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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 1:44 pm 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Jul 09, 2007 4:52 pm
Posts: 2044
cortez wrote:
We are on the bottom of the ladder, not challenging for a flag, we have to rebuild for the future. Where's the point in the recruiting of fading stars looking to top up their bank accounts before they have to face the real world? If we recruit blokes like this we've learnt nothing, although I guess old Jack would approve "Caaaarlton doesn't rebuild".


The knowledge Johnson has is invaluable to a young group, especially to the likes of Menzel, Buckley, Silvagni. He will teach them. Look at Judd's effect on Cripps. I have no problem with allocating one spot on our list to a leader from a successful environmentIf he ticks the following boxes you take him.

Does he want to play for us?
Can he give us 2 years. Will his body hold out
Will he cost nothing?
Is he a good teacher?
Could you be a future assistant? Could we consider a rookie spot with an assistant coaching role in a few years?
Does he replace another list clogger or a risky late draft pick?


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 2:14 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
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jimmae wrote:
dannyboy wrote:
"The current game style isn't realistic on the demands of players, which is why the average retirement age has slid a long way in a short space of time. Starting to wonder how many people who advocated for all this 'two-way running' actually played that way themselves."

Jimmae can you please back up your statement above with Data showing the reason the age has decreased is because of 2 way running and not for other factors...like players being delisted because a) some must be and b) the artificially created rebuild cycle.

You and I both know I can't do that at the drop of a hat, but all I said is the current game style has been cutting down the retirement age. There's less players playing after 31 than ever before despite huge leaps in player recovery and injury prevention/management methods, though Hawthorn are doing it successfully (unlike Geelong).

Blue Vain wrote:
Its pointless your half forwards making "timed runs to receive" when the opposition are kicking goals because they're flogging you at the contest, Jim.
But I'm sure if you wrote to the 18 coaches to tell them why they're wrong, they'd love to be enlightened.

I'm sure the coaches generally aren't wrong; we all know it's very different once you're at ground level trying to identify patterns and shifts as an individual player amongst a sea of them. What I'm talking about is someone being within 10 m of the fringe of the stoppage and making a run from there. Back your ball winners to work each other into a bubble of space and then make the pass. Create an outlet for them by doing what you do best.

Chase by all means if the ball is turned over, but try to have a 'spread for the spread' if that makes sense. Freo are the ultimate two-way team and look how they wilted.

An important statistic highlighted yesterday that I think matches up with this was that Gibson and Stratton have kicked 1 goal between them in their Hawthorn careers. Gibson averages 22 possessions a game this year, yet just 1.7 I50s and 2.6 R50s and for the season only managed 8 clearances and 5 goal assists; 99% game time at 31 years of age.

In soccer they refer to what Hawthorn are doing as being less 'fluid': players stick to their areas and roles and generally do not break this tactical instruction. Gibson and Stratton are probably their dourest players, so they don't go forward. What they also do is contribute to the flow of possession without generally making a huge dent in terms of getting the football out of the D50 and into the F50 save for the sake of tactical variety to keep the opposition on their toes.

Compare this to how often White (probably our analogue to Gibson) runs around like a chook and gets sucked out of the play to watch the ball sail over his head, and flail about with the football forward of centre. And he's a fairly smart, hard working footballer, if not possessing as much of an athletic edge as Gibson.

The best teams (or team, really, because organisationally no one else is close) have struck a balance between intelligence and hard work. The only thing that stopped Hawthorn from dominating all aspects of the competition this year is a few injuries and some slowing reflexes. They make their opponents run ragged without killing themselves; that's the part of their organisation we should aspire to match, that ethic.


Thats all interesting but largely irrelevant in this instance Jim.
The reality is Johnsons role was to push up to within 10 metres of the stoppage and to man up the feed back player.
He refused to do it. Once players choose to play outside the team structure and do whatever they want, they become a liability.
Johnson admitted that he did his own thing and that he didn't follow instructions. Is that what we want our players to learn?

Anyone who thinks its a good idea to draft a player who has become too lazy/unfit or selfish to play within a team structure is kidding themselves

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 3:47 pm 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 6:36 pm
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Location: melbourne
Hey blue sombrero,
Jack.S is a late pick at best.
He ain't no gun key forward.....
Round pick 78 I reckon mate..
Just my silly thoughts


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 5:40 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Blue Vain wrote:
Thats all interesting but largely irrelevant in this instance Jim.
The reality is Johnsons role was to push up to within 10 metres of the stoppage and to man up the feed back player.
He refused to do it. Once players choose to play outside the team structure and do whatever they want, they become a liability.
Johnson admitted that he did his own thing and that he didn't follow instructions. Is that what we want our players to learn?

