blue5 wrote:
Thoughts...
Pick 7 to Geelong for 15 & 16
16 to Essendon*** for Saad
15, 27 & 45 to Collingwood
Collingwood send 27 & Treloar to Melbourne
Melbourne sends Oliver to Carlton
End Result.
We lose 7, 27 & 45 and gain Oliver & Saad
Collingwood gain cap relief, 15 & 45, lose Treloar
Melbourne gains Treloar (outside run they need) and 27, lose Oliver.
Geelong gains pick 7 from 15 & 16.
Would do that in a flash, but can't see 7, 27 & 45 netting us Saad and Oliver.
Melbourne may like the deal. Despite Dodoro's huffing and puffind, he'd take that deal.
Can't see Geelong of Collingwood agreeing.
If we want those 2 picks from Geelong, we'd have give 27 too. We may get something else back from them such as pick 3 or a Narkle or Charlie Constable, but can't see them giving us 2 picks in the teens for 7 alone.
Collingwood may be looking at a salary dump with Treloar, but can't see them accepting 15 and 45 for him. They'd want and will likely get a top 10 pick.
In short, if this trade comes off, we'd have to likely give up 7 & 27 to get Trealoar to Melbourne and for us to get Oliver.
Meaning we'd likely need to give up next years first for Saad. Should we get Saad, Oliver and Williams and factoring in a returning Charlie and Marchy, that pick will almost certainly be in the teens which is about fair value for Saad.
anything that gets one of oliver/wines and saad to the club, im all for. If it means it costs us 7 & 27, and next year 1st .. its picks well spent.
Williams, Saad, Oliver or Wines, a Fit Curnow, a Fit Marchbank, a Fit Newman and importantly a Fit Cripps .. are 7 of the starting 18 that is improved on what we had this year. that is an oustanding outcome.