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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Thu Oct 10, 2024 4:55 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Location: 父 父 父 父 父 父
So what could we have got for Martin?

Pick 92?

A future 6th?

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Thu Oct 10, 2024 7:14 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

Joined: Sat May 14, 2005 2:15 pm
Posts: 21415
Location: North of the border
WOW wrote:
Our list management strategy is so bad

We offer Kennedy, Young & Owies to other clubs and there is literally no takers. That is poor. Now a good chance at least 2 out of 3 will come back to the club.

We state that our goal is to focus on the draft. Yet our earliest picks in a strong draft are 12 and 35. How is that hitting the draft hard.

We are desperate for an experienced key defender and we recruit a 33 year older who is an intercept dependent well past his best.

We lose Martin for nothing. Similar to previous years where fringe players were literally given away.

Confirms my view this club is squarely in the middle of the road.
Delist Cunningham Marchbank Martin Akuei Mirkov
Put Kennedy Owies Young on the open market
Don't offer contact to Durdin Carroll and Carroll

Interest from other teams apart from.Martin has been zero.

It gives you a clear understanding of the quality of our list. It is very thin

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Thu Oct 10, 2024 8:21 pm 
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Craig Bradley
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Joined: Thu Sep 21, 2017 1:55 pm
Posts: 6363
Sydney Blue wrote:
WOW wrote:
Our list management strategy is so bad

We offer Kennedy, Young & Owies to other clubs and there is literally no takers. That is poor. Now a good chance at least 2 out of 3 will come back to the club.

We state that our goal is to focus on the draft. Yet our earliest picks in a strong draft are 12 and 35. How is that hitting the draft hard.

We are desperate for an experienced key defender and we recruit a 33 year older who is an intercept dependent well past his best.

We lose Martin for nothing. Similar to previous years where fringe players were literally given away.

Confirms my view this club is squarely in the middle of the road.
Delist Cunningham Marchbank Martin Akuei Mirkov
Put Kennedy Owies Young on the open market
Don't offer contact to Durdin Carroll and Carroll

Interest from other teams apart from.Martin has been zero.

It gives you a clear understanding of the quality of our list. It is very thin

Sent from my SM-F926B using Tapatalk

Yep.
We tend to overvalue our players a bit too much and undervalue outside players like Houston.
We have a slow midfield and even slower wings that can't hit a target, between him and Saad we'd be flying out of defence straight to the half forward line.
Yet we want to keep stewing on players other clubs are not even interested in. :hitcomputer:


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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:15 am 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 7:59 pm
Posts: 1127
tap in 79 wrote:
diesel95 wrote:
tap in 79 wrote:
We’re going to have to get every pick right to compete with Brisbane.
They’re my tip for the next two flags.
Let’s hope we finally strike a rich yield in the diabolically unfair father-son rule with Camporeale.


The AFL’s socialist designed competition results in two key distortions

1- father-son rule.
Will Ashcroft - just hand over a few picks in the 30s -34, 36 and 38 and bingo ! You get the best young player in the comp.
Levi Ashcroft has played in 3 flags with Sandringham Dragons.. walks straight into Lions team.
Thank you kindly says the Lions.. we’ll hand over pick 48, 49 and 50 for him ( or whatever the match bid states)

2- academy

3- on top of this, Lions recruit well. Combined.. it’s a 3 headed monster.

Our only hope is if Brisbane have injuries & if Daniher retires. And Curnow & McKay are in devastating form in the finals.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/1225051/bri ... aight-flag


The points you make about unfairness in F/S picks are pretty much the exact the opposite of socialist principle at the heart of the AFL Draft selection ordering system, not a flaw of socialist principles themselves. the existing inadequacy of compensation for F/S picks would be best described as "traditionalist" or "sentimentalism" wouldn't it?

when people use the word "distortion" in the context of markets makes me want to punch something. The assumption underlying the use of that word is that there's kind of pure and optimal outcome in the first place (faith in Pareto Efficiency and Pareto-Optimal outcomes are the definition of why orthodox/neoclassical economics is broken and a dangerous set of myths used to protect the status quo).

the AFL Draft selection system is pretty much anti-market, it;'s designed to prevent the most obvious failure of markets, market power always will be abused as much as possible.

In the old days CFC won flags being a wealthy club with lots of wealthy supporters and a history of great players and flags. The club "brand" was marketed to interstate players back in the day way better than Fitzroy, Saint Kilda and South Melbourne ever could. even put together those three clubs couldn't touch the recruiting power of CFC. That market power won us premierships in the post-war years without a doubt.

by contrast, what happens around the AFL Draft process is a market, with a lot of rules set by AFL House, but also a tonne of wheeling and dealing. Club size and marketability can carry value in that part of the process so far as attracting potential players goes. Haynes seemed to say so anyhow.

if Cal Thomey and Riley Beverage get there way, the rules around the draft will be diluted over the years to the point where players, picks, F/S relationships, future picks, future salary cap capacity, future this and future that will all be fungible.


