scottopee wrote:
tap in 79 wrote:
Let’s face facts, whatever list management decisions Carlton makes it is going to be a 3rd tier team for some while. I don’t watch the NRL but at least their games are much more unpredictable.
The AFL should stop worrying about gender fluidity, refugees, religious minorities and being social justice warriors and worry about why the game is made up of 3 tier teams as early as 4 matches into the season.
1st tier- Sydney (year after year and never in a “rebuild”), GWS, Richmond etc teams competing for flag
Btw Why does Sydney never need to rebuild? Are the AFL’s equalising measures really working?
2nd tier- generally competitive against most teams and perhaps building for 1st tier eg Port
3rd tier- teams that have no hope of victory against 1st and 2nd tier teams for 90% of time eg Carlton, Brisbane, Gold Coast
Why are these teams cellar dwellers year after year? Is it all due to poor list management decisions or is there something structurally wrong with AFL?
Do good players want to get out of these clubs ASAP? Free agency? Is the draft really an equalising mechanism?
NRL = unpredictable by 30% more where underdogs win
AFL = does anyone really want to tip Carlton against West Coast? Or Brisbane vs Geelong? We know the results of these matches before they are played.
The game has a problem. Results are easy to pick. Carlton nailing one draft pick per year isn’t going to fix anything.
In an entertainment business you need unpredictability. At least 2 to 3 matches each weekend are highly predictable in terms of the result. The AFL should focus on this.
So you picked Richmond and the Bulldogs to win flags the last 2 years? Nothing predictable in that.
Someone has to be bottom and because of a ineptitude the last 5 years its us. Agree 1 draft pick doesn't do anything and PP should come back for any side finishing 2-3 years in a row finishing bottom 3 etc.
My argument is that we are sold a pup with this PR message - “we just need to stay fat and “rebuild”. Tier 3 clubs (btw Richmond & Bulldogs weren’t tier 3) never get a chance to fully “rebuild” as the vultures swoop on tier 3 clubs’ top players and recruit them via free agency, trading & other mechanisms.
Henderson & Tuohy are cases in point. They went trophy hunting. Carlton got little in return.
Conversely, tier 1 clubs stay Tier 1 clubs. Sydney has made what? 18 of the last 20 finals series. Geelong & Hawthorn similar. I thought the AFL said “equalisation” is working. It ain’t. Those 3 clubs will make finals again barring injury.
Get rid of the draft or modify it. Do something as each week there are a lot of dead rubbers played. Who wants to watch 3 80 plus point thrashing’s every week?
The biggest question is - will the AFL allow Lynch to leave their project club Gold Coast..? Why does Carlton pay an equalisation tax when they have lost 14 of their last 15 matches? Why does Hawthorn make millions in Tasy? Equalisation- it’s a lie.
Carlton will be a cellar dweller for many more years in this “equalised” competition. There is no rebuild at Carlton when established players such as Gibbs, Tuohy & Henderson want to get out. A house without foundations is just waiting to be blown over.