billybloggs wrote:
At the start of the year Essendon* was considered a bottom eight team with alot of media people even tipping bottom four. The Essendon* player list was very thin on quality. Lloyd, Fletcher,Hille,McPhee Stanton,and maybe Lucas being the exception but even doubts due to age on some of them. Watson was deemed to be a ball magnet but with poor skills. Lovett was a talent who was to hard to handle hence nearly flicked to the Cats. Ryder an emerging talent but still a way off, the rest having glimpses of ability but considered mainly honest soldiers. It was tipped that any improvement rested on the shouders of Gumbleton & Hurley.
The blues on the other hand were considered by most to be a certain eight candidate. Even the captains of the other 15 clubs thought so.
Our List is considered on the up with wonderful young talent.
At the start of the season one would ask who at Essendon* would get a game with us? Lloyd instead of Fev, Watson instead of Juddy, Pears instead of Jamo, Hooker instead of Bower/Thorton/Waite, their young ones instead of Murf,Gibbsy,Grigga etc. Maybe Hille & Ryder over our boys? okay we can except that. Welsh Monfries Lonegan instead of Scotland, Stevens, Hools Carrots? Davey instead of Bettsy? and so on.
Fast forward 3 games and would there be any difference even though they beat us by 4 points?
Fast forward to round 13 and we were still the more favored team prior to the game but after being flogged the media has now elevated their list to a higher level.
WHAT HAS REALLY CHANGED HERE? Do typecast players just get better overnight? or collectively as a unit do they get better? It would be interesting to select the best 22 from both lists based on perceived talent from the start of the year and then at the begining of round 14.
Essendon*'s list is better than was thought. Perceptions change as a result of new data. We've had 13 weeks worth of new data, and it's led to a positive reassessment of Essendon*. The media and public don't get excited by a bunch of 2nd and 3rd round picks the way they do about 3 pick 1s and Judd, now they know better.
I was concerned early that our list was being overrated, and it looks that way at the moment, but I'm sure it's an overcorrection. Carlton are inconsistent, disorganised and a bit confused. Hopefully they work through the shit to success.
It's clear that Essendon* is functioning much better as a collective than Carlton. That is down to coaching in my view. Doesn't necessarily mean Knights is better than Ratts - maybe Ratts is developing the team on a more fundamental level than we can perceive, and we'll come out the other side as Geelong
The bottom line is: perception is fleeting, results are forever.