aboynamedsue wrote:
If injuries were the only problem, why did we sack the coach?
Because we have a weak, reactive board and an impatient supporter group.
aboynamedsue wrote:
I'm maybe not as extreme as keogh, but I am concerned about this group's capacity to go to the next level (ie. top 4). I reckon we have signigficant worries at both ends of the ground and our midfield balance & depth isn't what it needs to be.
I dont agree. Thats not a reasonable assessment based on any factual data ABNS. Its a "vibe" about our capacity to go the next level. Have a look at who missed games for us last year and how many.
At a guess I'd suggest Murphy, Judd, Carrazzo, Jamison, Henderson, Waite, Kruezer, Hampson, Walker, Warnock, Laidler, Yarran and Simpson all missed at least half a dozen games or were playing lame. The backbone of our side. Then throw in last years depth players Casboult, Rowe, McInnes, Ellard, Curnow, White, Davies, O'Keefe etc. The lack of personnel and the resultant loss of confidence saw us drop away.
As for our significant worries at either end, our key position stocks are superior compared to 2 years ago IMO. Hendo has the ability to become a high quality CHB, Jamo is quality if he stats fit and White and Rowe are very good back up for either end of the ground. Levi offers us something we havent had for a dozen years (A contested marking option) and Hammer creates plenty of ground balls and hits the packs hard. Coupled with an average contribution from Waite (10 - 12 games a year) its better than anything we had when we finished top 6 in 2010 and 2011 IMO. Murphy is a far superior player and Gibbs is much improved at winning the contested footy. With Robinson, Judd, Simpson, Bell, Carrazzo, McLean, Lucas and the moderate inclusion of Eddie and Jeff, I think our midfield depth is good. Not to forget depth players like Ellard and Curnow.
aboynamedsue wrote:
It's not quite 1991 (I think we're a bit better than we were back then), but I do see it a bit like when Parkin came in turned the list over and spent basically a whole season finding out about the playing group and how the football department was running - he made lots of changes and we won less games than the year before he arrived....but we played in a GF within 2 years and won a flag inside 4 years.
I think MM has realised that it's going to take at least half a season to get us playing the way he wants. I would not be surprised if we are near the bottom of the ladder after 6 rounds - and history tells us that you struggle to make the finals if you're not in the 8 by late May.
If we dont get some flexibility into our game style, it wont matter. We've become the longest kicking team in the league by a mile. You know why no one else kicks long like us? Because its too hard to win possession without giving 50% of it away with every kick by kicking to contests. Yes, long kicking is good but usually as a forward 50 entry. Blazing away down the boundary out of defence is mindboggling IMO. Its reminiscent of Pagan. Trying to retrofit a gamestyle into a club instead of assessing the teams strengths and weaknesses and devising a style to suit.
aboynamedsue wrote:
I expect us to improve as the year goes on, and we'll make a late charge and might even sneak into the finals.
Me too. I expect MM to come to his senses and we'll play a hybrid game of what he requires and what is needed.
aboynamedsue wrote:
In any event, by the end of the year MM will have worked out who he wants, and who he doesn't want, as part of his plans going forward. I expect we'll be much more active in next year's trade period as MM tries to mould the list to suit his game style etc. He may make some hard decisions on some established players along the way...
Obviously, I would love it to all come together straight away and win the flag. Of course I bloody would!! Hey, maybe it will? But as we approach Round 1, I just cannot see it happening like that unfortunately.
As I said. We finished top 8 in 09, 10 and 11 with a very credible performance in 011. As far as I'm concerned, with a reasonable run with injury, we have no excuses. IMO, we are structurally better than 011 and top 4 should be our expectation. We're just coming into our own as a list and we should be looking at a strong 3-4 years ahead, not a step backwards.