right through September.