Anyone who thinks its a good idea to draft a player who has become too lazy/unfit or selfish to play within a team structure is kidding themselves

I agree with your re: Johnson; not even in question. Glad to see we're on the same page re: stoppage numbers.

dannyboy wrote:
"The current game style isn't realistic on the demands of players, which is why the average retirement age has slid a long way in a short space of time. Starting to wonder how many people who advocated for all this 'two-way running' actually played that way themselves."

Jimmae can you please back up your statement above with Data showing the reason the age has decreased is because of 2 way running and not for other factors...like players being delisted because a) some must be and b) the artificially created rebuild cycle.

Danny do I really have to pick back through retirement ages over the last 20 years to highlight this for you? 32 seems to be the ceiling for most players these days when it used to be 34, and it's quickly slipping to 31.

There are obviously exceptions to that, but sit down and look at the discipline these guys have to last that long (as well as the luck). The increase in running demands since about 2000 has been mental, and it's why the AFL has been trying to reduce stoppage numbers and rotations.

If it gets any worse they'll need to seriously consider raising the draft age to 21 just so kids don't get cut down while developing their bodies.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 6:21 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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sorry, I thought you knew Jimmae, not just stating an opinion.

"The increase in running demands since about 2000 has been mental, and it's why the AFL has been trying to reduce stoppage numbers and rotations." in your opinion unless you can lead me to where the AFL has stated this

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2015 8:31 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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dannyboy wrote:
sorry, I thought you knew Jimmae, not just stating an opinion.

"The increase in running demands since about 2000 has been mental, and it's why the AFL has been trying to reduce stoppage numbers and rotations." in your opinion unless you can lead me to where the AFL has stated this

They have. I didn't realise I needed to confirm common knowledge because I'm the one speaking.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 1:16 am 
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Ken Hands

Joined: Fri Jan 06, 2006 12:10 am
Posts: 463
Location: WA
I really hope we have a "no steak knives" policy this year.


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 7:01 am 
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Ken Hunter
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See I'd like to read about this link between increased running and early retirement but I can't find any links, so to me it isn't common knowledge. Show me a link.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 7:40 am 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 9:35 am
Posts: 2125
Don't want Stevie J, was a super talent and a super smart @#$%, Always tries to do too much and be too clever and that comes off less as he gets older. We should not be a superannuation club for anyone anymore. No, No, No. The only reason I wd take himne wd be if it was a choice between him and sooky boy Carlisle. I'd take a bag of chips ahead of Carlisle.


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 9:09 am 
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Serge Silvagni

Joined: Fri Sep 28, 2012 11:12 am
Posts: 915
Hearing Stevie J's two options are the Bulldogs or Melbourne


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 9:17 am 
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Bert Deacon

Joined: Mon Sep 21, 2015 3:51 pm
Posts: 546
we need to find a PACEY midfielder .


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 9:57 am 
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Bruce Doull
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dannyboy wrote:
See I'd like to read about this link between increased running and early retirement but I can't find any links, so to me it isn't common knowledge. Show me a link.

:lol:

Ok. Here we go now:

2003 AFL Injury Report

Quote:
Highlights:
  • Presents findings from the twelfth consecutive year of injury surveillance for the AFL, the last seven years with 100% compliance. Shows that historically season 2003 was the lowest year on record with respect to incidence of injuries, time missed through injury and rate of injury recurrence.
  • Shows a continuing trend for teams to be more conservative in their management of injury (keeping players out for longer from initial injuries), with a continuing decrease in recurrence rates but a much smaller decrease in overall injury severity rate (missed games per injury)
  • The lowering injury rates of recent years may be related to investment being made by the AFL on research projects, which contribute to advances in injury prevention and/or management.


2011 AFL Injury Report

Quote:
After one season of the new substitute rule (changing the bench from 4 interchange players to 3 interchange plus 1 substitute), it is too early to be certain about the extent to which this change has contributed to the statistically significant drop in hamstring strains and other lower limb muscle strains in 2011, however the evidence suggests there is some association. The 2011 GPS report showed that average player speed and time spent at the highest speeds both decreased in 2011 for the first time in several years, which was pleasing in the context of reducing the risk of injury. Ongoing assessment of injury rates in 2012 will allow for further analysis to be performed.


