Based on current ladder positions...
delist/retire - watson, ellard, judd, carazzo, warnock, johnson (R), russell (R),
Trade
Kreuzer FA -> 1st round compo (2)
henderson -> cats 2016 1st round + 2015 2nd round (29)
yarran + bell -> GC for 1st round pick (4) + smith/gorringe (assumed yarran value is richmond's 1st pick + bell GC 2nd rounder -> excluding fringe player, 14 + 22 is quite close to pick 4 using AFL points system)
menzel -> crows 1st round (13) + mckay
walker + 4th round -> swans 2nd round (blues pay large % of walkers salary). ie + 56 (194 points) -> pick 34 (542 points) i.e. walker's value around 348 points (pick 45, mid 3rd round)
trade 29 (653) + 38 (465) -> bombers 2nd round (23, 815 points) + melkshem/myers (ie 303 points, pick 48/mid-3rd round)
In summary
11 main list out + 3 in (
smith/gorringe + mckay +
melkshem/myers) - leaves 8 main spots for main list (ND 1, 2 , 4, 13, 20, 23, 34, 74)
2 rookie delistings (rookie draft 1, 19, 1 X category B)
Draft
1 - weitering (backline)
2 - francis (backline)
4 - curnow/
parish (mid)
13 - ah chee/mathieson/
partington (mid)
20 -
burton/weideman (forward) <- subject to thorough medical
23 - milera/
clarke (forward)
34 - rice (542 points +197 -> equiv to pick 26 bid) (backline)
74 - silvagni (equiv to pick 56 bid, more if leftover points available from rice) (forward)
rookie 1 - best available ruck option
rookie 19 - best available
Rookie B - korchek (ruck)
2016 -> cats 1st pick
AFL site is unclear on rookie rules but if we need to elevate a rookie or two, then in order - delist/payout - tutt, dick (rookie list if we want him)
Overall ins
rucks - smith (26), korchek (23/34), rookie listed ruck (18)
mids - mckay (27), melkshem (24), curnow, partington,
forwards - burton, clarke, SOSOS
backs - weitering, francis, rice
Starting 22 by end of 2016 season/start of 2017 (with at least 2 X 1st round selections in that draft) + $$ to pick up FA without having to worry about compo)
FB buckley (23), jamison (30), docherty (23)
HB touhy (26), weitering (19?), francis (19?)
C boekhurst (22), gibbs (27), melksham (24)
HF clarke (19?), Casboult (26), everitt (27),
FF thomas (29), jaksch (22), holman (21),
Ruck Smith (26), cripps (21), murphy (29)
Int mckay (28), parish, simpson (32), curnow (27)
depth - armfield (30), rowe (29), white (28), sheehan (26), fields (24), whiley (24), korchek (24), byrne (22), graham (22), foster (21), giles (21), rainbow (20), smith (20), rice (19), burton (19?), partington (19), SOSOS (19)
Based on 3 yr target as stated by the club, would expect jamison, simpson and maybe 2 of thomas/mckay would need to be replaced when we start contending (end of 2017/start of 2018). Of the depth players, you would expect armfield, rowe, white to be retire by that time as well
Would have 3 X 1st round picks (2016 X2, 2017 X1) + whatever else we can pick up by then via FA, later draft picks, f/s, trades
and yes, obviously the above is highly unlikely to occur
