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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:18 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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For most of the year i've thought that, although we've improved, the rest of the comp , apart from Collingwood and the West coast, has gone backwards.

Today we played last years Prelim finalists, who have finally started to show their class and more than that they showed their willingness for the physical stuff.

We are now reliant on the Saints, the rejuvinated Bombers (away) and the Doggies to help us make top 4. These guys have to beat the WCE or we are sunk.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:23 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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blueboy23 wrote:
we have beaten,
tigers twice
swans twice
lions
adelaide
melbourne
saints
gold coast
what does that tell you?
joseph
houlihan
bower
thornton,
thanks for your services.
we will be lucky to make the 8, overrated.


You would have to be joking.
I just love the way the 'supporters' of this club turn on them after a loss.
Here's a question for you? We are in 4th spot on the ladder after 16 rounds and have got there with one of the worst injury lists in the comp to strategic players. What does that tell you?
Here's another one. We played ten minutes of bad footy against Collingwood and had Warnock been able to see the goals we would have beaten Geelong. What does that tell you?

This is what they tell me. With a full list we can potentially beat anybody. We have eight weeks to get everybody on the park. In the meantime, the players we have left, have to do what they've been doing all year and win the games they can win and try not to lose the others. They will finish in the eight. They have a hard run home but the other teams competing for the eight have to win more than we do to knock us out.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:26 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Hotcox wrote:
This loss was just as bad as the Nth Melb loss last year. This will eradicate the confidence the team had.

We are in desperate need of someone to take the heat off Waite up forward. Thornton looked lively when moved to the forward line after 1/2 time and should be preserved with against Collingwood.

Ohalipin should be rushed straight back into this team if fit. Henderson was ok on Hall and he is worth preserving with in the backline along with Bower who i thought was good in the 2nd half.



Yes he should be.
and we should maybe lay the jar down sideways in the pantry.

Re Hoops...
he was good when he played as a defensive forward.
I hope he will get a chance to try that role again.


edited for a spelling mistake. :smile:

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Last edited by bluegirl72 on Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:27 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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Bloody freezing
Uncommitted team
Apart from Murph and Judd and a few others too many guys looking to bludge and wait for things to happen
Waite looked injured early on and looked like groin. He will be out a few weeks. They need to get it right, really right.
Happy for Houla to get to 200 games, but his future is limited. He looked very slow, and not suited to the ubercontested style of game footy has become.
Warnock won many knockouts but when sides contest hard as the dogs did, knockouts can be negated and he does little around the ground compared to Hudson and he hardly takes a mark
What's with Bower up forward??
Why would you not bring in Tuohy to replace Carrots?
AJ and Ellard are tough battlers but their lack of class lets them down
Forward line was diabolically bad. When we play like this you wonder how we ever got as high on the ladder. This insipid effort may well have cost us a top four spot. We may get a first final against a rejuvenated Dogs or Saints - very costly slip
Anyone in the 2s showing form has a chance
Without Waite and Jammo and even Hampson for the next month we will struggle.
Hope we don't get flogged by the Pies, but can't see us getting near them. This season might soon start looking like last year.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:28 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Blue Sombrero wrote:
Maybe we should just throw it like Freo did last year in Launceston and use the week to rest a few players who are suffering from niggles.



yep, i'll let sticks know

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:28 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Taff wrote:
Dr.SHERRIN wrote:
club29 wrote:
I was at training yesterday and the team looked flat and a number of players seemed far from fresh. I think we picked too many that were underdone. You could see it after half time.


Heard from a number of sources..independent to one another that around 10 are carrying niggles/soreness. Now I know this is par for the course and every club has to manage soreness and injury, but it's crept in big time this week. By my calculations we had Waite, Russell, Judd and Scotland who possibly shouldn't have played. Sit your tagger on Murphy and you're set!

Funnily enough, this plagued Bryce Gibbs for the first month, and he's since provided some great run and energy where needed.