2012 AFL Injury Report

2013 AFL Injury Report

2014 AFL Injury Report

Quote:
Summary:
  • Substantially reduced injury incidence in season 2014 compared to season 2013
  • Reduced injury prevalence with a higher rate than usual of players playing matches at state league level due to greater player availability
  • Ongoing lower rates of hamstring, quadriceps and groin injuries compared to the last few years of no restrictions on the interchange bench. In 2014 the total incidence and prevalence of injuries in the groin/hip/thigh region were the lowest recorded in the 23 years of the injury survey
  • A reduction in the number of calf injuries in 2014 compared to the previous three years, although with the rate still higher than the years prior to introduction of the substitute rule.
  • A higher rate in 2014 than usual of foot stress fractures

...

Results
Key indicators for the 23 years of the survey are shown in Table 1. The injury incidence (number of new injuries per club per season) for 2014 was 36.1, a 13% decrease from 2013. Injury prevalence was 146.0 missed games per season, an 8% decrease from 2013 and more in keeping with rates of the mid to late 2000s. The rate of recurrent injuries (12%) was similar to 2013 and in keeping with the relatively low recurrence rates of the past decade.


This establishes for you what I was saying about the increased running requirements and the demands it's been putting on players. The AFL have been trying to address the speed of the game and the kilometres covered for this entire decade, along with investing time and effort into concussion research.

All those numbers indicate that injury management is vastly improved compared to 20 years ago, yet how many blokes are playing past 32 compared to then? That one you can source yourself.

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And only 7 that you like;
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 10:49 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2015 5:55 pm
Posts: 4435
I thought we were over getting old stars ??


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 10:52 am 
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Craig Bradley
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What old stars have we picked up in the last 10 years?

26 year old Dale Thomas?

Huge myth that we're a place to top up super..

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HAVE YOU SIGNED UP FOR TALKINGCARLTON SUPERCOACH 2009 YET?


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 10:53 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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The Rhino wrote:
What old stars have we picked up in the last 10 years?

26 year old Dale Thomas?

Huge myth that we're a place to top up super..


....you @#$%&! the one goat.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 10:54 am 
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Craig Bradley

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 12:38 pm
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we are- no to Stevie J Stokes - CONTRARY TO ALL STATEMENTS made by board executive all year - wont happen


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 11:09 am 
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Ken Hunter
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You misunderstand...it is the LINK between increased running (or injury as you now seem to be calling it) and retirement that you claim is "general knowledge" that I cannot find.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 11:44 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2015 5:55 pm
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The Rhino wrote:
What old stars have we picked up in the last 10 years?

26 year old Dale Thomas?

Huge myth that we're a place to top up super..


You've kindly answered my question/statement.
We've been good at NOT doing it, so why go back to it.

How good was Brock for us? Thomas?

ANd old is a subjective term, you do realise this, don't you??
Old as in ... years, or as in BODY SHOT...


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 11:47 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Mon Jun 01, 2015 5:55 pm
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frank dardew wrote:
we are- no to Stevie J Stokes - CONTRARY TO ALL STATEMENTS made by board executive all year - wont happen


Good.

Lets stockpile good young talent.

Can inc those 24 or under.


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 06, 2015 11:55 am 
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Craig Bradley
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Paddycripps wrote:
The Rhino wrote:
What old stars have we picked up in the last 10 years?

26 year old Dale Thomas?

Huge myth that we're a place to top up super..


You've kindly answered my question/statement.
We've been good at NOT doing it, so why go back to it.

How good was Brock for us? Thomas?

ANd old is a subjective term, you do realise this, don't you??
Old as in ... years, or as in BODY SHOT...


Subjective also with the benefit of hindsight. Thomas had a foot injury at the time, this year ruined by a shoulder. Not sure how they're relevant. McLean had his moments - hardly a huge bust (in the context we could have had Talia/Fyfe anyway irrespective of McLean deal).

If anything, I think we didn't do enough in this regard in the years we were challenging. Instead we stockpiled subjective talent at the wrong time on the premiership clock. No other successful club in the past 10 years have done so.

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