Sydney Blue wrote:
Had more disposals
Inside 50 65 to 44
Won contested possession by 54
Won the clearances
Had more shots on goal.
But lose
Hire a new head shrink I have been saying it for years. They are mentally week
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it’s not just that it’s forward entry method. as most of us have been documenting this season the long bomb to a 2 v 2 or 2 v 3 or 3 v 4 in or forward line hasn’t been working. if the alla were crumbing it and getting it out to goal kickers the. fine but that’s not what happens most of the time. many times it’s a contest near the boundary and it results in a boundary throw-in. do we have a great ruck at carlton? or a tomahawk? no. i’ve never seen a successful carlton team that doesn’t have six forwards who all know how to lead into space to maximise their chance of king a mark.
good forwards kick more goals than behinds. and kick goals when you really need them.
the momentum loss when Harry takes a big grab and then goes back to kick a behind is massive. we should be able measure it in Newtons. the number of times he and other key forwards do that and the opposition score a goal in response 60 seconds later with 88k people in the stands and 300k watching and listening on tv, radio & steaming watching on and knowing what that means for the game should be something the club focuses on.
they say they know the probabilities of the kicking from different positions in different ways and what the best kick is, well i’m calling bulldust on that. people might think with H and Charlie winning consecutive Colemans we have great goal kickers at carlton, but fact is these guys get a lot of supply, we always kick to them in F50 so predictably and they kick a lot of behinds. more than Sticks in his later years i’m guessing and at least Sticks knew when we really needed one and made sure of it. H seems to be the opposite this season. Charlie is a 50/50 on that at score at best.
i doubt these players would know much about probability in general given the decision making in the last five minutes of the last two games.
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