I'll buy that!
Anything can happen because...
"We are the old dark baby blues,
we're the team that never lets you down"
I always look at those kind of exercises and I like yours best.
Thanks grrofunger
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| Author: | grrofunger [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 6:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Finals Bound? |
We have a pretty decent draw early but cop some harsh travel late in the season that will see us drop away but if we can capitalise on our draw and pre season form in the early part of the season we should be ok I am bored at work so i decided to do the ladder predictor at http://www.allthestats.com and i came up with this: West Coast 22 16 6 0 2418 1982 64 121.9 8 W Bulldogs 22 16 6 0 2364 2036 64 116.1 6 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2308 2092 64 110.3 4 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2332 2068 56 112.7 Carlton 22 13 9 0 2119 2281 52 92.8 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2324 2076 48 111.9 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 2224 2176 48 102.2 Geelong 22 12 10 0 2220 2180 48 101.8 ----------------------------------------- Melbourne 22 12 10 0 2212 2188 48 101.0 Collingwood 22 12 10 0 2208 2192 48 100.7 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2210 2190 44 100.9 Bris Lions 22 11 11 0 2166 2234 44 96.9 Hawthorn 22 7 15 0 2078 2322 28 89.4 Richmond 22 5 17 0 1999 2401 20 83.2 Essendon* 22 4 18 0 2024 2376 16 85.1 Kangaroos 22 3 19 0 1994 2406 12 82.8 Optimistic yes - but i tried not to be too favourable to us - i gave us the following R1 : MCG Beat Richmond by 18 points R2 : Telstra Beat Geelong by 6 points R3 : MCG beat Essendon* by 6 points R4 : Subiaco lose to West Coast by 80 points R5 : Telstra beat Brisbane by 6 points R6 : Telstra lose to St Kilda by 30 points R7 : MCG beat Collingwood by 6 points R8 : Carrara beat Kangaroos by 18 points R9 : Telstra beat Adelaide by 6 points R10 : MCG lose to Western Bulldogs by 30 points R11 : Telstra beat Port by 18 points R12 : Telstra beat Hawthorn by 18 points R13 : Subiaco lose to Fremantle by 50 points R14 : MCG beat Melbourne by 6 points R15 : SCG lose to Sydney by 50 points R16 : GABBA lose to Brisbane by 30 points R17: Telstra lose to St Kilda by 30 points R18 : MCG lose to Collingwood by 18 points R19 : AAMI lose to Port by 18 points R20 : MCG beat Essendon* by 30 points R21 : Telstra beat Kanagaroos by 30 points R22 : MCG beat Melbourne by 6 points |
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| Author: | bondiblue [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 7:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I'll buy that! Anything can happen because... "We are the old dark baby blues, we're the team that never lets you down" I always look at those kind of exercises and I like yours best. Thanks grrofunger
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| Author: | Sticks1977 [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 7:21 pm ] |
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It will be very interesting to see how we go throughout the season with a lot of new blood in the side. At the moment I seem to think our team compares to St. Kilda and Western Bulldogs of a few years ago, they drafted some young kids with short term pain but now they are almost a given to play Finals each year... I'm not sure if we will make the 8 but a lot of people (including the media) forget that we were competitive in a fair few games last year and often losing because of one bad quarter of football. Games against West Coast @ Subiaco and Sydney @ Telstra Dome we both should have won. Also IF we manage to win on Saturday night I am not going to get carried away thinking a straight up win in Round 1 - the AFL Season is a whole new kettle of fish! I only have a few goals that I want to see the team achieve this year: - Marc Murphy to play a full season - Carlton to be competitive in most games - Possibly defeat Geelong & St. Kilda? - A Carlton player to win the 'Rising Star' award |
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| Author: | yibbida [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 7:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
This is the ladder I came up with: Quote: Sydney
Fremantle Adelaide West Coast Western Bulldogs Melbourne Geelong Carlton St. Kilda Port Adelaide Brisbane Collingwood Hawthorn Essendon* Richmond Kangaroos Hopefully between us we are somewhere in the ballpark 
Looks like the scum will get first use of the priority pick for winning less than 4 games 2 years in a row 
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| Author: | Car17on [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 7:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Hows about doing the stats for the Top 8 using those same figures? Weagles V Blues @ Subi Saturday Night Dogs V Docs @ G Saturday Sainters V Crows @ Dome Friday Night Ducks V Cats @ Sydney Olympic Stadium Sunday |
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| Author: | grrofunger [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 7:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
p(12)terg wrote: Hows about doing the stats for the Top 8 using those same figures?
