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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 8:04 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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The Spornstar wrote:


Punter22 wrote:
Co-sign.

If Kade keeps the ball in bounds, if Jeffy settles and kicks a goal it's an academic discussion and our fate is in our hands.

Essentially we've had two bad days at the office, and let two opportunities slip. If that costs us top four, so be it.


I just don't get this logic. Sure, Simmo and Jeffy's mistakes were costly, but if our draw was more favourable we might have been playing a poor team rather than Essendon* twice and have easily won that game. If we had a fixture like the Eagles had, we might have played Port Adelaide twice rather than Collingwood twice (as another example), and have an extra win on the board. The fixture matters!

I realise in the outside world I'd probably be labelled a whinger, but if I can't whinge on TC, then where can I? :razz:


Logic? I'm not sure if there was logic there :smile:

My only point was that if you had of said to me at the start of the season that we would have two bad days, missed out on two gettable and would have a chance at 16.5 wins at the start of the season I would have taken it.

If after having two bad days, and two close results not go our way means we finish fifth this year, well I will wear it. We are one of a few clubs whose draw is even more scripted than the norm, so we can't really worry about it. We raked home 800k+ from the Collingwood game, so I've got no complaints about the draw.


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 8:14 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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cimm1979 wrote:
bluegirl72 wrote:
[Listen Cimm...howz about you go see those WC boys, and try some hypnotism?...y'all are getting verrryyyy sleeepy..soooo tired from the plane ride....need to slowww downn....when you hear the word Melbourne...you need to lie down...(see angus for lessons)mel-bourne.....sleeeeepppyy.......Zzzzzzzzzzzzz



I think Woosha has some sort of chemical antidote (wink).
Just need Cox and Nata to get a few more knocks, nothing too serious, just enough to stop them running mad for 4/4.


Right.
I'll take Cox, you take Nata. :razz:

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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 8:22 pm 
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formerly King Kenny
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Go Dees


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 9:06 pm 
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Rod Ashman

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TruBlueBrad wrote:
That actually goes against everything I said.

Wins and losses aren't just important...they're everything. If all goes as people are predicting then West Coast and Hawthorn will have more than us. Its hard to argue against that, yet here you are arguing the draw is more important than the number of wins you have.


Without wanting to speak for The Spornstar, what he appears to be saying (and I happen to agree with him/her) is that the draw shapes the number of wins you have; it's not so much a matter of importance, but of effect. You don't operate in a vaccuum - other teams do influence your fortunes, for better or for worse.

I'm sure most people would agree that wins and losses are the most important measure of success - they determine ladder positioning, which is the most tangible way of gauging progression/regression. But numerous factors affect where a team finishes on the ladder and one of these is their fixture.

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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 10:38 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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bluegirl72 wrote:
Right.
I'll take Cox

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Essendon* cheated, simple as that


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:54 pm 
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Harry Vallence

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TruBlueBrad wrote:
The Spornstar wrote:
TruBlueBrad wrote:
The effect of the fixture is overrated.

We lost to West Coast in Melbourne and most of you give us little chance against Hawhorn yet you think we deserve to finish ahead of them.

I reckon the stats of wins and losses explain the story a little better than opinion on the fixfure.


Well, obviously wins and losses are important, but I disagree completely with your general point. We lost in Melbourne to West Coast, yes that's true. But so what? Upsets happen. We beat Geelong last year, does that mean we deserved to finish above them? All I'm saying is that if we had an identical draw to West Coast's, we'd most likely be finishing above them.


That actually goes against everything I said.

Wins and losses aren't just important...they're everything. If all goes as people are predicting then West Coast and Hawthorn will have more than us. Its hard to argue against that, yet here you are arguing the draw is more important than the number of wins you have.


No, that's not what I'm arguing. All I'm saying is the number of wins and losses we have will in part depend on how favourable our fixture is (it ain't a draw!). It doesn't make all the difference, obviously, it's just a factor, but I think it's a pretty important one. And when you have three sides that are pretty close together (ie Hawthorn, WCE and Carlton), then things like the fixture become really important, and this year, relative to those teams, we've been absolutely screwed by the fixture! Enough to cost us between 2 and 8 premiership points I reckon. That's pretty much all I'm trying to say here.


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PostPosted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:56 pm 
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Harry Vallence

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Blues2005 wrote:
TruBlueBrad wrote:
That actually goes against everything I said.

Wins and losses aren't just important...they're everything. If all goes as people are predicting then West Coast and Hawthorn will have more than us. Its hard to argue against that, yet here you are arguing the draw is more important than the number of wins you have.


Without wanting to speak for The Spornstar, what he appears to be saying (and I happen to agree with him/her) is that the draw shapes the number of wins you have; it's not so much a matter of importance, but of effect. You don't operate in a vaccuum - other teams do influence your fortunes, for better or for worse.