Unfortunately I will have to disagree with you. Read Animal Farm or read about the evils being inflicted in Venezuela right now if you still have faith in socialism. Venezuela has more oil reserves than any country in the world. That's right...more than Russia, more than Saudi Arabia. The people should be immensely rich....but instead beg for food...what happened?

https://manhattan.institute/article/how ... -venezuela

Animal Farm "All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others." "Four legs good, two legs better."
It all starts out all shiny and promising but in the end distortions are made to keep the system in place.

Capitalism is not perfect either. I agree with you there. If there was a perfect system all would engage in it. Yet I can guarantee you getting back to the football equation Carlton is not at the top of the pecking order under the present system. The proof is in the pudding. Let's compare our father-sons to Geelong.

Geelong
Ablett - considered the best player by many since 2000 - won 5? MVPs?
Scarlett - considered the best fullback since 2000
Hawkins - one of the top 3 forwards since 2000

Carlton
Whitnall
Waite

Who got the access to the best father-sons? Did Geelong have to pay market rates to get 3 of the best players of the 21st century? or could they pick in the 40s etc and then use the other picks on Chapman, Johnson etc.

If you like the father-son, so be it. I don't like it. I would eradicate it all together, but most have been conditioned to like "the romance" of it by the media so want it continued. If that is the case at the very least if you get a pick 1 player (eg Ashcroft) hand over your first round pick and a future first round etc..

The horse has bolted for Brisbane. They'll get to follow the Geelong model. I admire their recruiting from other clubs as well- eg Charlie Cameron from Adelaide for pick 14 or whatever it was. They made Adelaide look stupid. Yet the facts remain - this team got access to some great father-sons. "All father sons are equal, but some father sons are more equal than others."


firstly, i think you misinterpreted what i was saying. if Father Son picks are allowed, then i believe that a fair price must be paid by that club.

if that club doesn’t have a good enough pick then they can’t be allowed to offer up a few 4th round picks for points when 4th round picks are in surplus supply and pretty much worth jack-stick.

another problem with the draft system in terms of price paid by receiving club vs compensation for Father/Son and Academy players under the current rules (as i understand them, i’m not fully briefed on all the ins and outs!) is that the compensation isn’t paid to all the other AFL clubs, just the one selecting the player who qualifies under F/S or Academy. so how is it compensation at all?


what seems to happen is that if another club selects the F/S or Academy qualifying player with their earlier pick, the club qualifying for priority can just you offer weak compensation to the one selecting the player with an earlier pick. (does that club to reuse their early pick, i guess so?!)

how does that system compensate every other AFL club on the one hand? or put a fair asking price on what, in some cases, is identified as potentially an elite player of the game? (we all know the examples and Nick Diacos is the most recent signing who went almost straight into seniors and potentially plays 300 games at the elite level).

then Andrew Barrett has a big sook at the Saints B&F and wins pick 8 (or near abouts) for Battle from a media sensitive AFL as compo in an uncontracted free agency player choosing to go to the Hawks… Saints can’t retain players and get rewarded for it. cool and normal.

as one of the list managers elsewhere who saw their high picks slide… by the AFLs definition of Tier One compo, Battle must be in that elite 5% of players earning the top money, the mean salary of the top 5% is over $1m pa i think. so more random draft fun and games. it’s never going to be fair is it, but that was a shocker given this years draft quality.

as for animal farm. i’ll get back to on that. don’t get me started!


Last edited by diesel95 on Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:31 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:20 am 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 7:59 pm
Posts: 1127
sinbagger wrote:
Crusader wrote:
Jez1966 wrote:
https://apple.news/ALFjRI7rJRb2A5v68uE6Wzg

According to this article Owies is asking for $700K - $800K

“Release the hounds.”


Everyone needs to clam down, this report has been shown the be utter bs, Owies reputation has been greatly smeared by this false reporting.


quite.


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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:26 am 
Offline
Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 7:59 pm
Posts: 1127
bondiblue wrote:
tap in 79 wrote:
diesel95 wrote:
tap in 79 wrote:
We’re going to have to get every pick right to compete with Brisbane.
They’re my tip for the next two flags.
Let’s hope we finally strike a rich yield in the diabolically unfair father-son rule with Camporeale.


The AFL’s socialist designed competition results in two key distortions

1- father-son rule.
Will Ashcroft - just hand over a few picks in the 30s -34, 36 and 38 and bingo ! You get the best young player in the comp.
Levi Ashcroft has played in 3 flags with Sandringham Dragons.. walks straight into Lions team.
Thank you kindly says the Lions.. we’ll hand over pick 48, 49 and 50 for him ( or whatever the match bid states)

2- academy

3- on top of this, Lions recruit well. Combined.. it’s a 3 headed monster.