Weagles V Blues @ Subi Saturday Night Dogs V Docs @ G Saturday Sainters V Crows @ Dome Friday Night Ducks V Cats @ Sydney Olympic Stadium Sunday huh - is this from my ladder ? cos the finals wouldnt play out like that, it would be : week 1 Eagles v Swans - Eagles to win by 6 Bulldogs v St Kilda - Bulldogs to win by 18 Carlton v Geelong - Carlton to win by 18 Fremantle v Adelaide - Fremantle to win by 30 week 2 St Kilda v Carlton - St Kilda to win by 18 Swans v Fremantle - Swans to win by 18 week 3 Eagles v St Kilda - Eagles to win by 6 Bulldogs v Swans - Bulldogs to win by 18 week 4 Eagles v Bulldogs - Bulldogs to win by 6 ( not sure if i got the cross overs right - so it could all be wrong  )
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| Author: | Car17on [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 8:01 pm ] |
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grrofunger wrote: p(12)terg wrote: Hows about doing the stats for the Top 8 using those same figures? huh - is this from my ladder ? cos the finals wouldnt play out like that, it would be : week 1 Eagles v Swans - Eagles to win by 6 Bulldogs v St Kilda - Bulldogs to win by 18 Carlton v Geelong - Carlton to win by 18 Fremantle v Adelaide - Fremantle to win by 30 week 2 St Kilda v Carlton - St Kilda to win by 18 Swans v Fremantle - Swans to win by 18 week 3 Eagles v St Kilda - Eagles to win by 6 Bulldogs v Swans - Bulldogs to win by 18 week 4 Eagles v Bulldogs - Bulldogs to win by 6 ( not sure if i got the cross overs right - so it could all be wrong )At least two weeks of finals is better than we've been used to since 2003 .. |
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| Author: | kwtf_ [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 8:07 pm ] |
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http://www.talkingcarlton.com/phpBB2/vi ... .php?t=380 http://www.talkingcarlton.com/phpBB2/vi ... .php?t=393 |
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| Author: | Car17on [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 8:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I still like what tommi said a little while ago tommi wrote: GO...........
%$#@ING..................... BLUES....................! kindest regards tommi Since that hmmm thread went, we haven't had enough reminders of good postings ... |
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| Author: | CK95 [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:00 pm ] |
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I can't believe you guys are seriously working out who & where teams will play in the first week of the finals
flower hell! And I thought I talked a whole lotta shit on here! 
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| Author: | tommi [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:06 pm ] |
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Get in line Cee Kay...........! kindest regards tommi GO BLUES..............! |
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| Author: | AGRO [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Personally I would prefer another 2 picks in the top 4 of the 2007 National Draft rather than Pick 12.
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| Author: | grrofunger [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
CK95 wrote: :lol:
I can't believe you guys are seriously working out who & where teams will play in the first week of the finals flower hell! And I thought I talked a whole lotta shit on here! its all fun n games - was bored at work |
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| Author: | grrofunger [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
kwtf_ wrote: http://www.talkingcarlton.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=380
http://www.talkingcarlton.com/phpBB2/vi ... .php?t=393 nice dig up
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| Author: | Rod Waddell [ Thu Mar 15, 2007 11:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
steady |
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| Author: | George Harris [ Fri Mar 16, 2007 5:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Good work, grrofunger. But thought you were just slightly optimistic. I would take about 2 of those wins off us giving Carlton something like 11 wins for the season rather than 13. This would probably have us finishing just outside the 8. |
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| Author: | Car17on [ Fri Mar 16, 2007 5:51 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
CK95 wrote: :lol: And you won't believe the dream I had last night .. I was watching the Grand Final, Us v Scum, and we were trouncing them .. sigh ..
I can't believe you guys are seriously working out who & where teams will play in the first week of the finals flower hell! And I thought I talked a whole lotta shit on here! I don't think this discussion was that serious, though .. |
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| Author: | Siegfried [ Fri Mar 16, 2007 9:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
David Schwartz on SEN today predicted us to finish 8th. That means we have no hope of making the finals
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| Author: | true_blue3 [ Fri Mar 16, 2007 10:13 pm ] |
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i had us finishing 13th, i don't think we should get too far ahead of ourselves so we don't get too heartbroken if thing don't go to plan, anything below 13th will be a fail for us though. Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc 1 West Coast 22 20 2 0 2560 1840 80 139.1 4 Sydney 22 18 4 0 2358 2042 72 115.4 2 Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2361 2039 68 115.7 6 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2384 2016 64 118.2 8 W Bulldogs 22 16 6 0 2336 2064 64 113.1 3 Fremantle 22 15 7 0 2481 1919 60 129.2 7 Melbourne 22 12 10 0 2228 2172 48 102.5 5 Collingwood 22 11 11 0 2120 2280 44 92.9 10 Geelong 22 10 12 0 2178 2222 40 98.0 12 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 2180 2220 36 98.1 13 Bris Lions 22 9 13 0 2160 2240 36 96.4 11 Hawthorn 22 7 15 0 2051 2349 28 87.3 16 Carlton 22 7 15 0 1942 2458 28 79.0 15 Essendon* 22 4 18 0 1990 2410 16 82.5 9 Richmond 22 4 18 0 1971 2429 16 81.1 14 Kangaroos 22 1 21 0 1900 2500 4 76.0 |
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| Author: | Teen Spirit [ Fri Mar 16, 2007 11:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
i have us finishing 12th, just... 1 West Coast 22 17 5 0 2367 2033 68 116.4 7 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2318 2082 64 111.3 3 Fremantle 22 15 6 1 2373 2027 62 117.0 8 W Bulldogs 22 15 6 1 2257 2143 62 105.3 2 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 2352 2048 60 114.8 4 Sydney 22 15 7 0 2332 2068 60 112.7 6 St Kilda 22 15 7 0 2278 2122 60 107.3 10 Geelong 22 13 9 0 2236 2164 52 103.3 12 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2239 2161 44 103.6 5 Collingwood 22 11 11 0 2188 2212 44 98.9 11 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 2160 2240 36 96.4 16 Carlton 22 8 14 0 2090 2310 32 90.4 13 Bris Lions 22 7 15 0 2086 2314 28 90.1 9 Richmond 22 4 18 0 2026 2374 16 85.3 15 Essendon* 22 2 20 0 1981 2419 8 81.8 14 Kangaroos 22 2 20 0 1917 2483 8 77.2 if things work out like i predicted i'll be left a very happy man...Geelong and Port could both finish 8th i think though... Nic |
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