With a 6 day turnaround, the fitness/coaching staff have their work cut out for them. I don't wanna hear much about coaching moves...Ratts' hands were tied big time coming into this game. We've a great test of depth approaching us....all of a sudden, it looks pretty shallow.


That just about covers it. The big challenge will be where do we go from here?


Taff, you said during the match thread the difference was in the coaches box, now you agree with Doc that Ratts hands were tied, which is it?

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:31 pm 
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Serge Silvagni
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I'm with you BS. we've been good this year and thoroughly deserve our position on the ladder. we put in a shocker today, and paid the penalty. we'll need to improve on today's performance to finish top 4. simple as that

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:35 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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We lost it at the selection table

Bower should never have been selected they should have stuck with Touhy his form was good

and if they new carrotts was injured why not pick the bloke who has been in the best players nearly every week in the Ants - Bloody select Brocky FFS

We need to stop stuffing around with this forward set up - find a forward and play him there be it Casboult , Watson , Hendo who ever but if we go into a final relying on Garlett Betts and walker to kick our goals we will go out in straight sets -- those guys should be the icing on the cake not the be all and end all like they are at the moment . Waite obviously got injured last week and they risked him this week - Dumb selections

and if some one suggest Ohalpin I will bloody scream

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:39 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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kingkerna wrote:
Blue Sombrero wrote:
kingkerna wrote:
Paul Bower, the person that a lot of people here have in their best team has the following stats:

Games Played: 59
Games Lost: 38
Percentage of Games Lost: 66.10%
Percentage of Games Won:33.90

Games Carlton Played since first playing PB:107
Games Lost: 58.5
Games Won: 48.5
Percentage of Games Lost: 54.67
Percentage of Games Won: 45.33

Carlton's Record without PB playing:
Games Played: 48
Games Lost: 20.5
Games Won: 27.5
Percentage of Games Lost: 42.71
Percentage of Games Won: 57.29

These stats don't lie, spin this anyway you like, he is overrated and when he plays we have a greater chance of losing and when he doesn't play we have a greater chance of winning.

Put those same stats on Murphy and Gibbs over their entire careers and you'll find they're useless as well. And Scotland and Simpson while you're at it.
If you want to make stats say something, it's pretty easy to find a way. Just find the biggest losing streak you can find and then prove every player in the team was a dud. Bower may not be the best player on the list but when he is fit, confident and backing himself, he does contribute a lot. Tonight he played in the forward fifty for most of the game. It isn't where he has played his best footy for us. He's just a kid. He'll either make it or he won't.

Simmo apparently went 4 weeks in a row with no possessions at all. Feed that into a stats machine and see how it comes out.

"Lies, lies and bloody statistics" (Don't know who said it first)


I dare you to do it on Murphy and Gibbs, do some research before spouting a garbage response. Simmo went three games without a touch, big deal, this isn't about him, nor is it about tonight in isolation. Overrate PB at your own risk.

Murphy and Gibbs played in sides that didn't win a game for two or three years. Feed that into your stats.
And as for spouting a garbage response, saying Bower will either make it or he won't is hardly overrating him.

My point is, if you want to make stats prove something, it is easy to find a way to do it.
Did you break down the games he played in by team and position on the ladder? Nup.
Did you break down the games according to the other players included in the back six on the day? Nup
Did you break down the games on whether the forwards kicked straight or not? Nup.
Did you analyse his minutes per game in winning and losing games? Nup.

The basic tenet of using statistics to prove a point and deflect criticism is to have the broadest possible base with the most factors considered. You should try it sometime.