Our only hope is if Brisbane have injuries & if Daniher retires. And Curnow & McKay are in devastating form in the finals.

https://www.afl.com.au/news/1225051/bri ... aight-flag


The points you make about unfairness in F/S picks are pretty much the exact the opposite of socialist principle at the heart of the AFL Draft selection ordering system, not a flaw of socialist principles themselves. the existing inadequacy of compensation for F/S picks would be best described as "traditionalist" or "sentimentalism" wouldn't it?

when people use the word "distortion" in the context of markets makes me want to punch something. The assumption underlying the use of that word is that there's kind of pure and optimal outcome in the first place (faith in Pareto Efficiency and Pareto-Optimal outcomes are the definition of why orthodox/neoclassical economics is broken and a dangerous set of myths used to protect the status quo).

the AFL Draft selection system is pretty much anti-market, it;'s designed to prevent the most obvious failure of markets, market power always will be abused as much as possible.

In the old days CFC won flags being a wealthy club with lots of wealthy supporters and a history of great players and flags. The club "brand" was marketed to interstate players back in the day way better than Fitzroy, Saint Kilda and South Melbourne ever could. even put together those three clubs couldn't touch the recruiting power of CFC. That market power won us premierships in the post-war years without a doubt.

by contrast, what happens around the AFL Draft process is a market, with a lot of rules set by AFL House, but also a tonne of wheeling and dealing. Club size and marketability can carry value in that part of the process so far as attracting potential players goes. Haynes seemed to say so anyhow.

if Cal Thomey and Riley Beverage get there way, the rules around the draft will be diluted over the years to the point where players, picks, F/S relationships, future picks, future salary cap capacity, future this and future that will all be fungible.


Unfortunately I will have to disagree with you. Read Animal Farm or read about the evils being inflicted in Venezuela right now if you still have faith in socialism. Venezuela has more oil reserves than any country in the world. That's right...more than Russia, more than Saudi Arabia. The people should be immensely rich....but instead beg for food...what happened?

https://manhattan.institute/article/how ... -venezuela

Animal Farm "All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others." "Four legs good, two legs better."
It all starts out all shiny and promising but in the end distortions are made to keep the system in place.

Capitalism is not perfect either. I agree with you there. If there was a perfect system all would engage in it. Yet I can guarantee you getting back to the football equation Carlton is not at the top of the pecking order under the present system. The proof is in the pudding. Let's compare our father-sons to Geelong.

Geelong
Ablett - considered the best player by many since 2000 - won 5? MVPs?
Scarlett - considered the best fullback since 2000
Hawkins - one of the top 3 forwards since 2000

Carlton
Whitnall
Waite

Who got the access to the best father-sons? Did Geelong have to pay market rates to get 3 of the best players of the 21st century? or could they pick in the 40s etc and then use the other picks on Chapman, Johnson etc.

If you like the father-son, so be it. I don't like it. I would eradicate it all together, but most have been conditioned to like "the romance" of it by the media so want it continued. If that is the case at the very least if you get a pick 1 player (eg Ashcroft) hand over your first round pick and a future first round etc..

The horse has bolted for Brisbane. They'll get to follow the Geelong model. I admire their recruiting from other clubs as well- eg Charlie Cameron from Adelaide for pick 14 or whatever it was. They made Adelaide look stupid. Yet the facts remain - this team got access to some great father-sons. "All father sons are equal, but some father sons are more equal than others."


Tou two are my faves.

All things are equal till they're not. Says who?

Great argument. I am no longer romantic when it comes to Father -Son picks.
There's got to be other ways to get on dad's locker... :sly:


i’m sure there’s lots of Nathan Abbletts or name some even lesser light father son pick (not even sure Geelong needed to use F/S for Nathan) where it works out quid pro quo but for all the son of a gun players listed here the system is BS. it’s lovely to think about getting the Campo twins and Cory Walker but it also makes a mockery of the draft if they would go as round one or two picks and we cough up points for them.


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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:46 am 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 7:59 pm
Posts: 1127
Sidefx wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
WOW wrote:
Our list management strategy is so bad

We offer Kennedy, Young & Owies to other clubs and there is literally no takers. That is poor. Now a good chance at least 2 out of 3 will come back to the club.

We state that our goal is to focus on the draft. Yet our earliest picks in a strong draft are 12 and 35. How is that hitting the draft hard.

We are desperate for an experienced key defender and we recruit a 33 year older who is an intercept dependent well past his best.

We lose Martin for nothing. Similar to previous years where fringe players were literally given away.

Confirms my view this club is squarely in the middle of the road.
Delist Cunningham Marchbank Martin Akuei Mirkov
Put Kennedy Owies Young on the open market
Don't offer contact to Durdin Carroll and Carroll

Interest from other teams apart from.Martin has been zero.