I'm sure most people would agree that wins and losses are the most important measure of success - they determine ladder positioning, which is the most tangible way of gauging progression/regression. But numerous factors affect where a team finishes on the ladder and one of these is their fixture.


Just saw this now, summed it up nicely Blues2005


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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 7:53 am 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Can you explain how the fixture has screwed us from 2 to 8 points? Given you're starting with 2 points, you think the fixture contributed to the draw against Essendon*?

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 8:32 am 
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Laurie Kerr
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TruBlueBrad wrote:
Can you explain how the fixture has screwed us from 2 to 8 points? Given you're starting with 2 points, you think the fixture contributed to the draw against Essendon*?


Hmm, I'm not sure why you find their point of view so hard to understand. For instance, if we had played Gold Coast twice and Port twice rather than Collingwood twice and Essendon* twice it'd be safe to assume we would be 6 points ahead of where we are now. That's 1 win extra from GC and 2 more points factoring in the draw from Essendon*.

Do the Hawks and West Coast play Collingwood twice? I honestly am not sure. But if they do play them twice it'd be safe to say they would each lose both games.


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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 9:45 am 
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Ken Hunter
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skadoosh wrote:
TruBlueBrad wrote:
Can you explain how the fixture has screwed us from 2 to 8 points? Given you're starting with 2 points, you think the fixture contributed to the draw against Essendon*?


Hmm, I'm not sure why you find their point of view so hard to understand. For instance, if we had played Gold Coast twice and Port twice rather than Collingwood twice and Essendon* twice it'd be safe to assume we would be 6 points ahead of where we are now. That's 1 win extra from GC and 2 more points factoring in the draw from Essendon*.

Do the Hawks and West Coast play Collingwood twice? I honestly am not sure. But if they do play them twice it'd be safe to say they would each lose both games.


Nah, they both played Collingwood only once.

I posted some stats earlier in this thread - but basically we have played more top 8 teams twice than both Hawthorn and West Coast, and less bottom 9 teams.

As the ladder stands right now we play 4 top 8 teams twice to both of them only playing 1 top 8 team twice.

So yes, I agree that the fixture this year has just happened to make it harder for us compared to them, and if we do finish top 4 it will be a pretty damn good effort on our part.


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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 10:28 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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I reckon the bombers are the ones to do us the favour of knocking off the eagles. The Bombers have an annoying habit of winning the unwinnable, so west coast at subi is right up their alley... They are brave

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 11:00 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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The_Cranium wrote:
I reckon the bombers are the ones to do us the favour of knocking off the eagles. The Bombers have an annoying habit of winning the unwinnable, so west coast at subi is right up their alley... They are brave



no chance bombers are terrible interstate

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 11:29 am 
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Ken Hunter
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Sydney Blue wrote:
The_Cranium wrote:
I reckon the bombers are the ones to do us the favour of knocking off the eagles. The Bombers have an annoying habit of winning the unwinnable, so west coast at subi is right up their alley... They are brave



no chance bombers are terrible interstate


Nah if they win only one more game for the year they will knock off WC at Subi.

Like TC said they have a habit of winning games they shouldn't - see Geelong and Sydney. Just makes it all the more :lol: when they lose to teams like Richmond though.


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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 12:37 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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The Hawks played Geelong twice and will play the doggies twice who we lost to. They only got to play the bombers once who they completely annihilated. You can argue about the draw for ever.

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2011 6:53 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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TheGame wrote:
The Hawks played Geelong twice and will play the doggies twice who we lost to. They only got to play the bombers once who they completely annihilated. You can argue about the draw for ever.


Thanks Game, I'm glad someone else gets it.

We play Collingwood and Essendon* twice because we request it.

If the top 4 finishes how many expect it, we'd play only one of them twice...and you guys are complaining about our fixture?

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2011 12:50 am 
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Bruce Doull
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When we're a lock to play Richmond twice what's to complain about? :lol:

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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2011 10:28 am 
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Stephen Kernahan

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TruBlueBrad wrote:
TheGame wrote:
The Hawks played Geelong twice and will play the doggies twice who we lost to. They only got to play the bombers once who they completely annihilated. You can argue about the draw for ever.


Thanks Game, I'm glad someone else gets it.

We play Collingwood and Essendon* twice because we request it.

If the top 4 finishes how many expect it, we'd play only one of them twice...and you guys are complaining about our fixture?

I hope next year we request to play GWS, GC, Port and Brisbane twice.


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2011 10:58 am 
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Laurie Kerr
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Can anyone draw up a mock ladder to see what it'd look like if all teams only play once? From playing twice converting it to playing once: 2 wins - 1 win.
1 loss, 1 win - 1 draw
1 win, 1 draw - 3 points etc..

Have fun :D


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2011 12:21 pm 
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Craig Bradley

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Jamar Sylvia jarrah return go Dees


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PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2011 12:36 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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Go Dees
Go Port

:lol:

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