SydneyBlue's comparison of Fevola to Capper, Lloyd and Richardson has piqued my interest. Unfortunately Capper's detailed stats only go back as far as 1988 so it's harder to compare with him. At the moment I've just decided to focus on Richo.
What I did was compared their goalkicking over their first 142 games, on a 20 game moving average. I averaged their goals from game 1 to 20, followed by games 2 to 21, and so on, right through to Fev's last game at 142.
Due to some quirk of nature, the trends of their highs and lows, and the timing are almost exactly the same as seen on the graph:
As can be seen on the blue line, Fev got off to a much slower start to his career. Indeed in the first three seasons he played no-one figured he would take off as a dominant forward, that is until Pagan arrived. The steep increase in the graph coincides perfectly with the arrival of Pagan (around the 40 game mark).
Likewise the dip after Fevola's initial climb to stardom coincides exactly with the timimg of his groin injury at the end of season 2005.
Towards the end of last year, Fevola's form dipped, he was suspended, and he finally broke down with multiple injuries, all of which hopefully have been rectified in the off-season, but all that can be clearly seen at the end of the graph.
Why his and Richo's fluctuations are so similar is beyound me however.
