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Ladder prediction?
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Author:  bluebeard [ Mon May 12, 2008 4:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Ladder prediction?
Hello

I just used the ladder predictor and went through the motions of attempting to pick all the winners for the rest of 2008.

The chances of being right (at all) are slim

Here tis:

Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc [/b]
Hawthorn 22 19 3 0 2524 1952 76 129.3
Geelong 22 19 3 0 2463 1909 76 129.0
Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2347 1972 68 119.0
W dogs 22 16 5 1 2473 2115 66 116.9
St Kilda 22 13 8 1 2175 2147 54 101.3
Bris Lions 22 11 11 0 2245 2153 44 104.2
Port Adel 22 10 12 0 2234 2210 40 101.0
Carlton 22 10 12 0 2159 2268 40 95.1

Sydney 22 9 12 1 2111 2044 38 103.2
Nth Melb 22 9 12 1 2094 2228 38 93.9
Cwood 22 9 13 0 2242 2238 36 100.1
W Coast 22 9 13 0 1927 2368 36 81.3
Richmond 22 8 13 1 2190 2298 34 95.3
Fremantle 22 8 13 1 2102 2241 34 93.7
Essendon* 22 3 19 0 2072 2525 12 82.0
Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1882 2572 12 73.1

You never know...we might just sneak in.

conditions apply
Author:  kingkerna [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
you really hate collingwood don't you :P
Author:  Sydney Blue [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
that was looking pretty good until I saw Freo with 8 wins WTF
Author:  bluebeard [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
kingkerna wrote:
you really hate collingwood don't you :P


I was hoping it wasnt obvious.

Oh well....yes I do
Author:  bluedog [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
Please remember that the Top 8 system rewards the mediocre. :x
















But better to finish 8th than 9th. :P
Author:  Deano Supremo [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
If we sneak into the finals all hell will break loose.

With Fev up front and Judd and Stevo marshalling the guts ANYTHING could happen.
Author:  bluedog [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
Deano Supremo wrote:
If we sneak into the finals all hell will break loose.

With Fev up front and Judd and Stevo marshalling the guts ANYTHING could happen.


And of course while that'd be great for the Blues, it shows why the top 8 system is a joke.

The 8th best team after the 22 H and A's then has a real sniff at becoming the supposed best team just a month later, on the back of 4 straight wins. :?
Author:  George Harris [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
Does that mean we play Hawthorn 2 weeks in a row (for 2 losses as well)?
Author:  Kaptain Kouta [ Mon May 12, 2008 5:41 pm ]
Post subject: 
George Harris wrote:
Does that mean we play Hawthorn 2 weeks in a row (for 2 losses as well)?


No, if we finish 8th, we'd play 5th in the first elimination final. The winner would go on to play the loser of the 2nd qualifying final (2nd v 3rd). I think I've got those matches right....
Author:  true_blue3 [ Mon May 12, 2008 6:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
unfortunately, i can't see us getting into the eight this year but i would have thought we'd win more than 7 games for the year as well:

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 20 2 0 2605 1767 80 147.4
2 Hawthorn 22 20 2 0 2556 1920 80 133.1
3 W Bulldogs 22 15 6 1 2449 2139 62 114.4
4 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 2290 2029 60 112.8
6 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2165 1990 54 108.7
8 Collingwood 22 12 10 0 2284 2196 48 104.0
9 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2252 2192 44 102.7
5 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 2142 2180 44 98.2

10 Bris Lions 22 11 11 0 2179 2219 44 98.1
14 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2123 2220 40 95.6
7 Nth Melb 22 9 12 1 2096 2226 38 94.1
12 Richmond 22 7 14 1 2131 2357 30 90.4
11 Carlton 22 7 15 0 2053 2374 28 86.4
15 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1952 2343 28 83.3
13 Essendon* 22 5 17 0 2114 2483 20 85.1
16 Melbourne 22 1 21 0 1849 2605 4 70.9
Author:  Andain [ Mon May 12, 2008 6:50 pm ]
Post subject: 
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2363 2009 72 117.6
4 Adelaide 22 18 4 0 2287 2032 72 112.5
2 Hawthorn 22 17 5 0 2375 2101 68 113.0
8 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2296 2184 60 105.1
10 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2227 2171 56 102.5
6 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2147 2008 54 106.9
7 Nth Melb 22 13 8 1 2190 2132 54 102.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2252 2192 52 102.7

3 W Bulldogs 22 12 9 1 2413 2175 50 110.9
5 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 2142 2180 44 98.2
12 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2201 2287 34 96.2
15 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1998 2297 28 86.9
14 Fremantle 22 6 16 0 2105 2238 24 94.0
11 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2151 2276 20 94.5
13 Essendon* 22 3 19 0 2126 2471 12 86.0
16 Melbourne 22 1 21 0 1967 2487 4 79.0

