17th Premiership wrote:
Most of what Patrick Smith said is entirely possible.
I believe we will win more than 4 games but there is a lot of uncertainty about how we will go and same with those around us. The only team I would think we go in as favourite would be against Brisbane. And even they COULD beat us on their day.
Below, green = Carlton fave (1) ; orange = could win (6); red = likely to lose (3... + top 7 from last season).
Of those who finished below us:
Essendon** - likely to improve significantly
Gold Coast - still stacked with talent, are they still a rabble on the field or will they resume their ascent?
Fremantle - 12 months ago they were the Premiership favourite. That may have been way off but I also don't think they are genuinely a bottom 4 team either.
Brisbane - They're probably behind us but even they could beat us if they have a good day and we don't.
Of those just above us:
Rich & Port - Both overrated and have been for a few years. Probably have the advantage in harder more experienced bodies; but we could easily beat both of them on our day
Collingwood - SHOULD make some big strides upwards this year; if not, they will need a big overhaul and reset (NB: I think Darcy Moore could become top 5 player in the comp!)
North - should be around our level although will always be a tough match with a very competitive list of players.
Melb & StK - Both should improve significantly this season (they are ~2yrs ahead of us in their rebuild IMO).
re the druggies
no doubt they will get the majority of favourable decisions (or non decisions) just to reinforce their heroic victimisation campaign, an area in which the impartial non meddling afl and their affiliates have excelled in the last few years
sorry to slightly divert from your point 17th but I think this might just be the year I give up on a sport I have played and loved all my life