aboynamedsue wrote:
Do we fill the vacancy now or wait for the MSD?
I would prefer to wait, but my concern is our diminishing number of available players.
Williams & Philp are gone for the year. And for the first month of the season, we can already rule out:
Walsh
Boyd
Cottrell
The following are still on modified programs so will presumably need to start the season in the VFL until they have caught up:
Cunners
Marchbank
Fogarty
Honey
Pittonet (?)
Then add the players in development who you wouldn’t remotely consider for senior selection early in the season:
Mirkov
HOK
Lemmey
Akuei
There’s five weeks until round 1, and you can bet we’ll lose more before then (paging Drs Martin & McGovern). In that case, we will have less than 30 players who could be realistically considered for round 1. And that >30 includes Binns, Hollands & Cowan.
So I can definitely appreciate why the club might be tempted to roll the dice now on a mature bodied 26 year old who, though unlikely to be on our list next year, can be counted on to have a crack as we work through (another) injury crisis.
Hey abns, not having a crack at you but ...
Like some other posters, you do tend to paint the worst case scenario in many of your posts this summer.
I think, like many Carlton supporters you are scarred from the past 2 decades, and the last 2 games of 2022. I totally get it.
As soon as there's an injury , it seems like the end of the world.
As soon as there's a loss the season is predicted to fall apart like it did in the last 2 decades.
"Injury crisis"? "Diminshing number of available players"? That's a bit of a stretch writing that as fact in your opening lines, when its more like an opinion. Only Williams and Philp have been written off for the year due to injury. Walsh will miss the start of the season and Boyd, maybe first half season.
I notice later in your post you do use the word "presumably" when explaining your predictions, but the truth is none of us outside the 4 walls at Ikon know what the individual programs consist of and what the plan of each program is to write off all the above you list. That is the worse case scenario if the injuries are as bad as you "presume".
This is a different era. This is the Voss, Sayers, Cook era. The team showed plenty in 2022 to have confidence going into 2023.
I believe there's plenty of reasons why Marchbank will be played ahead of Cowan in a Finals like game in Round 1. Baptism of fire is one main reason. Cowan is in his first preseason and on lighter duties than 2nd and 3rs year recruits. Pittonet competes with TDK in every trial game we hear of, and Pitto is winning the dual if training reports are to be believed. There's 5 weeks before Round 1. Lets see if Cottrell gets back for a praccy game, and if he does, do you really think Cottrell will take more than a month to regain fitness?
Looks to me the individual programs this preseason is part of a well thought out plan.
We have to wait to see what happens in the praccy games. Bad luck to Boyd, Walsh and Williams with their injuries; that's footy. They're the only 3 we can write off (and Philp, but he's a developing player like Cowan, Hollands, Lemmey and Binns are, as are the players you mention.
We have a list of 44 players. My money is on more than 30 players will be available for round 1 AFL team, and we only need 23 of the best available. I don't feel I'm over confident, but there's plenty of reasons why the team that runs out to play Tigers in round 1 will be more than competitive, and improved on last years team.
We are not going to win every game: no team will.
Its a long season and Walsh and Boyd will be back too.
If we don't win the Flag this year, its not a failure, but if we improve on last years performance with the "injury crisis" we DID have, and the individual programs benefit the playing group....