And thanks to KK for the enlightenment. :smile:

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:42 pm 
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Harry Vallence
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Sydney Blue wrote:
We lost it at the selection table

Bower should never have been selected they should have stuck with Touhy his form was good

and if they new carrotts was injured why not pick the bloke who has been in the best players nearly every week in the Ants - Bloody select Brocky FFS

We need to stop stuffing around with this forward set up - find a forward and play him there be it Casboult , Watson , Hendo who ever but if we go into a final relying on Garlett Betts and walker to kick our goals we will go out in straight sets -- those guys should be the icing on the cake not the be all and end all like they are at the moment . Waite obviously got injured last week and they risked him this week - Dumb selections

and if some one suggest Ohalpin I will bloody scream


Whats wrong with Setanta?
The bloke will bust a nut, go in as hard as anyone, never give up, always provide a genuine tough contest..... thats more than can be said about half the mob today!

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:43 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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You don't win finals without key position players. We haven't got good ones
Kreuzer & Waite have to play permanent forward
Warnock is not strong enough to play as an AFL Ruckman but we have to run with him.
Please Please Please play Setanta. He has the physicality that our other KPPs don't have. I will live with the turn overs because, until someone better comes along, he offers us hardness.
Persist with Hendo. His more athlete than footballer but he is only 1 year older than Jack Watts and he might learn the caper.
Thouey is a must and Austin deserves another shot


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:44 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan

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I find it a bit rich using the injured players excuse when we have players performing well in the VFL and dont give them a shot. :?
We were just outworked by a more committed team IMO.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:57 pm 
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formerly Virgin Blue

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I'll give u a stat. Were fourth on ladder but have only beaten one top eight side and haven't beaten any top four sides. And iirc we didn't beat any top eight sides in the last ten or so games last year. Sandpit bullies


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:57 pm 
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John Nicholls

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Blue Vain wrote:
I find it a bit rich using the injured players excuse when we have players performing well in the VFL and dont give them a shot. :?
We were just outworked by a more committed team IMO.


I think you will find that those talking about the injuries are saying that the issue was with their selection. Nobody is using injuries as an excuse that i have read. Everyone is saying what you are saying - that we should have used the fresher players that played reserves.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:57 pm 
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John Nicholls
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I mentioned the coaches box because at the time it seemed that way, I suspect it is a combination of both because a coach can only work with what he has available and Eade obviously had more to work with

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 9:04 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Sugarcane wrote:
I'll give u a stat. Were fourth on ladder but have only beaten one top eight side and haven't beaten any top four sides. And iirc we didn't beat any top eight sides in the last ten or so games last year. Sandpit bullies

True.
Here's another one.
Of the four top four sides we have played only two.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 9:09 pm 
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formerly Virgin Blue

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Blue Sombrero wrote:
Sugarcane wrote:
I'll give u a stat. Were fourth on ladder but have only beaten one top eight side and haven't beaten any top four sides. And iirc we didn't beat any top eight sides in the last ten or so games last year. Sandpit bullies

True.
Here's another one.
Of the four top four sides we have played only two.

So what? Fact is we've lost both and couldn't beat eagles or ess. Here's another one for u - since round eight 2010 we have only beaten one top eight side !!!


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 9:13 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Here's a stat, more than 75% of teams would like to be in our position.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 9:14 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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Sugarcane wrote:
Blue Sombrero wrote:
Sugarcane wrote:
I'll give u a stat. Were fourth on ladder but have only beaten one top eight side and haven't beaten any top four sides. And iirc we didn't beat any top eight sides in the last ten or so games last year. Sandpit bullies

True.
Here's another one.
Of the four top four sides we have played only two.

So what? Fact is we've lost both and couldn't beat eagles or ess. Here's another one for u - since round eight 2010 we have only beaten one top eight side !!!


youve made your point. what is it exactly?


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2011 9:15 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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Tried to be cute with the ball and overused it
Doggies did not allow us any space to work in
Caught badly out of position on ball turnover and did not work hard enough going the other way.
No movement from the forwards once Waite went off
Footscray wanted the win more than we did and it showed in the 1%ers. They played 'grunt' footy, we tried to play 'slick' footy and it cost us.

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