Funny how we all see things differently.
Author:  Springsteen [ Mon May 12, 2008 6:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
i cant see 10 wins getten anyone in the 8
Author:  Princes Park Whistler [ Mon May 12, 2008 7:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
Andain wrote:
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2363 2009 72 117.6
4 Adelaide 22 18 4 0 2287 2032 72 112.5
2 Hawthorn 22 17 5 0 2375 2101 68 113.0
8 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2296 2184 60 105.1
10 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2227 2171 56 102.5
6 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2147 2008 54 106.9
7 Nth Melb 22 13 8 1 2190 2132 54 102.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2252 2192 52 102.7

3 W Bulldogs 22 12 9 1 2413 2175 50 110.9
5 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 2142 2180 44 98.2
12 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2201 2287 34 96.2
15 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1998 2297 28 86.9
14 Fremantle 22 6 16 0 2105 2238 24 94.0
11 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2151 2276 20 94.5
13 Essendon* 22 3 19 0 2126 2471 12 86.0
16 Melbourne 22 1 21 0 1967 2487 4 79.0

Funny how we all see things differently.
Can guarantee it will not be 5 wins
Author:  Jarusa [ Mon May 12, 2008 9:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
8) :P

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2338 2034 76 114.9
4 Adelaide 22 19 3 0 2234 2085 76 107.1
11 Carlton 22 18 4 0 2387 2040 72 117.0
3 W Bulldogs 22 17 4 1 2425 2163 70 112.1
2 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2375 2101 60 113.0
6 Sydney 22 12 9 1 2107 2048 50 102.8
10 Bris Lions 22 10 12 0 2197 2201 40 99.8
7 Nth Melb 22 9 12 1 2148 2174 38 98.8

5 St Kilda 22 9 13 0 2089 2233 36 93.5
8 Collingwood 22 8 14 0 2248 2232 32 100.7
9 Port Adel 22 8 14 0 2210 2234 32 98.9
12 Richmond 22 7 14 1 2189 2299 30 95.2
14 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 2105 2238 28 94.0
15 West Coast 22 7 15 0 2010 2285 28 87.9
16 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 2028 2426 20 83.5
13 Essendon* 22 4 18 0 2150 2447 16 87.8
Author:  Andain [ Mon May 12, 2008 9:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Princes Park Whistler wrote:
Andain wrote:
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2363 2009 72 117.6
4 Adelaide 22 18 4 0 2287 2032 72 112.5
2 Hawthorn 22 17 5 0 2375 2101 68 113.0
8 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2296 2184 60 105.1
10 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2227 2171 56 102.5
6 Sydney 22 13 8 1 2147 2008 54 106.9
7 Nth Melb 22 13 8 1 2190 2132 54 102.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2252 2192 52 102.7

3 W Bulldogs 22 12 9 1 2413 2175 50 110.9
5 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 2142 2180 44 98.2
12 Richmond 22 8 13 1 2201 2287 34 96.2
15 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1998 2297 28 86.9
14 Fremantle 22 6 16 0 2105 2238 24 94.0
11 Carlton 22 5 17 0 2151 2276 20 94.5
13 Essendon* 22 3 19 0 2126 2471 12 86.0
16 Melbourne 22 1 21 0 1967 2487 4 79.0

Funny how we all see things differently.
Can guarantee it will not be 5 wins

I certainly hope so, but I definitely can't guarentee that it.
Author:  tcblue [ Mon May 12, 2008 10:05 pm ]
Post subject: 
Jars
That looks good. Too good. But we live in hope.

.
Author:  BlueBern [ Mon May 12, 2008 10:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
If the top 3 continue to win, and the bottom 3 remain as crap, then it's certainly possible that 10-12 might be enough this year.
Author:  Donstuie [ Mon May 12, 2008 11:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
I predicted 10-12th before the season, and expect the same now. Unless of course we drop winnable games (ala Richmond and Essendon* earlier in the year)
Author:  grrofunger [ Mon May 12, 2008 11:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Hawthorn 21 - 1
Geelong 20 - 2
Adelaide 16 - 6
Port Ad-16 - 6
Bulldogs 15 - 6 - 1
Sydney 13 - 8 - 1
Brisbane 13 - 9
Collingwood 11 - 11
-------------------------------
Nth Melb 10 - 11 - 1
Carlton 9 - 13
St Kilda 7 - 15
Richmond 6 - 15 - 1
Frematle 6 - 16
West Coast 6 - 16
Essendon* 3 - 19
Melbourne 2 - 20
Author:  Blue Kiwi [ Tue May 13, 2008 8:55 am ]
Post subject: 
Could someone please post a link to this predictor tool?
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