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 Post subject: Percentage
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 12:16 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Percentage tells you a lot more about your team's big picture than wins and losses do.

We're sitting 12th, but on the percentage ladder we're 15th.

It's been the same for the past three seasons. Even in 2004 when we finished 11th, our percentage had us 20% behind 10th. We were 13th on the percentage ladder this year.

I'll take wins over richmond and Essendon* any day of the week, but until we are able to:

* Win first quarters
* Eliminate the 10 goal + losses

We'll have to be content with exciting wins over low end teams (like Essendon* and Richmond).

Bad percentage is worth 4 points.

Sorry Jarusa, not as detailed as a footy geek analysis...

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 12:30 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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We win narrow, lose big.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 12:32 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Yeah this has been the one thing bugging me in our redevelopment as well. I was hoping we might be right this year. Clearly not.

:x

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 12:50 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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I think this will remain a problem while we rely on two things
A) on Fev to kick so many of our goals. Block that up and we are in trouble.
b) on ruckmen who do not do enough around the ground - especially forward.


mind some might suggest c) 8)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 1:00 pm 
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Rod Ashman
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Essendon* can't be considered a low ranked team now though, can they??

They've showed they're contenders i'd think.. just not top 4 that they crapped on that they were...

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 1:03 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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It's obvious from our results to date that we are still a bottom 4 side. We shuld be content with 6-8 wins this year. The worst thing that could happen to us is to play above ourselves and win 10 games like in 2004 and finish 10th?. We still need more quality kids, we won't play finals this year, so may as well take advantage of the draft. I'm not for tanking, just being realistic.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 1:35 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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dannyboy wrote:
mind some might suggest c) 8)


c) The Sole Emoticon??? :?

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 1:35 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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If we win 8 games and get the 5 pick I will be satisfied.

Not happy...just satisfied.

We need a new coach to go up the ladder properly.

Pagan will never coach us into the finals.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 1:42 pm 
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formerly blue-insider
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bluebeard wrote:
We need a new coach to go up the ladder properly.

Pagan will never coach us into the finals.


That's right, cos guys like Houlahan, Wiggins, Ackland, Cloke, Carrazzo and Fisher are all having their doors knocked down to be traded to top 8 teams... It's more than just the coach. These guys are good players but they're not great players - and will not get us to any finals soon.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 2:24 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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blue-insider wrote:
bluebeard wrote:
We need a new coach to go up the ladder properly.

Pagan will never coach us into the finals.


That's right, cos guys like Houlahan, Wiggins, Ackland, Cloke, Carrazzo and Fisher are all having their doors knocked down to be traded to top 8 teams... It's more than just the coach. These guys are good players but they're not great players - and will not get us to any finals soon.


Houlihan, Wiggins, Carazzo and Fisher would be more than handy contributors in the West Coast line up.

A bit of patience and a dose of reality wouldn't go astray.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 3:07 pm 
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Craig Bradley

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Bit early to talk about %. It wont be the last time a team is smashed by WC at Subi. Because we have played only 4 games that has a big negative impact on our %.

Still I agree that % at times says more about teams than a win loss ratio.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 3:21 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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camelboy wrote:
blue-insider wrote:
bluebeard wrote:
We need a new coach to go up the ladder properly.

Pagan will never coach us into the finals.


That's right, cos guys like Houlahan, Wiggins, Ackland, Cloke, Carrazzo and Fisher are all having their doors knocked down to be traded to top 8 teams... It's more than just the coach. These guys are good players but they're not great players - and will not get us to any finals soon.


Houlihan, Wiggins, Carazzo and Fisher would be more than handy contributors in the West Coast line up.

A bit of patience and a dose of reality wouldn't go astray.


Agreed, even top teams like WCE have a healthy contingent of good ordinary players and a couple of spuds. It's impossible to assemble an entire list of superstars.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 3:25 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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Even if Pagan had a list of superstars we still wouldnt win a premiership.

If your not part of the solution....you are part of the problem.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 3:35 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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No1Blue wrote:
Essendon* can't be considered a low ranked team now though, can they??


Don't tell me YOU'RE buying that sheedy bullshit too?

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 3:38 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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keogh wrote:
Bit early to talk about %. It wont be the last time a team is smashed by WC at Subi. Because we have played only 4 games that has a big negative impact on our %.

Still I agree that % at times says more about teams than a win loss ratio.


Yeah that was more my point, though the trend - although only 4 rounds in - is the same.

As Wojee said, we win narrow and lose big.

Percentage says more about your mental strength and ability to be competitive a darnsight more than W/L.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 4:13 pm 
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Horrie Clover

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IMO our low percentage has a lot to do with our poor accuracy in front of goal
we should not have more than 12 points per game

since 2003

68 games where we have scored more goals than points.
in those 68 games
14 games we scored more than 12 points in the game


5 games where goals scored were the same as points scored
in those 5 games
1 game we scored more than 12 points in the game


18 games where we scored more points than goals
in those 18 games
14 games we scored more than 12 points in the game

this is just 1 factor of percentage but small improvements here and there make a big difference.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 9:25 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Our low percentage has alot to do with a few things.
Accuracy infront of goal isnt one of the genuine reasons.
Unless you think if we get 19 scoring shots a game they all should be goals.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 9:42 pm 
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Laurie Kerr

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It's got a lot to do with it - and heaps of teams are struggling this year if you look at the conversion - especially this last round

It's a skill that should be mastered, but isn't

4.15 or whatever we kicked is disgraceful - just think if it were 15.4 or even, lets say for 60% accuracy 12.7 and all of a sudden the game isn't a blowout

Same as against richmond - we had 40 scoring shots or thereabouts...


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 23, 2007 9:47 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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Our set shots for goal are usually a long way out and our shots on the run are usually under pressure because we dont know how to sheppard .

Plus you can hear the whistling in the stands when Waite and Carrazzo line up

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 24, 2007 11:54 am 
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Horrie Clover

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Synbad wrote:
Our low percentage has alot to do with a few things.
Accuracy infront of goal isnt one of the genuine reasons.
Unless you think if we get 19 scoring shots a game they all should be goals.


really???

so getting 1 point and turning over posession,
rather than getting 5 more points and back to a 50/50 contest isn't a genuine reason.


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