It gives you a clear understanding of the quality of our list. It is very thin

Sent from my SM-F926B using Tapatalk

Yep.
We tend to overvalue our players a bit too much and undervalue outside players like Houston.
We have a slow midfield and even slower wings that can't hit a target, between him and Saad we'd be flying out of defence straight to the half forward line.
Yet we want to keep stewing on players other clubs are not even interested in. :hitcomputer:


just use the AFL app compare two players tool to compared Dan Huston and all our medium defenders. he canes the lot of them in AF points and most everything else except for Newman, who had a brilliant season which he’s steadily been building to since he arrived at CFC.

you can’t just go on stats, one of the featured comparisons is Dayne Zorko vs Brandon Starcevich and Zorko doubles Starevich in most stats other than intercepts where they break even. but how important was Starcevich in denying Sydney a sniff in the first half of the GF? one of the key players for Lions in those first quarters for mine.

i think Huston would be a great pickup for us, which probably means pies win him, and they already have the Daikos brothers and others in those kinds of roles. he’s 4 cm shorter than Gov, so would we still be 3 tall and 3 medium and does Huston play as a tall or medium? newman, boyd, saad, cowen already the three mediums, if huston doesn’t play tall means cowen and boyd can be first pick, other than on the interchange bench.


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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:51 am 
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Harry Vallence

Joined: Fri Oct 04, 2013 7:59 pm
Posts: 1127
bluehammer wrote:
So what could we have got for Martin?

Pick 92?

A future 6th?


pretty much. Blues made the call that injury prone players must exit stage right. wonder if that was Sayers more than Voss? Sayers was certainly talking that point up at in his B&F speech.

when carlton is “so so” on an uncontracted player they’ll help them move clubs and in Martin’s case they’ve seen him prepare perfectly in preseasons only to get injured again and hold him in high regard. my guess is they wanted to just make it easy for him to land on a list elsewhere for a low price, probably Cats. no big deal unless he wins a game against us off his own boot.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:07 pm 
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Robert Walls

Joined: Fri May 06, 2005 1:40 pm
Posts: 3441
Hey! We did a trade!

Brisbane Lions receive:
A second-round pick (currently No.34) and a fourth-round pick (currently No.66)

Carlton receive:
A fourth-round pick (currently No.73) and a future second-round pick


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:11 pm 
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Robert Walls

Joined: Fri May 06, 2005 1:40 pm
Posts: 3441
And now another!

Carlton receives:
A first-round pick (currently No.14)

Hawthorn receives:
A future first-round pick (tied to Carlton) and a future second-round pick (tied to Carlton)


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 Post subject: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:18 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 8:35 am
Posts: 20172
Location: 父 父 父 父 父 父
Interesting.

Brisbane trade is basically net zero and hawthorn trade shows we want access to this draft and flexibility to trade

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Last edited by bluehammer on Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:19 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2013 2:16 pm
Posts: 14342
Location: Sydney
Going hard for Houston I suppose?


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:20 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 12:04 pm
Posts: 48542
Location: Prison Island
Did we just weaken our points/picks for the Campo kids?

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:21 pm 
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formerly Fevola

Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 1:57 pm
Posts: 4746
Someone explain how we get the campos now? i guess we have more planned?


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:23 pm 
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Ken Hunter
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Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2005 10:26 am
Posts: 14706
Location: Comparing orange boners with Hirdy
We haven't nominated them have we

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:23 pm 
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Craig Bradley

Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 6:36 am
Posts: 6326
Obviously the window is open in 2025 :razz:


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:24 pm 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 6:42 pm
Posts: 2833
grrofunger wrote:
Did we just weaken our points/picks for the Campo kids?


https://www.carltonfc.com.au/news/16761 ... gthen-hand

The club doesn't seem to think it does

Quote:
This pick swap with the Lions enabled the Club to retain its draft points for this year, while also paving the way to receive the additional first-round selection from Hawthorn.


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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:25 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 12:06 pm
Posts: 35687
Location: Half back flank
bluechampion wrote:
And now another!

Carlton receives:
A first-round pick (currently No.14)

Hawthorn receives:
A future first-round pick (tied to Carlton) and a future second-round pick (tied to Carlton)



If we have a bad year next year that's an awful trade for us right?

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:25 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan
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Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 2:37 pm
Posts: 19229
Location: afl.virtualsports.com.au
Hopefully not sending two first rounders for Houston. He's a gun but that would be overpaying.

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 Post subject: Re: List Management 2024
PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 12:48 pm 
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Horrie Clover

Joined: Tue Nov 30, 2021 2:17 pm
Posts: 374
if we send both picks for houston we are F......k...D ,go to the draft p12/14 hopefully


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