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Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
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Author:  Blues Forever [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 10:09 am ]
Post subject:  Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
I have been doing some research on ladder positions since the 90s. I'm sure some of you have heard about this stat, but since 1991 (the first season in which there were 16 teams), there has always been a team(s) make the top 4 in a season after finishing in the bottom 8 the season before.

Those teams were:
2008 - St.Kilda
2007 - Port Adelaide/North Melbourne
2006 - Freo
2005 - Adelaide
2004 - St.Kilda/Geelong
2003 - Sydney
2002 - Collingwood
2001 - Richmond (after finishing 9th in 2000 of course)
2000 - Melbourne
1999 - Brisbane (after wooden spoon in 98)
1998 - Melbourne (after wooden spoon in 97)
1997 - St.Kilda/Adelaide/WB
1996 - Sydney
1995 - Essendon*
1994 - WB/Coll
1993 - Ess/NM
1992 - WB/Carl

We (along with doggies) were the first to start this incredible trend. Will we be the first to break it? Will Brisbane keep it going instead of us or will we keep the trend going? It sure looks promising :wink:
Author:  Graeme [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 11:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
I love stats like these... :cool:
Author:  dannyboy [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 1:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
all stats lead to Rome
Author:  bluegirl72 [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 2:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Welease Wiggins! :smile:
Author:  Donstuie [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 2:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything. 14% of people know that.
Author:  CK95 [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 2:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Pretty encouraging when ou look at these stats

BTW you've got us in 92 but should be 93 :wink:
Author:  camel [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 3:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Statistic wasn't built in a day.
Author:  bluegirl72 [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 4:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
ye-eah I'm the stats ma-aan.... :thumbsup:
Author:  grrofunger [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 4:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
2006 - didnt freo come 5th not 4th

5th and eliminated in home final loss to bombers?
Author:  Blues Forever [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 5:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
grrofunger wrote:
2006 - didnt freo come 5th not 4th

5th and eliminated in home final loss to bombers?


Freo came 3rd, lost to Adelaide in QF, beat Melbourne in SF and lost to Sydney in PF.

http://www.finalsiren.com/AFLLadder.asp?AFLLadderTypeID=2&SeasonID=2006&Round=22-1&Go=Go
Author:  grrofunger [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 6:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
holy shit really !

wow

i guess the 3 1 18 made me wipe that year from my memory

eagles 1 and freo 3 - i really dont remember that !

LOL

i must be on a different timeline !
Author:  grrofunger [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 6:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
i was thinking 2003 or something with freo 5 v bombers 8
Author:  exsing [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 7:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Where's Jarusa? Stats Thread = Jarusa :thumbsup:
Author:  Taff [ Wed Aug 19, 2009 7:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
He's very busy at the moment.
Author:  Teen Spirit [ Thu Aug 20, 2009 1:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
how about the last time melbourne started a season after having had the #1 draft pick we made the grand final! (trav johnstone in '99)
Author:  heatley stand [ Thu Aug 20, 2009 1:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
Another one for you...

1987 - WCE and Bears admitted to AFL - Carlton Flag
1995 - Freo admitted - Carlton Flag
1997 - Port admitted - I was overseas so it doesn't count! :cool:
2011 - CG to be admitted.... :wink:
Author:  Adam Chatfield [ Thu Aug 20, 2009 2:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
This isn't quite as bad as an article in the UK paper the Telegraph saying that England would win the 5th test due to all these other factors which were in common other times England beat Australia such as:

trouble in Iran in 09 like 1979
Stone Roses re-release putting their debut album in the charts for the first time since 2005 (though the album came out in 89 when we belted the Poms 4-0, which they conveniently forgot to mention).
Something to do with Michael Jackson being in the charts

You get the drift, read more here http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/cricke ... -week.html
Author:  dannyboy [ Thu Aug 20, 2009 3:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
look what they done to my stats, ma
Author:  Cazzesman [ Sat Aug 22, 2009 12:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Stats say we will make the top 4 - it's meant to be!
http://www.theage.com.au/news/rfnews/de ... 15224.html

more stats that show the improvement.

Regards Cazzesman
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